NFC South · 2004
New Orleans Saints
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.024est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.028
- Success rate40.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.052
- EPA / rush-0.169
- Explosive rate9.3%
- Third-down rate33.4%
- Red-zone TD rate60.5%
- Points / drive1.72
- Turnover rate2.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.061
- Success rate allowed43.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.117
- EPA / rush allowed-0.017
- Explosive rate allowed10.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.8%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.98
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.028 · 50th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.061 · 78th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
-0.9 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
6-2
As favorite
1-3
As dog
7-5
O/U
7-9
+0.6 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aaron Brooks | QB | 28 | 6'4" 220 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Todd Bouman | QB | 32 | 6'2" 226 | 7 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Devery Henderson | WR | 22 | 5'11" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 25 | Fred McAfee | RB | 36 | 5'10" 193 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Deuce McAllister | RB | 27 | 6'1" 232 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Aaron Stecker | RB | 30 | 5'10" 213 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Mike Karney | FB | 23 | 5'11" 258 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Jerome Pathon | WR | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Zach Hilton | TE | 24 | 6'8" 268 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Boo Williams | TE | 25 | 6'4" 265 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Donte' Stallworth | WR | 25 | 6'0" 196 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Michael Lewis | WR | 34 | 5'8" 173 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Ernie Conwell | TE | 32 | 6'2" 255 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Joe Horn | WR | 32 | 6'1" 213 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Talman Gardner | WR | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Lamont Hall | TE | 31 | 6'4" 260 | 6 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | Kevin Houser | C | 27 | 6'2" 252 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Montrae Holland | G | 24 | 6'2" 322 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Kendyl Jacox | G | 29 | 6'2" 325 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 65 | LeCharles Bentley | C | 26 | 6'2" 313 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Jamar Nesbit | G | 29 | 6'4" 328 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Victor Riley | T | 31 | 6'5" 340 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Spencer Folau | T | 31 | 6'5" 310 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Wayne Gandy | T | 33 | 6'4" 315 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Jon Stinchcomb | T | 25 | 6'5" 315 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | James Allen | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Terrence Melton | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 51 | Terrence Melton | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 240 | R | — | TRT |
| 52 | Sedrick Hodge | OLB | 27 | 6'4" 246 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Roger Knight | OLB | 27 | 6'0" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Darrin Smith | MLB | 34 | 6'1" 236 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Courtney Watson | MLB | 25 | 6'1" 246 | R | — | ACT |
| 56 | Orlando Ruff | MLB | 29 | 6'3" 253 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Colby Bockwoldt | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 237 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Brian Young | DT | 27 | 6'2" 298 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Rodney Leisle | DT | 23 | 6'3" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Will Smith | DE | 23 | 6'3" 282 | R | — | ACT |
| 92 | Tony Bryant | DE | 29 | 6'6" 282 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Darren Howard | DE | 29 | 6'3" 275 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Charles Grant | DE | 27 | 6'3" 290 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Howard Green | DT | 25 | 6'2" 320 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Johnathan Sullivan | DT | 23 | 6'3" 315 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Willie Whitehead | DE | 31 | 6'3" 300 | 9 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jay Bellamy | SS | 32 | 5'11" 200 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Jason Craft | CB | 28 | 5'10" 187 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Thomas | CB | 32 | 5'9" 185 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Delmonico Montgomery | CB | 32 | 6'0" 195 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Tebucky Jones | FS | 31 | 6'2" 220 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Fakhir Brown | CB | 28 | 5'11" 192 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Steve Gleason | SS | 27 | 5'11" 212 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Mel Mitchell | SS | 25 | 6'1" 222 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Mike McKenzie | CB | 28 | 6'0" 194 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Mike McKenzie | CB | 28 | 6'0" 194 | 5 | — | TRD |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | John Carney | K | 40 | 5'11" 185 | 17 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Mitch Berger | P | 32 | 6'4" 228 | 10 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Seahawks | L 7-21 | +2.5 | -0.329 |
| 2 | vs 49ers | W 30-27 | -7.5 | +0.087 |
| 3 | @ Rams | W 28-25 | +6 | +0.150 |
| 4 | @ Cardinals | L 10-34 | -3.5 | -0.296 |
| 5 | vs Buccaneers | L 17-20 | -3 | -0.194 |
| 6 | vs Vikings | L 31-38 | +3.5 | +0.147 |
| 7 | @ Raiders | W 31-26 | +3 | +0.105 |
| 9 | @ Chargers | L 17-43 | +6.5 | -0.022 |
| 10 | vs Chiefs | W 27-20 | +3.5 | +0.195 |
| 11 | vs Broncos | L 13-34 | +6 | -0.175 |
| 12 | @ Falcons | L 21-24 | +9 | +0.054 |
| 13 | vs Panthers | L 21-32 | +2 | -0.159 |
| 14 | @ Cowboys | W 27-13 | +7 | +0.005 |
| 15 | @ Buccaneers | W 21-17 | +7.5 | -0.030 |
| 16 | vs Falcons | W 26-13 | -6.5 | -0.101 |
| 17 | @ Panthers | W 21-18 | +7 | +0.045 |