AFC North · 2014
Baltimore Ravens
Record
10-6
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.072est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.069
- Success rate44.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.149
- EPA / rush-0.046
- Explosive rate10.6%
- CPOE-0.77
- Third-down rate41.5%
- Red-zone TD rate57.9%
- Points / drive2.21
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.034
- Success rate allowed41.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.064
- EPA / rush allowed-0.218
- Explosive rate allowed7.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.9%
- Sack rate7.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.59
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.069 · 78th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.034 · 29th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-8-1
+2.8 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
3-4-1
As favorite
5-6-1
As dog
2-2
O/U
7-9
-0.6 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2014
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bengals | L 16-23 | -1 | -0.035 |
| 2 | vs Steelers | W 26-6 | -2.5 | +0.139 |
| 3 | @ Browns | W 23-21 | -2 | +0.118 |
| 4 | vs Panthers | W 38-10 | -3.5 | +0.439 |
| 5 | @ Colts | L 13-20 | +2.5 | -0.267 |
| 6 | @ Buccaneers | W 48-17 | -3.5 | +0.382 |
| 7 | vs Falcons | W 29-7 | -7 | +0.068 |
| 8 | @ Bengals | L 24-27 | -2.5 | -0.051 |
| 9 | @ Steelers | L 23-43 | +2.5 | -0.184 |
| 10 | vs Titans | W 21-7 | -10.5 | +0.114 |
| 12 | @ Saints | W 34-27 | +2.5 | +0.323 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | L 33-34 | -6.5 | +0.207 |
| 14 | @ Dolphins | W 28-13 | +3 | +0.336 |
| 15 | vs Jaguars | W 20-12 | -14 | -0.007 |
| 16 | @ Texans | L 13-25 | -6 | -0.414 |
| 17 | vs Browns | W 20-10 | -14 | +0.057 |
| WC | @ Steelers | W 30-17 | +3 | +0.230 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 31-35 | +7 | +0.190 |