NFC South · 2002
Atlanta Falcons
Record
9-6-1
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.032est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.036
- Success rate42.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.092
- EPA / rush-0.038
- Explosive rate9.3%
- Third-down rate42.9%
- Red-zone TD rate53.8%
- Points / drive1.94
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.049
- Success rate allowed40.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.023
- EPA / rush allowed-0.090
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)14.0%
- Sack rate7.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.45
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.036 · 78th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.049 · 40th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
+3.7 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
6-2
As favorite
6-5
As dog
4-1
O/U
8-8
+2.7 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Michael Vick | QB | 22 | 6'0" 215 | 1 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 11 | Doug Johnson | QB | 26 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Kurt Kittner | QB | 22 | 6'2" 221 | R | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warrick Dunn | RB | 27 | 5'9" 180 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 38 | George Layne | RB | 25 | 5'11" 253 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 45 | T.J. Duckett | RB | 21 | 6'0" 254 | R | — | ACT |
| 48 | Derek Rackley | TE | 25 | 6'4" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Trevor Gaylor | WR | 26 | 6'3" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Darrin Chiaverini | WR | 26 | 6'2" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Alge Crumpler | TE | 26 | 6'2" 262 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Shawn Jefferson | WR | 33 | 5'11" 185 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Brian Kozlowski | TE | 33 | 6'3" 250 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Finneran | WR | 26 | 6'5" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Jimmy Farris | WR | 24 | 6'0" 193 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Quentin McCord | WR | 24 | 5'10" 188 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Reggie Kelly | TE | 25 | 6'3" 255 | 3 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 25 | 6'1" 286 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Roberto Garza | C | 23 | 6'2" 296 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Martin Bibla | G | 24 | 6'3" 306 | R | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kynan Forney | G | 25 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Michael Thompson | T | 25 | 6'4" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Bob Whitfield | T | 32 | 6'5" 310 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Travis Claridge | G | 24 | 6'5" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Todd Weiner | T | 28 | 6'4" 297 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Kevin Shaffer | T | 22 | 6'5" 290 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Artie Ulmer | MLB | 29 | 6'3" 247 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Karon Riley | DE | 24 | 6'2" 268 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Matt Stewart | OLB | 23 | 6'3" 232 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Mark Simoneau | MLB | 25 | 6'0" 234 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Chris Draft | MLB | 26 | 5'11" 232 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 55 | John Thierry | OLB | 32 | 6'4" 262 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Brooking | MLB | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Ellis Johnson | NT | 30 | 6'2" 288 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Ronald Flemons | DE | 24 | 6'5" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Ryan Watson | DT | 25 | 6'2" 291 | R | — | ACT |
| 79 | Ryan Watson | DT | 25 | 6'2" 291 | R | — | TRC |
| 91 | Brady Smith | DE | 29 | 6'5" 274 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Sam Rogers | OLB | 32 | 6'3" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Edward Jasper | NT | 29 | 6'2" 293 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Patrick Kerney | DE | 27 | 6'5" 273 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Travis Hall | DE | 30 | 6'5" 295 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Allen Rossum | CB | 28 | 5'8" 178 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Juran Bolden | CB | 28 | 6'2" 207 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Gerald McBurrows | SS | 30 | 5'11" 208 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Kevin Mathis | CB | 28 | 5'9" 185 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Fred Weary | CB | 28 | 5'10" 181 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Keion Carpenter | FS | 26 | 5'11" 205 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Henry Jones | FS | 36 | 6'0" 200 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Ashley Ambrose | CB | 33 | 5'10" 187 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Ray Buchanan | CB | 32 | 5'9" 186 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Johndale Carty | SS | 25 | 6'0" 196 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Kevin McCadam | SS | 23 | 6'1" 219 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jay Feely | K | 26 | 5'10" 206 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Chris Mohr | P | 36 | 6'5" 215 | 13 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Packers | L 34-37 | +7 | +0.293 |
| 2 | vs Bears | L 13-14 | -2.5 | -0.193 |
| 3 | vs Bengals | W 30-3 | -7 | +0.105 |
| 5 | vs Buccaneers | L 6-20 | -2.5 | -0.376 |
| 6 | @ Giants | W 17-10 | +6 | +0.256 |
| 7 | vs Panthers | W 30-0 | -4 | +0.179 |
| 8 | @ Saints | W 37-35 | +3.5 | +0.280 |
| 9 | vs Ravens | W 20-17 | -7 | -0.142 |
| 10 | @ Steelers | T 34-34 | +5.5 | +0.046 |
| 11 | vs Saints | W 24-17 | -1.5 | +0.134 |
| 12 | @ Panthers | W 41-0 | -3.5 | +0.226 |
| 13 | @ Vikings | W 30-24 | -3.5 | +0.014 |
| 14 | @ Buccaneers | L 10-34 | +3.5 | -0.194 |
| 15 | vs Seahawks | L 24-30 | -9.5 | -0.158 |
| 16 | vs Lions | W 36-15 | -10.5 | +0.161 |
| 17 | @ Browns | L 16-24 | -2.5 | -0.086 |
| WC | @ Packers | W 27-7 | +6.5 | +0.082 |
| DIV | @ Eagles | L 6-20 | +7.5 | -0.180 |