NFC South · 2024
Atlanta Falcons
Record
8-9
Net EPA
+0.021est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.041
- Success rate48.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.083
- EPA / rush-0.015
- Explosive rate9.7%
- CPOE-0.01
- Third-down rate39.1%
- Red-zone TD rate56.8%
- Points / drive2.10
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.042
- Success rate allowed45.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.108
- EPA / rush allowed-0.070
- Explosive rate allowed8.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.2%
- Sack rate4.5%
- Points / drive allowed2.25
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.041 · 61th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.042 · 61th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-11
-3.7 vs line
Home
3-6
Away
3-5
As favorite
5-6
As dog
1-5
O/U
7-10
+1.7 vs total
Roster
83 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | 39 | 6'4" 217 | 16 | Boston College | RET |
| 4 | Nathan Peterman | QB | 30 | 6'2" 225 | 7 | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 9 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 24 | 6'3" 213 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 11 | Emory Jones | QB | 24 | 6'2" 210 | R | Cincinnati | DEV |
| 18 | Kirk Cousins | QB | 36 | 6'3" 202 | 12 | Michigan State | ACT |
Backs & receivers21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darnell Mooney | WR | 28 | 5'11" 172 | 4 | Tulane | INA |
| 5 | Drake London | WR | 23 | 6'4" 210 | 2 | Southern California | ACT |
| 7 | Bijan Robinson | RB | 22 | 5'11" 214 | 1 | Texas | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Pitts | TE | 25 | 6'6" 250 | 3 | Florida | ACT |
| 12 | KhaDarel Hodge | WR | 29 | 6'2" 205 | 6 | Prairie View | ACT |
| 14 | Rondale Moore | WR | 24 | 5'7" 180 | 3 | Purdue | RES |
| 16 | Phillip Dorsett | WR | 31 | 5'10" 192 | 9 | Miami | DEV |
| 19 | Chris Blair | WR | 28 | 6'2" 200 | 4 | Alcorn State | ACT |
| 25 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | 24 | 5'10" 220 | 2 | Brigham Young | ACT |
| 26 | Avery Williams | RB | 26 | 5'9" 195 | 3 | Boise State | ACT |
| 28 | Carlos Washington | RB | 27 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | Southeastern Louisiana | ACT |
| 30 | Jase McClellan | RB | 22 | 5'11" 212 | R | Alabama | RES |
| 34 | Ray-Ray McCloud | WR | 29 | 5'9" 190 | 6 | Clemson | ACT |
| 39 | Robert Burns | RB | 27 | 5'11" 228 | 1 | Connecticut | RES |
| 41 | Elijah Dotson | RB | 25 | 5'9" 200 | 1 | Northern Colorado | DEV |
| 81 | Dylan Drummond | WR | 24 | 6'0" 186 | 1 | Eastern Michigan | DEV |
| 82 | Casey Washington | WR | 23 | 6'0" 200 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 85 | Ross Dwelley | TE | 29 | 6'5" 240 | 6 | San Diego | ACT |
| 86 | Jesse Matthews | WR | 25 | 6'0" 190 | 1 | San Diego State | DEV |
| 88 | Armani Rogers | TE | 28 | 6'5" 227 | 2 | Ohio | DEV |
| 89 | Charlie Woerner | TE | 28 | 6'5" 245 | 4 | Georgia | ACT |
Offensive line13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | Jovaughn Gwyn | OL | 25 | 6'2" 300 | 1 | South Carolina | DEV |
| 63 | Chris Lindstrom | OL | 27 | 6'3" 307 | 5 | Boston College | ACT |
| 64 | Ryan Neuzil | OL | 27 | 6'3" 290 | 3 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 65 | Matthew Bergeron | OL | 24 | 6'5" 322 | 1 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 67 | Drew Dalman | OL | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 3 | Stanford | ACT |
| 68 | Kyle Hinton | OL | 26 | 6'2" 310 | 4 | Washburn | ACT |
| 70 | Jake Matthews | OL | 32 | 6'5" 309 | 10 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Elijah Wilkinson | OL | 29 | 6'6" 329 | 7 | Massachusetts | INA |
| 73 | Tyler Vrabel | OL | 24 | 6'5" 307 | 2 | Boston College | RET |
| 74 | Tyrone Wheatley Jr. | OL | 27 | 6'6" 265 | 3 | Morgan State | DEV |
| 75 | Brandon Parker | OL | 30 | 6'8" 320 | 6 | North Carolina A&T | INA |
| 76 | Kaleb McGary | OL | 29 | 6'6" 306 | 5 | Washington | ACT |
| 77 | Storm Norton | OL | 30 | 6'7" 317 | 7 | Toledo | ACT |
Defensive front25
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Lorenzo Carter | LB | 30 | 6'5" 250 | 6 | Georgia | ACT |
