NFC South · 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
8-9
Net EPA
-0.013est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.006
- Success rate43.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.064
- EPA / rush-0.087
- Explosive rate8.4%
- CPOE-2.55
- Third-down rate41.0%
- Red-zone TD rate61.0%
- Points / drive1.89
- Turnover rate1.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.017
- Success rate allowed45.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.087
- EPA / rush allowed-0.117
- Explosive rate allowed8.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.4%
- Sack rate5.5%
- Points / drive allowed2.09
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.006 · 39th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.017 · 52th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
5-12
-3.0 vs line
Home
1-7
Away
4-5
As favorite
3-8
As dog
2-4
O/U
8-9
+0.8 vs total
Roster
82 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baker Mayfield | QB | 30 | 6'1" 215 | 7 | Oklahoma; Texas Tech | ACT |
| 10 | Teddy Bridgewater | QB | 34 | 6'2" 215 | 11 | Louisville | ACT |
| 16 | Connor Bazelak | QB | 26 | 6'3" 225 | R | Bowling Green; Indiana; Missouri | INA |
Backs & receivers21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rachaad White | RB | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 3 | Arizona State; Mt. San Antonio; Kearney State | ACT |
| 2 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | 24 | 6'1" 205 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
| 7 | Bucky Irving | RB | 23 | 5'10" 195 | 1 | Oregon; Minnesota | ACT |
| 11 | Jalen McMillan | WR | 25 | 6'1" 186 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | 32 | 6'5" 231 | 11 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 14 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | 29 | 6'1" 209 | 8 | Penn State | ACT |
| 15 | Tez Johnson | WR | 23 | 5'10" 165 | R | Oregon; Troy | ACT |
| 17 | Sterling Shepard | WR | 32 | 5'10" 201 | 9 | Oklahoma | INA |
| 18 | Josh Williams | RB | 25 | 5'8" 210 | R | LSU | DEV |
| 19 | Kameron Johnson | WR | 23 | 5'10" 170 | 1 | Barton College | ACT |
| 30 | Michael Wiley | RB | 25 | 5'10" 215 | 1 | Arizona | CUT |
| 41 | Ko Kieft | TE | 27 | 6'5" 265 | 3 | Minnesota | RES |
| 44 | Sean Tucker | RB | 25 | 5'10" 210 | 2 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 49 | Owen Wright | RB | 26 | 5'9" 225 | 2 | Monmouth; William & Mary | DEV |
| 80 | Jaden Smith | WR | 25 | 6'6" 210 | R | Nevada; Tarleton State; Montana State | RES |
| 82 | Devin Culp | TE | 25 | 6'4" 237 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 84 | Tanner Taula | TE | 28 | 6'6" 255 | 2 | Illinois State | DEV |
| 85 | Garrett Greene | WR | 25 | 5'11" 201 | R | West Virginia | DEV |
| 87 | Payne Durham | TE | 25 | 6'5" 255 | 2 | Purdue | ACT |
| 88 | Cade Otton | TE | 26 | 6'5" 250 | 3 | Washington | ACT |
| 89 | Dennis Houston | WR | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | Western Illinois | DEV |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Mike Jordan | OL | 27 | 6'6" 315 | 6 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 62 | Graham Barton | OL | 23 | 6'5" 311 | 1 | Duke | ACT |
| 65 | Dan Feeney | OL | 31 | 6'4" 310 | 8 | Indiana | ACT |
| 66 | Ben Scott | OL | 24 | 6'5" 305 | R | Nebraska; Arizona State | DEV |
| 67 | Luke Goedeke | OL | 28 | 6'5" 310 | 3 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 68 | Ben Bredeson | OL | 27 | 6'5" 325 | 5 | Michigan | RES |
| 69 | Cody Mauch | OL | 26 | 6'6" 301 | 2 | North Dakota State | RES |
| 70 | Benjamin Chukwuma | OL | 24 | 6'6" 310 | R | Georgia State | ACT |
| 71 | Lorenz Metz | OL | 28 | 6'9" 330 | 2 | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 72 | Luke Haggard | OL | 25 | 6'7" 305 | 2 | Indiana | ACT |
| 74 | Garret Greenfield | OL | 27 | 6'7" 305 | 1 | South Dakota State | RET |
| 74 | Tyler McLellan | OL | 26 | 6'8" 355 | 1 | Campbell University | DEV |
| 77 | Charlie Heck | OL | 30 | 6'8" 315 | 5 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 78 | Tristan Wirfs | OL | 26 | 6'5" 322 | 5 | Iowa | ACT |
| 79 | Elijah Klein | OL | 25 | 6'4" 319 | 1 | Texas-El Paso | INA |
