NFC West · 2004
San Francisco 49ers
Record
2-14
Net EPA
-0.209est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.155
- Success rate37.7%
- EPA / dropback-0.120
- EPA / rush-0.212
- Explosive rate5.6%
- Third-down rate33.2%
- Red-zone TD rate48.7%
- Points / drive1.10
- Turnover rate3.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.068
- Success rate allowed45.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.139
- EPA / rush allowed-0.017
- Explosive rate allowed10.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.1%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed2.07
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.155 · 9th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.068 · 81th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-6.1 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
4-4
As favorite
1-1
As dog
5-8
O/U
9-7
+3.9 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cody Pickett | QB | 24 | 6'3" 227 | R | — | ACT |
| 7 | Ken Dorsey | QB | 23 | 6'4" 218 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Brandon Doman | QB | 29 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | P.J. Fleck | WR | 25 | 5'10" 191 | R | — | ACT |
| 22 | Terry Jackson | FB | 28 | 6'0" 232 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Kevan Barlow | RB | 25 | 6'1" 238 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Fred Beasley | FB | 31 | 6'0" 246 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Maurice Hicks | RB | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Steve Bush | TE | 30 | 6'3" 267 | 7 | — | TRD |
| 44 | Steve Bush | TE | 30 | 6'3" 267 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 49 | Aaron Walker | TE | 24 | 6'6" 252 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Rashaun Woods | WR | 25 | 6'2" 202 | R | — | ACT |
| 82 | Eric Johnson | TE | 26 | 6'3" 256 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Arnaz Battle | WR | 24 | 6'1" 217 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Cedrick Wilson | WR | 27 | 5'10" 183 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Brandon Lloyd | WR | 23 | 6'0" 192 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Jennings | TE | 29 | 6'5" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Derrick Hamilton | WR | 24 | 6'4" 203 | R | — | ACT |
| 89 | Curtis Conway | WR | 33 | 6'1" 200 | 11 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Brock Gutierrez | C | 32 | 6'3" 304 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Justin Smiley | G | 24 | 6'3" 301 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Eric Heitmann | G | 24 | 6'3" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Scott Peters | C | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Rob Murphy | G | 27 | 6'5" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Kyle Kosier | G | 27 | 6'5" 309 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Jerome Davis | T | 30 | 6'5" 300 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Kwame Harris | T | 22 | 6'7" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Scott Gragg | T | 32 | 6'8" 315 | 9 | — | ACT |
Defensive front19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Derek Smith | ILB | 29 | 6'2" 245 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Saleem Rasheed | OLB | 23 | 6'2" 229 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Jeff Ulbrich | ILB | 27 | 6'0" 249 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Richard Seigler | ILB | 25 | 6'2" 238 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | Jamie Winborn | ILB | 25 | 5'11" 242 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Ray Wells | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 234 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Daleroy Stewart | DT | 27 | 6'4" 298 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Daleroy Stewart | DT | 27 | 6'4" 298 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 64 | Daleroy Stewart | DT | 27 | 6'4" 298 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 71 | Corey Smith | DE | 26 | 6'2" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Corey Smith | DE | 26 | 6'2" 250 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 76 | Josh Cooper | DE | 25 | 6'3" 265 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Anthony Adams | DT | 24 | 6'0" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Tony Brown | DT | 25 | 6'1" 280 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Chris Cooper | DT | 27 | 6'5" 285 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 93 | Chris Cooper | DT | 27 | 6'5" 285 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 95 | John Engelberger | DE | 29 | 6'4" 268 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Bryant Young | DT | 32 | 6'3" 291 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Andrew Williams | DE | 25 | 6'2" 263 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mike Adams | DB | 23 | 6'0" 190 | R | Delaware | ACT |
| 23 | Jimmy Williams | CB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Joselio Hanson | CB | 23 | 5'9" 175 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Keith Lewis | SS | 24 | 6'0" 202 | R | — | ACT |
| 31 | Rayshun Reed | DB | 23 | 5'9" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Tony Parrish | SS | 30 | 6'0" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Dwaine Carpenter | FS | 29 | 6'1" 203 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Shawntae Spencer | CB | 22 | 6'0" 181 | R | — | ACT |
| 38 | Ronnie Heard | FS | 29 | 6'3" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Todd Peterson | K | 34 | 5'11" 180 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Andy Lee | P | 22 | 6'0" 206 | R | Pittsburgh | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Falcons | L 19-21 | +3 | -0.068 |
| 2 | @ Saints | L 27-30 | +7.5 | +0.062 |
| 3 | @ Seahawks | L 0-34 | +10 | -0.433 |
| 4 | vs Rams | L 14-24 | +4 | +0.040 |
| 5 | vs Cardinals | W 31-28 | -1 | +0.025 |
| 6 | @ Jets | L 14-22 | +9.5 | +0.046 |
| 8 | @ Bears | L 13-23 | +2 | -0.511 |
| 9 | vs Seahawks | L 27-42 | +7 | -0.005 |
| 10 | vs Panthers | L 27-37 | -1.5 | -0.142 |
| 11 | @ Buccaneers | L 3-35 | +8 | -0.411 |
| 12 | vs Dolphins | L 17-24 | +0 | -0.301 |
| 13 | @ Rams | L 6-16 | +11 | -0.190 |
| 14 | @ Cardinals | W 31-28 | +7 | +0.011 |
| 15 | vs Commanders | L 16-26 | +6.5 | -0.321 |
| 16 | vs Bills | L 7-41 | +10 | -0.345 |
| 17 | @ Patriots | L 7-21 | +13 | -0.166 |