NFC South · 2019

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record

7-9

Net EPA

+0.094est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.000
Success rate43.6%
EPA / dropback+0.084
EPA / rush-0.168
Explosive rate10.0%
CPOE+0.42
Third-down rate42.2%
Red-zone TD rate71.0%
Points / drive1.86
Turnover rate3.6%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.067
Success rate allowed39.8%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.007
EPA / rush allowed-0.239
Explosive rate allowed7.6%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.7%
Sack rate6.0%
Points / drive allowed1.79

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.000 · 44th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.067 · 21th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

5-9-2

+1.4 vs line

Home

0-6-2

Away

5-3

As favorite

2-4-1

As dog

3-5-1

O/U

12-4

+8.2 vs total

Roster

101 players

46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks6

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Jameis Winston	QB	25	6'4" 231	4	Florida State	ACT
4	Ryan Griffin	QB	31	6'5" 210	6	Tulane	ACT
6	Chad Kanoff	QB	26	6'4" 227	1	Princeton	DEV
6	Vincent Testaverde	QB	—	6'1" 211	R	Albany	CUT
7	Nick Fitzgerald	QB	23	6'5" 226	R	Mississippi State	CUT
11	Blaine Gabbert	QB	31	6'5" 235	8	Missouri	RES

Backs & receivers26

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Scott Miller	WR	22	5'9" 174	R	Bowling Green	RES
12	Chris Godwin	WR	23	6'1" 209	2	Penn State	INA
13	Mike Evans	WR	26	6'5" 231	5	Texas A&M	RES
14	Cortrelle Simpson	WR	—	5'11" 193	R	Richmond	CUT
15	K.J. Brent	WR	26	6'4" 190	3	Wake Forest	CUT
15	Cyril Grayson	WR	27	5'9" 183	2	Louisiana State	ACT
16	Bryant Mitchell	WR	27	6'2" 198	R	Northwestern State, La.	RES
17	Justin Watson	WR	23	6'3" 215	1	Pennsylvania	ACT
18	Ishmael Hyman	WR	24	6'0" 196	R	James Madison	DEV
19	Breshad Perriman	WR	27	6'2" 215	4	Central Florida	ACT
22	T.J. Logan	RB	26	5'11" 195	2	North Carolina	RES
25	Peyton Barber	RB	25	5'11" 225	3	Auburn	ACT
27	Ronald Jones	RB	22	5'11" 208	1	Southern California	ACT
32	Andre Ellington	RB	—	5'9" 200	6	Clemson	CUT
38	Aca'Cedric Ware	RB	22	6'0" 205	R	Southern California	DEV
44	Dare Ogunbowale	RB	25	5'11" 205	2	Wisconsin	ACT
80	O.J. Howard	TE	26	6'6" 250	2	Alabama	ACT
82	Antony Auclair	TE	26	6'6" 256	2	Laval, Can.	RES
83	Spencer Schnell	WR	26	5'8" 180	R	Illinois State	INA
84	Cameron Brate	TE	28	6'5" 245	5	Harvard	ACT
85	Jaydon Mickens	WR	25	5'11" 170	3	Washington	ACT
86	Troy Niklas	TE	—	6'6" 270	5	Notre Dame	CUT
86	Codey McElroy	TE	28	6'6" 258	1	Southeastern Oklahoma	INA
87	Jordan Leggett	TE	24	6'5" 258	2	Clemson	DEV
88	Tanner Hudson	TE	26	6'5" 239	1	Southern Arkansas	ACT
89	Matthew Eaton	WR	—	6'4" 211	R	Iowa State	CUT

Offensive line20

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Brad Seaton	OL	27	6'9" 330	2	Villanova	DEV
61	Zack Bailey	OL	25	6'5" 299	R	South Carolina	RES
62	Evan Smith	OL	—	6'2" 308	10	Idaho State	CUT
63	Anthony Fabiano	OL	26	6'4" 303	3	Harvard	DEV
64	Cole Boozer	OL	—	6'5" 275	1	Temple	CUT
64	Aaron Stinnie	OL	25	6'3" 312	1	James Madison	INA
65	Alex Cappa	OL	24	6'6" 305	1	Humboldt State	ACT
66	Ryan Jensen	OL	28	6'4" 319	6	Colorado State-Pueblo	ACT
67	Michael Liedtke	OL	27	6'3" 305	4	Illinois State	RES
67	Leka Uhatafe	OL	—	6'5" 315	1	Utah	CUT
68	Josh LeRibeus	OL	—	6'2" 310	7	Southern Methodist	CUT
69	Demar Dotson	OL	35	6'9" 315	10	Southern Mississippi	ACT
70	Jerald Hawkins	OL	27	6'6" 305	3	Louisiana State	INA
70	Ruben Holcomb	OL	—	6'4" 309	1	Indianapolis	CUT
71	Earl Watford	OL	29	6'4" 300	6	James Madison	ACT
72	Josh Wells	OL	28	6'6" 306	5	James Madison	ACT
72	Brock Ruble	OL	—	6'8" 325	R	Toledo	CUT
74	Ali Marpet	OL	26	6'4" 307	4	Hobart	ACT
75	William Poehls	OL	—	6'8" 344	5	Montana	CUT
76	Donovan Smith	OL	26	6'6" 338	4	Penn State	ACT