| 15 | Matthew Judon | LB | 32 | 6'3" 261 | 8 | Grand Valley State | ACT |
| 17 | Arnold Ebiketie | LB | 25 | 6'2" 256 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 40 | JD Bertrand | LB | 24 | 6'1" 233 | R | Notre Dame | INA |
| 42 | Josh Woods | LB | 28 | 6'1" 236 | 6 | Maryland | ACT |
| 43 | Rashaan Evans | LB | 30 | 6'2" 234 | 6 | Alabama | DEV |
| 44 | Troy Andersen | LB | 25 | 6'4" 230 | 2 | Montana State | RES |
| 48 | Bralen Trice | LB | 23 | 6'4" 274 | R | Washington | RES |
| 50 | James Smith-Williams | DL | 27 | 6'4" 265 | 4 | North Carolina State | RES |
| 51 | DeAngelo Malone | LB | 25 | 6'3" 240 | 2 | Western Kentucky | ACT |
| 53 | Nate Landman | LB | 27 | 6'3" 230 | 2 | Colorado | ACT |
| 54 | Brandon Dorlus | DL | 23 | 6'3" 290 | R | Oregon | INA |
| 55 | Kaden Elliss | LB | 29 | 6'3" 240 | 5 | Idaho | ACT |
| 73 | Kyler Baugh | DL | 24 | 6'2" 295 | R | Minnesota | DEV |
| 79 | Junior Aho | DL | 25 | 6'4" 272 | 1 | Southern Methodist | DEV |
| 90 | David Onyemata | DL | 33 | 6'3" 300 | 8 | Manitoba, Can. | ACT |
| 91 | Demone Harris | DL | 30 | 6'4" 272 | 6 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 92 | Khalid Kareem | DL | 26 | 6'4" 265 | 4 | Notre Dame | DEV |
| 93 | Kentavius Street | DL | 28 | 6'2" 287 | 6 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 94 | LaCale London | DL | 27 | 6'3" 280 | 4 | Western Illinois | DEV |
| 95 | Ta'Quon Graham | DL | 27 | 6'4" 285 | 3 | Texas | RES |
| 96 | Zach Harrison | DL | 23 | 6'5" 272 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 97 | Grady Jarrett | DL | 31 | 6'0" 305 | 9 | Clemson | ACT |
| 98 | Ruke Orhorhoro | DL | 24 | 6'4" 295 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 99 | Eddie Goldman | DL | 30 | 6'3" 320 | 9 | Florida State | ACT |
Secondary15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jessie Bates | DB | 27 | 6'1" 200 | 6 | Wake Forest | ACT |
| 20 | Dee Alford | DB | 28 | 5'11" 170 | 4 | Tusculum | ACT |
| 21 | Mike Hughes | DB | 27 | 5'10" 191 | 6 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 22 | Clark Phillips III | DB | 24 | 5'10" 183 | 1 | Utah | ACT |
| 23 | DeMarcco Hellams | DB | 24 | 6'1" 208 | 1 | Alabama | RES |
| 24 | A.J. Terrell | DB | 27 | 6'1" 190 | 4 | Clemson | ACT |
| 27 | Richie Grant | DB | 28 | 6'0" 194 | 3 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 29 | Micah Abernathy | DB | 27 | 6'0" 195 | 5 | Tennessee | RES |
| 31 | Justin Simmons | DB | 32 | 6'2" 202 | 8 | Boston College | ACT |
| 32 | Kevin King | DB | 29 | 6'3" 200 | 7 | Washington | INA |
| 33 | Antonio Hamilton | DB | 31 | 6'0" 190 | 8 | South Carolina State | RES |
| 35 | Natrone Brooks | DB | 26 | 5'11" 176 | 1 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 36 | Harrison Hand | DB | 27 | 5'11" 192 | 4 | Temple | RES |
| 38 | Lamar Jackson | DB | 26 | 6'2" 215 | 4 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 45 | Benny Sapp III | DB | 24 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | Northern Iowa | DEV |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Younghoe Koo | K | 30 | 5'10" 195 | 7 | Georgia Southern | RES |
| 13 | Bradley Pinion | P | 30 | 6'5" 240 | 9 | Clemson | ACT |
| 37 | Riley Patterson | K | 26 | 6'0" 190 | 3 | Memphis | ACT |
| 49 | Liam McCullough | LS | 27 | 6'2" 237 | 4 | Ohio State | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Steelers | L 10-18 | -4 | -0.320 |
| 2 | @ Eagles | W 22-21 | +5.5 | +0.178 |
| 3 | vs Chiefs | L 17-22 | +3 | -0.035 |
| 4 | vs Saints | W 26-24 | -2.5 | -0.029 |
| 5 | vs Buccaneers | W 36-30 | -2.5 | +0.199 |
| 6 | @ Panthers | W 38-20 | -6 | +0.295 |
| 7 | vs Seahawks | L 14-34 | -3 | -0.095 |
| 8 | @ Buccaneers | W 31-26 | -1.5 | +0.243 |
| 9 | vs Cowboys | W 27-21 | -3 | +0.099 |
| 10 | @ Saints | L 17-20 | -3.5 | +0.094 |
| 11 | @ Broncos | L 6-38 | +2 | -0.252 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | L 13-17 | +1 | -0.164 |
| 14 | @ Vikings | L 21-42 | +6 | +0.066 |
| 15 | @ Raiders | W 15-9 | -6.5 | -0.181 |
| 16 | vs Giants | W 34-7 | -9.5 | +0.097 |
| 17 | @ Commanders | L 24-30 | +3.5 | +0.111 |
| 18 | vs Panthers | L 38-44 | -7.5 | +0.254 |