NFC South · 2017
Atlanta Falcons
Record
10-6
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.054est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.047
- Success rate45.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.185
- EPA / rush-0.152
- Explosive rate9.7%
- CPOE+2.96
- Third-down rate44.1%
- Red-zone TD rate57.2%
- Points / drive2.02
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.010
- Success rate allowed44.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.054
- EPA / rush allowed-0.122
- Explosive rate allowed7.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.9%
- Sack rate5.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.78
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.047 · 76th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.010 · 56th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-1.7 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
2-6
As favorite
6-7
As dog
1-2
O/U
5-11
-6.9 vs total
Roster
92 players
55 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Knight | QB | 25 | 6'1" 215 | R | Texas A&M | NWT |
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 32 | 6'4" 217 | 9 | Boston College | ACT |
| 4 | Matt Simms | QB | 30 | 6'3" 210 | 5 | Tennessee | CUT |
| 8 | Matt Schaub | QB | 36 | 6'6" 245 | 13 | Virginia | ACT |
| 18 | Garrett Grayson | QB | 26 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | Colorado State | DEV |
Backs & receivers30
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Josh Magee | WR | — | 5'11" 170 | R | South Alabama | CUT |
| 11 | Julio Jones | WR | 28 | 6'3" 220 | 6 | Alabama | ACT |
| 11 | Reggie Davis | WR | 23 | 5'11" 170 | R | Georgia | DEV |
| 12 | Mohamed Sanu | WR | 28 | 6'2" 210 | 5 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 13 | Devin Fuller | WR | 23 | 6'0" 194 | 1 | UCLA | RES |
| 14 | Justin Hardy | WR | 27 | 5'10" 192 | 2 | East Carolina | ACT |
| 15 | Nick Williams | WR | 28 | 5'10" 184 | 4 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 16 | Rannell Hall | WR | 24 | 6'0" 200 | 2 | Central Florida | DEV |
| 16 | Anthony Dable | WR | — | 6'4" 220 | 1 | No College | CUT |
| 17 | Marvin Hall | WR | 24 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 18 | Taylor Gabriel | WR | 26 | 5'8" 167 | 3 | Abilene Christian | ACT |
| 19 | Andre Roberts | WR | 29 | 5'11" 192 | 7 | Citadel | ACT |
| 24 | Devonta Freeman | RB | 25 | 5'8" 206 | 3 | Florida State | ACT |
| 25 | Terrence Magee | RB | 24 | 5'9" 220 | 2 | LSU | ACT |
| 26 | Tevin Coleman | RB | 24 | 6'1" 210 | 2 | Indiana | ACT |
| 28 | Terron Ward | RB | 25 | 5'7" 201 | 2 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 35 | B.J. Daniels | WR | — | 5'11" 217 | 4 | South Florida | CUT |
| 38 | Kelvin Taylor | RB | — | 5'10" 205 | 1 | Florida | CUT |
| 39 | Tyler Renew | RB | — | 5'11" 217 | R | The Citadel | CUT |
| 40 | Derrick Coleman | RB | 28 | 6'0" 233 | 5 | UCLA | ACT |
| 42 | Jhurrell Pressley | RB | 25 | 5'10" 206 | 1 | New Mexico | ACT |
| 80 | Levine Toilolo | TE | 26 | 6'8" 265 | 4 | Stanford | ACT |
| 81 | Austin Hooper | TE | 24 | 6'3" 248 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Perkins | TE | 24 | 6'3" 223 | 1 | Washington | CUT |
| 83 | Darion Griswold | TE | — | 6'5" 265 | 1 | Arkansas State | CUT |
| 84 | Reginald Davis | WR | — | 6'0" 185 | R | Texas Tech | CUT |
| 85 | Eric Saubert | TE | 23 | 6'5" 253 | R | Drake | ACT |
| 87 | Deante Burton | WR | 23 | 6'2" 205 | R | Kansas State | DEV |
| 88 | Bra'lon Cherry | WR | — | 5'11" 188 | R | North Carolina State | CUT |
| 89 | Alex Gray | TE | 26 | 6'4" 231 | R | No College | DEV |
Offensive line15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Alex Mack | OL | 33 | 6'4" 311 | 8 | California | ACT |
| 62 | Larson Graham | OL | — | 6'5" 292 | R | Duquesne | CUT |
| 63 | Ben Garland | OL | 29 | 6'5" 308 | 7 | Air Force | ACT |
| 64 | Sean Harlow | OL | 22 | 6'4" 284 | R | Oregon State | ACT |
| 64 | Lucas Crowley | OL | 24 | 6'3" 269 | R | North Carolina | DEV |
| 66 | Kevin Graf | OL | — | 6'6" 309 | 3 | USC | CUT |
| 67 | Andy Levitre | OL | 31 | 6'2" 303 | 8 | Oregon State | RES |
| 68 | Austin Pasztor | OL | 28 | 6'7" 305 | 5 | Virginia | ACT |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | OL | 25 | 6'5" 305 | 3 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Wes Schweitzer | OL | 25 | 6'4" 314 | 1 | San Jose State | ACT |
| 73 | Ryan Schraeder | OL | 29 | 6'7" 300 | 4 | Valdosta State | ACT |