Defensive front26

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Kahzin Daniels	LB	25	6'4" 240	R	Charleston, W. Va.	INA
45	Devin White	LB	21	6'0" 237	R	Louisiana State	ACT
46	David Kenney	LB	—	6'2" 250	R	Illinois State	CUT
48	Jack Cichy	LB	23	6'2" 238	1	Wisconsin	RES
50	Vita Vea	DL	24	6'4" 347	1	Washington	ACT
51	Kevin Minter	LB	30	6'0" 246	6	Louisiana State	ACT
51	Kendell Beckwith	LB	26	6'2" 243	2	Louisiana State	RSN
52	Noah Dawkins	LB	22	6'1" 235	R	Citadel	ACT
54	Lavonte David	LB	29	6'1" 233	7	Nebraska	ACT
56	Rakeem Nunez-Roches	DL	26	6'2" 307	4	Southern Mississippi	ACT
58	Shaquil Barrett	LB	28	6'2" 250	5	Colorado State	ACT
70	Elijah Qualls	DL	—	6'1" 320	2	Washington	CUT
70	Shane Bowman	DL	—	6'4" 290	R	Washington	CUT
73	Terry Beckner	DL	22	6'4" 296	R	Missouri	CUT
78	Jeremiah Ledbetter	DL	25	6'3" 295	2	Arkansas	DEV
79	Pat O'Connor	DL	27	6'4" 270	2	Eastern Michigan	ACT
90	Jason Pierre-Paul	LB	30	6'5" 275	9	South Florida	ACT
91	Beau Allen	DL	29	6'3" 327	5	Wisconsin	INA
92	William Gholston	DL	28	6'6" 281	6	Michigan State	ACT
93	Ndamukong Suh	DL	32	6'4" 313	9	Nebraska	ACT
94	Carl Nassib	LB	26	6'7" 275	3	Penn State	ACT
95	Farrington Huguenin	LB	—	6'4" 268	3	Kentucky	CUT
95	Quinton Bell	DL	23	6'4" 253	R	Prairie View	DEV
96	Sam Acho	LB	32	6'3" 259	8	Texas	ACT
96	Stevie Tu'ikolovatu	DL	—	6'1" 320	2	USC	CUT
98	Anthony Nelson	LB	22	6'7" 272	R	Iowa	ACT

Secondary20

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
14	John Franklin	DB	26	6'1" 186	1	Florida Atlantic	ACT
21	Justin Evans	DB	24	6'0" 199	2	Texas A&M	RES
22	De'Vante Harris	DB	—	5'11" 190	3	Texas A&M	CUT
24	Darian Stewart	DB	31	5'11" 214	9	South Carolina	ACT
24	Kentrell Brice	DB	25	5'11" 200	3	Louisiana Tech	CUT
25	Lukas Denis	DB	—	5'11" 190	R	Boston College	CUT
26	Sean Murphy-Bunting	DB	22	6'0" 195	R	Central Michigan	ACT
29	Ryan Smith	DB	27	5'11" 190	3	North Carolina Central	ACT
31	Jordan Whitehead	DB	22	5'10" 198	1	Pittsburgh	RES
32	John Battle	DB	24	6'0" 201	R	Louisiana State	DEV
33	Carlton Davis	DB	24	6'1" 206	1	Auburn	ACT
34	Herb Miller	DB	23	6'2" 190	R	Florida Atlantic	DEV
34	Mike Edwards	DB	23	5'10" 200	R	Kentucky	ACT
35	Jamel Dean	DB	24	6'1" 206	R	Auburn	ACT
36	M.J. Stewart	DB	25	5'11" 205	1	North Carolina	ACT
37	Mazzi Wilkins	DB	25	6'0" 191	R	South Florida	ACT
38	D'Cota Dixon	DB	26	5'10" 204	R	Wisconsin	RES
39	Andrew Adams	DB	26	5'11" 202	3	Connecticut	ACT
39	Isaiah Johnson	DB	—	6'0" 209	3	South Carolina	CUT
45	Orion Stewart	DB	25	6'2" 205	2	Baylor	RES

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
8	Bradley Pinion	P	25	6'5" 240	4	Clemson	ACT
9	Matt Gay	K	25	6'0" 232	R	Utah	ACT
97	Zach Triner	LS	28	6'3" 245	3	Assumption	ACT

Schedule

16 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs 49ers	L 17-31	-1	-0.315
2	@ Panthers	W 20-14	+6.5	+0.017
3	vs Giants	L 31-32	-5	+0.146
4	@ Rams	W 55-40	+9	+0.274
5	@ Saints	L 24-31	+3	+0.038
6	vs Panthers	L 26-37	+2	-0.199
8	@ Titans	L 23-27	+2	-0.045
9	@ Seahawks	L 34-40	+4	+0.198
10	vs Cardinals	W 30-27	-5.5	+0.049
11	vs Saints	L 17-34	+5	-0.141
12	@ Falcons	W 35-22	+3.5	+0.182
13	@ Jaguars	W 28-11	-3	-0.066
14	vs Colts	W 38-35	-3	+0.032
15	@ Lions	W 38-17	-5.5	+0.221
16	vs Texans	L 20-23	+3	-0.214
17	vs Falcons	L 22-28	-1	-0.232