Defensive front25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Yaya Diaby | LB | 26 | 6'3" 270 | 2 | Louisville | ACT |
| 3 | Anthony Walker | LB | 30 | 6'1" 230 | 8 | Northwestern | ACT |
| 5 | Haason Reddick | LB | 32 | 6'1" 235 | 8 | Temple | ACT |
| 8 | SirVocea Dennis | LB | 25 | 6'0" 230 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 43 | Chris Braswell | LB | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
| 45 | Deion Jones | LB | 32 | 6'1" 227 | 9 | LSU | ACT |
| 50 | Vita Vea | DL | 30 | 6'4" 347 | 7 | Washington | ACT |
| 51 | David Walker | LB | 25 | 6'0" 263 | R | Central Arkansas; Southern Arkansas | RES |
| 52 | C.J. Brewer | DL | 29 | 6'2" 280 | 3 | Coastal Carolina | DEV |
| 53 | Nick Jackson | LB | 24 | 6'0" 237 | R | Iowa; Virginia | DEV |
| 54 | Lavonte David | LB | 35 | 6'1" 233 | 13 | Nebraska; Fort Scott CC | ACT |
| 56 | Benton Whitley | LB | 26 | 6'4" 250 | 3 | Holy Cross | DEV |
| 57 | John Bullock | LB | 24 | 6'0" 230 | R | Nebraska | CUT |
| 58 | Markees Watts | LB | 27 | 6'1" 240 | 2 | Charlotte | ACT |
| 59 | Mohamed Kamara | LB | 25 | 6'1" 250 | 1 | Colorado State | DEV |
| 64 | Nash Hutmacher | DL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | R | Nebraska | DEV |
| 90 | Logan Hall | DL | 25 | 6'6" 275 | 3 | Houston | ACT |
| 91 | Jason Pierre-Paul | DL | 36 | 6'5" 275 | 15 | University of South Florida; Fort Scott CC; College of the Canyons | ACT |
| 92 | Elijah Simmons | DL | 24 | 6'1" 313 | R | Tennessee | INA |
| 93 | Jayson Jones | DL | 25 | 6'6" 340 | R | Auburn; Oregon | DEV |
| 94 | Calijah Kancey | DL | 24 | 6'0" 275 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 95 | Elijah Roberts | DL | 25 | 6'4" 295 | R | SMU; Miami | ACT |
| 96 | Greg Gaines | DL | 29 | 6'1" 312 | 6 | Washington | ACT |
| 97 | Adam Gotsis | DL | 34 | 6'4" 287 | 9 | Georgia Tech | DEV |
| 98 | Anthony Nelson | LB | 28 | 6'7" 272 | 6 | Iowa | INA |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Benjamin Morrison | DB | 21 | 6'0" 190 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 22 | Kindle Vildor | DB | 29 | 5'11" 190 | 5 | Georgia Southern | ACT |
| 23 | Tykee Smith | DB | 24 | 5'10" 205 | 1 | Georgia; West Virginia | ACT |
| 25 | Jacob Parrish | DB | 21 | 5'10" 198 | R | Kansas State | ACT |
| 27 | Zyon McCollum | DB | 26 | 6'2" 200 | 3 | Sam Houston State | RES |
| 28 | Damarion Williams | DB | 27 | 5'10" 180 | 3 | Houston | DEV |
| 29 | Christian Izien | DB | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 2 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 31 | Antoine Winfield Jr. | DB | 27 | 5'9" 205 | 5 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 32 | Josh Hayes | DB | 26 | 6'0" 189 | 2 | Kansas State; Virginia; North Dakota State | ACT |
| 34 | Bryce Hall | DB | 29 | 6'1" 201 | 5 | Virginia | DEV |
| 35 | Jamel Dean | DB | 30 | 6'1" 206 | 6 | Auburn; Ohio State | INA |
| 36 | JJ Roberts | DB | 25 | 6'0" 184 | R | Marshall | RES |
| 38 | Rashad Wisdom | DB | 24 | 5'9" 210 | 1 | Texas-San Antonio | ACT |
| 39 | Marcus Banks | DB | 26 | 6'0" 190 | 1 | Mississippi State; Alabama | DEV |
| 48 | J.T. Gray | DB | 29 | 6'0" 202 | 7 | Mississippi State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chase McLaughlin | K | 29 | 6'0" 187 | 6 | Illinois | ACT |
| 9 | Riley Dixon | P | 32 | 6'4" 221 | 9 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 86 | Evan Deckers | LS | 26 | 6'3" 244 | 2 | Duke | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Falcons | W 23-20 | -1.5 | +0.140 |
| 2 | @ Texans | W 20-19 | +2.5 | +0.166 |
| 3 | vs Jets | W 29-27 | -6.5 | -0.013 |
| 4 | vs Eagles | L 25-31 | +3.5 | -0.116 |
| 5 | @ Seahawks | W 38-35 | +3.5 | +0.390 |
| 6 | vs 49ers | W 30-19 | -3.5 | +0.290 |
| 7 | @ Lions | L 9-24 | +6 | -0.334 |
| 8 | @ Saints | W 23-3 | -4.5 | -0.164 |
| 10 | vs Patriots | L 23-28 | -2.5 | +0.067 |
| 11 | @ Bills | L 32-44 | +6 | +0.099 |
| 12 | @ Rams | L 7-34 | +7 | -0.395 |
| 13 | vs Cardinals | W 20-17 | -4.5 | -0.030 |
| 14 | vs Saints | L 20-24 | -7.5 | -0.149 |
| 15 | vs Falcons | L 28-29 | -6 | +0.132 |
| 16 | @ Panthers | L 20-23 | -3 | +0.079 |
| 17 | @ Dolphins | L 17-20 | -5.5 | +0.037 |
| 18 | vs Panthers | W 16-14 | -3 | +0.018 |