| 74 | Ty Sambrailo | OL | 25 | 6'5" 315 | 2 | Colorado State | ACT |
| 75 | Jamil Douglas | OL | 25 | 6'4" 308 | 2 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 76 | Daniel Brunskill | OL | 23 | 6'5" 260 | R | San Diego State | DEV |
| 79 | Wil Freeman | OL | — | 6'6" 275 | R | Southern Mississippi | CUT |
Defensive front24
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Duke Riley | LB | 23 | 6'0" 230 | R | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 43 | Jack Lynn | LB | — | 6'2" 246 | R | Minnesota | CUT |
| 44 | Vic Beasley | LB | 25 | 6'3" 246 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 45 | Deion Jones | LB | 24 | 6'1" 222 | 1 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 50 | Brooks Reed | DL | 30 | 6'3" 254 | 6 | Arizona | ACT |
| 52 | Jordan Tripp | LB | 26 | 6'3" 234 | 3 | Montana | RES |
| 53 | LaRoy Reynolds | LB | 28 | 6'1" 240 | 4 | Virginia | ACT |
| 55 | JT Jones | DL | 25 | 6'3" 245 | R | Miami (Ohio) | DEV |
| 56 | Sean Weatherspoon | LB | 31 | 6'2" 244 | 7 | Missouri | ACT |
| 59 | De'Vondre Campbell | LB | 24 | 6'3" 232 | 1 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 66 | A.J. Jefferson | DL | — | 6'3" 280 | R | Mississippi State | CUT |
| 70 | Joe Vellano | DL | 30 | 6'2" 300 | 4 | Maryland | ACT |
| 74 | Joey Ivie | DL | 22 | 6'3" 295 | R | Florida | DEV |
| 77 | Ra'Shede Hageman | DL | — | 6'6" 318 | 3 | Minnesota | CUT |
| 79 | Ahtyba Rubin | DL | 31 | 6'2" 325 | 9 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 90 | Derrick Shelby | DL | 28 | 6'2" 280 | 5 | Utah | ACT |
| 91 | Courtney Upshaw | DL | 29 | 6'2" 272 | 5 | Alabama | ACT |
| 92 | Dontari Poe | DL | 27 | 6'3" 346 | 5 | Memphis | ACT |
| 93 | Tani Tupou | DL | 26 | 6'1" 284 | 1 | Washington | DEV |
| 95 | Jack Crawford | DL | 30 | 6'5" 274 | 5 | Penn State | RES |
| 96 | Martin Ifedi | DL | 27 | 6'3" 275 | 2 | Memphis | RES |
| 97 | Grady Jarrett | DL | 24 | 6'0" 305 | 2 | Clemson | ACT |
| 98 | Takkarist McKinley | DL | 23 | 6'2" 250 | R | UCLA | ACT |
| 99 | Adrian Clayborn | DL | 29 | 6'3" 280 | 6 | Iowa | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Sharrod Neasman | DB | 27 | 5'11" 198 | 1 | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 21 | Desmond Trufant | DB | 28 | 6'0" 190 | 4 | Washington | ACT |
| 22 | Keanu Neal | DB | 22 | 6'0" 211 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 23 | Robert Alford | DB | 30 | 5'10" 186 | 4 | Southeastern Louisiana | ACT |
| 27 | Damontae Kazee | DB | 24 | 5'10" 174 | R | San Diego State | ACT |
| 30 | Deji Olatoye | DB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | North Carolina A&T | CUT |
| 32 | Jalen Collins | DB | 24 | 6'1" 203 | 2 | LSU | CUT |
| 33 | Blidi Wreh-Wilson | DB | 29 | 6'1" 190 | 4 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 34 | Brian Poole | DB | 26 | 5'9" 211 | 1 | Florida | ACT |
| 35 | Leon McFadden | DB | 28 | 5'10" 190 | 4 | San Diego State | ACT |
| 35 | Marcelis Branch | DB | 23 | 5'11" 180 | R | Robert Morris | DEV |
| 36 | Kemal Ishmael | DB | 26 | 6'0" 206 | 4 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 37 | Ricardo Allen | DB | 27 | 5'9" 186 | 3 | Purdue | ACT |
| 41 | Quincy Mauger | DB | 22 | 6'0" 206 | R | Georgia | RES |
| 49 | Deron Washington | DB | — | 6'1" 211 | R | Pittsburg State | CUT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 42 | 5'9" 203 | 15 | Baylor | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Bosher | P | 31 | 6'0" 208 | 6 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 47 | Josh Harris | LS | 28 | 6'1" 224 | 5 | Auburn | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bears | W 23-17 | -6.5 | +0.237 |
| 2 | vs Packers | W 34-23 | -3.5 | +0.195 |
| 3 | @ Lions | W 30-26 | -3 | +0.033 |
| 4 | vs Bills | L 17-23 | -8 | -0.100 |
| 6 | vs Dolphins | L 17-20 | -14 | +0.025 |
| 7 | @ Patriots | L 7-23 | +3 | +0.058 |
| 8 | @ Jets | W 25-20 | -6.5 | -0.011 |
| 9 | @ Panthers | L 17-20 | -3 | -0.158 |
| 10 | vs Cowboys | W 27-7 | -3.5 | +0.087 |
| 11 | @ Seahawks | W 34-31 | +1 | +0.216 |
| 12 | vs Buccaneers | W 34-20 | -10.5 | +0.277 |
| 13 | vs Vikings | L 9-14 | -2 | -0.058 |
| 14 | vs Saints | W 20-17 | -2.5 | -0.011 |
| 15 | @ Buccaneers | W 24-21 | -7 | +0.224 |
| 16 | @ Saints | L 13-23 | +5.5 | -0.207 |
| 17 | vs Panthers | W 22-10 | -5 | -0.021 |
| WC | @ Rams | W 26-13 | +6.5 | +0.075 |
| DIV | @ Eagles | L 10-15 | -2.5 | -0.036 |