NFC South · 2019

New Orleans Saints

Record

13-3

Seed

Net EPA

+0.149est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.084
Success rate47.0%
EPA / dropback+0.172
EPA / rush-0.067
Explosive rate9.3%
CPOE+3.92
Third-down rate43.9%
Red-zone TD rate58.8%
Points / drive2.45
Turnover rate0.7%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.036
Success rate allowed41.7%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.044
EPA / rush allowed-0.217
Explosive rate allowed8.5%
Pressure rate (proxy)21.5%
Sack rate7.0%
Points / drive allowed1.83

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.084 · 89th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.036 · 31th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

11-5

+3.1 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

7-1

As favorite

7-4

As dog

4-1

O/U

9-7

+2.9 vs total

Roster

97 players

46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	28	6'2" 215	5	Louisville	ACT
7	Taysom Hill	QB	29	6'2" 221	2	Brigham Young	ACT
9	Drew Brees	QB	40	6'0" 209	18	Purdue	ACT

Backs & receivers30

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Tim White	WR	25	5'10" 185	2	Arizona State	DEV
10	Tre'Quan Smith	WR	23	6'2" 210	1	Central Florida	ACT
11	Taquan Mizzell	WR	27	5'10" 185	2	Virginia	DEV
11	Deonte Harris	WR	23	5'6" 170	R	Assumption	ACT
12	Rishard Matthews	WR	—	6'0" 217	7	Nevada	CUT
13	Michael Thomas	WR	26	6'3" 212	3	Ohio State	ACT
14	Travin Dural	WR	—	6'2" 207	2	LSU	CUT
15	Simmie Cobbs	WR	—	6'3" 220	1	Indiana	CUT
17	Emmanuel Butler	WR	23	6'4" 220	R	Northern Arizona	DEV
18	Keith Kirkwood	WR	26	6'3" 210	1	Temple	RES
19	Ted Ginn	WR	34	5'11" 180	12	Ohio State	ACT
27	Dwayne Washington	RB	25	6'1" 223	3	Washington	ACT
28	Latavius Murray	RB	29	6'3" 230	6	Central Florida	ACT
30	Kerwynn Williams	RB	—	5'8" 198	6	Utah State	CUT
30	Ricky Ortiz	RB	25	6'0" 233	2	Oregon State	ACT
37	Jacquizz Rodgers	RB	—	5'6" 205	8	Oregon State	CUT
41	Alvin Kamara	RB	24	5'10" 215	2	Tennessee	ACT
42	Zach Line	RB	29	6'1" 233	6	Southern Methodist	INA
43	Matt Dayes	RB	26	5'9" 205	2	North Carolina State	CUT
44	Shane Smith	RB	—	6'1" 240	2	San Jose State	CUT
45	Garrett Griffin	TE	25	6'4" 240	3	Air Force	RES
80	Austin Carr	WR	27	6'1" 195	2	Northwestern	RES
81	A.J. Derby	TE	—	6'5" 240	4	Arkansas	CUT
81	Krishawn Hogan	WR	24	6'3" 217	2	Marian, Ind.	RES
84	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	WR	21	6'4" 225	R	Texas	ACT
86	Jason Vander Laan	TE	28	6'3" 245	3	Ferris State	RES
87	Jared Cook	TE	32	6'5" 254	10	South Carolina	ACT
89	Josh Hill	TE	29	6'5" 250	6	Idaho State	ACT
89	Jerell Adams	TE	28	6'5" 254	3	South Carolina	CUT
89	Cole Wick	TE	27	6'6" 257	3	Incarnate Word	DEV

Offensive line15

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
55	Casey Dunn	OL	26	6'4" 307	1	Auburn	DEV
60	Patrick Omameh	OL	31	6'4" 327	6	Michigan	ACT
62	Nick Easton	OL	27	6'3" 303	4	Harvard	ACT
63	Cameron Tom	OL	24	6'4" 300	2	Southern Mississippi	RES
64	Will Clapp	OL	25	6'5" 311	1	Louisiana State	INA
65	Ulrick John	OL	—	6'6" 312	5	Georgia State	CUT
67	Larry Warford	OL	28	6'3" 317	6	Kentucky	ACT
68	Derrick Kelly	OL	24	6'5" 320	R	Florida State	DEV
70	Michael Ola	OL	31	6'5" 312	6	Hampton	CUT
71	Ryan Ramczyk	OL	25	6'6" 314	2	Wisconsin	ACT
72	Terron Armstead	OL	28	6'5" 304	6	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	ACT
73	Ethan Greenidge	OL	23	6'4" 335	R	Villanova	INA
75	Andrus Peat	OL	27	6'7" 316	4	Stanford	ACT
78	Erik McCoy	OL	22	6'4" 315	R	Texas A&M	ACT
79	Fisayo Awolaja	OL	—	6'4" 300	R	Northern Colorado	CUT

