NFC South · 2012
Atlanta Falcons
Record
13-3
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.136est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.091
- Success rate46.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.234
- EPA / rush-0.192
- Explosive rate7.3%
- CPOE+5.71
- Third-down rate44.9%
- Red-zone TD rate64.5%
- Points / drive2.31
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.039
- Success rate allowed42.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.013
- EPA / rush allowed-0.078
- Explosive rate allowed9.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.8%
- Sack rate4.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.60
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.091 · 74th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.039 · 26th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+4.4 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
7-6-1
As dog
2-0
O/U
5-11
-3.4 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 27 | 6'4" 217 | 4 | Boston College | ACT |
| 4 | Dominique Davis | QB | 23 | 6'3" 210 | R | — | ACT |
| 12 | Luke McCown | QB | 31 | 6'3" 212 | 8 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julio Jones | WR | 23 | 6'3" 220 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
| 17 | Tim Toone | WR | 27 | 5'10" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 19 | D.J. Davis | WR | 23 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Jacquizz Rodgers | RB | 22 | 5'6" 196 | 1 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 33 | Michael Turner | RB | 30 | 5'10" 247 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Antone Smith | RB | 28 | 5'9" 192 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 42 | Mike Cox | FB | 27 | 6'0" 252 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Jason Snelling | RB | 30 | 5'11" 234 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Michael Palmer | TE | 24 | 6'5" 252 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Harry Douglas | WR | 29 | 6'0" 183 | 4 | Louisville | ACT |
| 84 | Roddy White | WR | 32 | 6'0" 211 | 7 | Alabama-Birmingham | ACT |
| 86 | Chase Coffman | TE | 27 | 6'6" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Tony Gonzalez | TE | 36 | 6'5" 247 | 15 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Joe Hawley | C | 25 | 6'3" 302 | 2 | Nevada-Las Vegas | ACT |
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 35 | 6'1" 296 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Justin Blalock | G | 30 | 6'4" 326 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Peter Konz | G | 24 | 6'5" 317 | R | — | ACT |
| 68 | Phillipkeith Manley | G | 22 | 6'5" 309 | R | — | ACT |
| 69 | Harland Gunn | G | 23 | 6'2" 310 | R | — | TRT |
| 69 | Harland Gunn | G | 23 | 6'2" 310 | R | — | ACT |
| 72 | Sam Baker | T | 27 | 6'5" 301 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Lamar Holmes | T | 23 | 6'5" 333 | R | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 77 | Tyson Clabo | T | 32 | 6'6" 329 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Mike Johnson | G | 25 | 6'6" 304 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Robert James | OLB | 30 | 5'11" 224 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Akeem Dent | MLB | 26 | 6'1" 239 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 53 | Mike Peterson | OLB | 36 | 6'1" 226 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Stephen Nicholas | OLB | 29 | 6'3" 236 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 55 | John Abraham | DE | 34 | 6'4" 263 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Sean Weatherspoon | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 244 | 2 | Missouri | ACT |
| 71 | Kroy Biermann | DE | 28 | 6'3" 255 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Lawrence Sidbury | DE | 26 | 6'3" 261 | 3 | Richmond | ACT |
| 91 | Corey Peters | DT | 24 | 6'3" 305 | 2 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 92 | Travian Robertson | DT | 25 | 6'4" 304 | R | — | ACT |
| 94 | Peria Jerry | DT | 28 | 6'2" 295 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Jonathan Babineaux | DT | 32 | 6'2" 300 | 7 | Iowa | ACT |
| 96 | Jonathan Massaquoi | DE | 24 | 6'2" 264 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | Cliff Matthews | DE | 23 | 6'4" 268 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Vance Walker | DT | 25 | 6'2" 304 | 3 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Christopher Owens | CB | 27 | 5'9" 180 | 3 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 31 | 5'10" 185 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Dunta Robinson | CB | 30 | 5'10" 183 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Chris Hope | SS | 33 | 6'0" 208 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 25 | William Moore | SS | 27 | 6'0" 221 | 3 | Missouri | ACT |
| 26 | Charles Mitchell | FS | 24 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Robert McClain | CB | 24 | 5'9" 195 | 2 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 28 | Thomas DeCoud | FS | 27 | 6'2" 192 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Dominique Franks | CB | 26 | 6'0" 197 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 37 | 5'9" 203 | 10 | Baylor | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Bosher | P | 26 | 6'0" 208 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 47 | Josh Harris | LS | 23 | 6'1" 224 | R | Auburn | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Chiefs | W 40-24 | -1 | +0.376 |
| 2 | vs Broncos | W 27-21 | -3 | +0.014 |
| 3 | @ Chargers | W 27-3 | +3 | +0.220 |
| 4 | vs Panthers | W 30-28 | -7 | +0.079 |
| 5 | @ Commanders | W 24-17 | -3 | +0.047 |
| 6 | vs Raiders | W 23-20 | -10 | -0.224 |
| 8 | @ Eagles | W 30-17 | +1.5 | +0.272 |
| 9 | vs Cowboys | W 19-13 | -4 | +0.167 |
| 10 | @ Saints | L 27-31 | -1 | +0.188 |
| 11 | vs Cardinals | W 23-19 | -9.5 | -0.386 |
| 12 | @ Buccaneers | W 24-23 | -1 | +0.215 |
| 13 | vs Saints | W 23-13 | -3.5 | -0.163 |
| 14 | @ Panthers | L 20-30 | -3 | +0.223 |
| 15 | vs Giants | W 34-0 | -1 | +0.265 |
| 16 | @ Lions | W 31-18 | -3.5 | +0.225 |
| 17 | vs Buccaneers | L 17-22 | -3 | -0.094 |
| DIV | vs Seahawks | W 30-28 | -2.5 | +0.212 |
| CON | vs 49ers | L 24-28 | +3.5 | +0.123 |