AFC North · 2004
Baltimore Ravens
Record
9-7
Net EPA
+0.012est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.113
- Success rate38.4%
- EPA / dropback-0.127
- EPA / rush-0.096
- Explosive rate7.6%
- Third-down rate35.0%
- Red-zone TD rate51.3%
- Points / drive1.22
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.136
- Success rate allowed39.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.139
- EPA / rush allowed-0.132
- Explosive rate allowed7.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.7%
- Sack rate6.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.03
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.113 · 19th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.136 · 2th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+0.9 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
7-4
As dog
1-3
O/U
8-8
+0.6 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2004
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Browns | L 3-20 | -3.5 | -0.197 |
| 2 | vs Steelers | W 30-13 | -4 | -0.119 |
| 3 | @ Bengals | W 23-9 | -1.5 | +0.061 |
| 4 | vs Chiefs | L 24-27 | -6 | -0.067 |
| 5 | @ Commanders | W 17-10 | +0 | -0.278 |
| 7 | vs Bills | W 20-6 | -4.5 | -0.281 |
| 8 | @ Eagles | L 10-15 | +7.5 | -0.013 |
| 9 | vs Browns | W 27-13 | -6 | -0.138 |
| 10 | @ Jets | W 20-17 | -1 | -0.018 |
| 11 | vs Cowboys | W 30-10 | -7.5 | -0.119 |
| 12 | @ Patriots | L 3-24 | +7 | -0.514 |
| 13 | vs Bengals | L 26-27 | -6.5 | +0.028 |
| 14 | vs Giants | W 37-14 | -10 | -0.071 |
| 15 | @ Colts | L 10-20 | +7.5 | -0.088 |
| 16 | @ Steelers | L 7-20 | +5 | -0.023 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | W 30-23 | -11 | -0.016 |