Defensive front29

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Darnell Sankey	LB	—	6'0" 247	3	Sacramento State	CUT
45	Andrew Dowell	LB	24	6'1" 225	R	Michigan State	DEV
46	Drew Lewis	LB	—	6'2" 229	R	Colorado	CUT
47	Alex Anzalone	LB	26	6'3" 241	2	Florida	RES
51	Manti Te'o	LB	28	6'1" 241	6	Notre Dame	INA
51	Colton Jumper	LB	26	6'2" 229	1	Tennessee	RES
52	Craig Robertson	LB	31	6'1" 234	8	North Texas	ACT
53	A.J. Klein	LB	28	6'1" 240	6	Iowa State	ACT
54	Josh Martin	LB	29	6'3" 245	6	Columbia	RES
54	Kiko Alonso	LB	29	6'3" 239	6	Oregon	ACT
55	Kaden Elliss	LB	24	6'2" 238	R	Idaho	RES
56	Demario Davis	LB	30	6'2" 248	7	Arkansas State	ACT
57	Noah Spence	DL	25	6'2" 251	3	Eastern Kentucky	INA
58	Stephone Anthony	LB	27	6'3" 245	4	Clemson	ACT
70	Mitchell Loewen	DL	26	6'5" 275	3	Arkansas	DEV
76	Ziggy Hood	DL	—	6'3" 305	10	Missouri	CUT
78	Jalen Dalton	DL	22	6'6" 300	R	North Carolina	DEV
88	Chase Hansen	LB	26	6'3" 222	R	Utah	RSN
90	Malcom Brown	DL	25	6'2" 320	4	Texas	ACT
91	Trey Hendrickson	DL	26	6'4" 270	2	Florida Atlantic	ACT
92	Marcus Davenport	DL	24	6'6" 265	1	Texas-San Antonio	RES
93	David Onyemata	DL	28	6'4" 300	3	Manitoba, Can.	ACT
94	Cameron Jordan	DL	30	6'4" 287	8	California	ACT
95	Taylor Stallworth	DL	24	6'2" 305	1	South Carolina	ACT
96	Carl Granderson	DL	24	6'5" 261	R	Wyoming	ACT
97	Mario Edwards	DL	25	6'3" 280	4	Florida State	ACT
98	Sheldon Rankins	DL	25	6'2" 305	3	Louisville	RES
99	Geneo Grissom	DL	—	6'4" 265	4	Oklahoma	CUT
99	Shy Tuttle	DL	25	6'3" 300	R	Tennessee	ACT

Secondary16

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Janoris Jenkins	DB	32	5'10" 190	7	North Alabama	ACT
21	Patrick Robinson	DB	33	5'11" 191	9	Florida State	ACT
22	Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	DB	23	5'11" 208	R	Florida	ACT
23	Marshon Lattimore	DB	23	6'0" 192	2	Ohio State	ACT
24	Vonn Bell	DB	26	5'11" 205	3	Ohio State	ACT
25	Eli Apple	DB	24	6'1" 203	3	Ohio State	INA
26	P.J. Williams	DB	26	6'0" 196	4	Florida State	ACT
29	Johnson Bademosi	DB	29	6'0" 219	7	Stanford	RES
33	Saquan Hampton	DB	25	6'1" 206	R	Rutgers	RES
34	Justin Hardee	DB	25	6'1" 200	2	Illinois	ACT
35	Trae Elston	DB	25	6'0" 203	3	Mississippi	CUT
36	D.J. Swearinger	DB	29	5'10" 205	6	South Carolina	INA
38	Terrell Williams	DB	23	6'4" 212	1	Houston	CUT
43	Marcus Williams	DB	24	6'1" 195	2	Utah	ACT
43	Chris Johnson	DB	25	6'3" 200	R	North Alabama	DEV
48	J.T. Gray	DB	23	6'0" 202	1	Mississippi State	ACT

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Wil Lutz	K	25	5'11" 184	3	Georgia State	ACT
6	Thomas Morstead	P	33	6'4" 235	10	Southern Methodist	ACT
40	Nick Moore	LS	28	6'3" 250	R	Georgia	CUT
49	Zach Wood	LS	26	6'3" 255	3	Southern Methodist	ACT

Schedule

17 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Texans	W 30-28	-6.5	+0.234
2	@ Rams	L 9-27	+2	-0.228
3	@ Seahawks	W 33-27	+5	+0.077
4	vs Cowboys	W 12-10	+2.5	-0.147
5	vs Buccaneers	W 31-24	-3	+0.140
6	@ Jaguars	W 13-6	+2.5	+0.017
7	@ Bears	W 36-25	+4	+0.184
8	vs Cardinals	W 31-9	-12.5	+0.195
10	vs Falcons	L 9-26	-14	-0.281
11	@ Buccaneers	W 34-17	-5	+0.143
12	vs Panthers	W 34-31	-10	+0.066
13	@ Falcons	W 26-18	-7	-0.008
14	vs 49ers	L 46-48	-1	+0.160
15	vs Colts	W 34-7	-8	+0.260
16	@ Titans	W 38-28	-3.5	+0.158
17	@ Panthers	W 42-10	-13.5	+0.312
WC	vs Vikings	L 20-26	-7.5	-0.119