AFC East · 2009
Buffalo Bills
Record
6-10
Net EPA
-0.080est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.125
- Success rate38.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.122
- EPA / rush-0.129
- Explosive rate7.4%
- CPOE-1.89
- Third-down rate26.3%
- Red-zone TD rate45.2%
- Points / drive1.20
- Turnover rate2.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.039
- Success rate allowed41.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.116
- EPA / rush allowed+0.052
- Explosive rate allowed9.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.4%
- Sack rate5.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.53
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.125 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.039 · 40th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
-0.6 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-1
As dog
5-7
O/U
6-10
-3.8 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brian Brohm | QB | 25 | 6'3" 223 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 4 | Brian Brohm | QB | 25 | 6'3" 223 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 5 | Trent Edwards | QB | 27 | 6'4" 231 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Gibran Hamdan | QB | 28 | 6'4" 220 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | 28 | 6'2" 225 | 4 | Harvard | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Roscoe Parrish | WR | 27 | 5'9" 171 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Steve Johnson | WR | 23 | 6'2" 202 | 1 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 17 | Justin Jenkins | WR | 30 | 6'0" 207 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Fred Jackson | RB | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | Coe | ACT |
| 23 | Marshawn Lynch | RB | 23 | 5'11" 215 | 2 | California | ACT |
| 38 | Corey McIntyre | FB | 30 | 6'0" 258 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Terrell Owens | WR | 37 | 6'3" 224 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Josh Reed | WR | 29 | 5'10" 210 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Lee Evans | WR | 28 | 5'10" 197 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 84 | James Hardy | WR | 25 | 6'5" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Joe Klopfenstein | TE | 27 | 6'5" 262 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Jonathan Stupar | TE | 25 | 6'3" 254 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Shawn Nelson | TE | 25 | 6'5" 240 | R | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Christian Gaddis | G | 26 | 6'1" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Richie Incognito | G | 26 | 6'3" 330 | 4 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 62 | Richie Incognito | G | 26 | 6'3" 330 | 4 | Nebraska | TRC |
| 63 | Geoff Hangartner | C | 27 | 6'5" 301 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Andy Levitre | G | 23 | 6'2" 305 | R | Oregon State | ACT |
| 69 | Jamon Meredith | T | 23 | 6'5" 304 | R | South Carolina | ACT |
| 69 | Jamon Meredith | T | 23 | 6'5" 304 | R | South Carolina | TRC |
| 73 | Kirk Chambers | T | 30 | 6'7" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Nick Hennessey | T | 23 | 6'5" 291 | R | — | ACT |
| 76 | Andre Ramsey | T | 22 | 6'5" 322 | R | — | ACT |
| 79 | Jonathan Scott | T | 26 | 6'6" 318 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Josh Stamer | OLB | 33 | 6'2" 242 | 8 | — | TRD |
| 50 | Josh Stamer | OLB | 33 | 6'2" 242 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Paul Posluszny | MLB | 26 | 6'1" 238 | 2 | Penn State | ACT |
| 52 | Chris Draft | OLB | 33 | 5'11" 232 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jon Corto | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 208 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Aaron Maybin | DE | 21 | 6'4" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Ashlee Palmer | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 236 | R | — | ACT |
| 90 | Chris Kelsay | DE | 31 | 6'4" 261 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Spencer Johnson | DT | 29 | 6'3" 286 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ryan Denney | DE | 32 | 6'7" 264 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Chris Ellis | DE | 24 | 6'4" 261 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Aaron Schobel | DE | 33 | 6'4" 243 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Kyle Williams | DT | 26 | 6'1" 306 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 96 | Ryan Manalac | LB | 25 | 6'0" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | John McCargo | DT | 26 | 6'2" 307 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Marcus Stroud | DT | 31 | 6'6" 310 | 8 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donte Whitner | FS | 24 | 5'10" 208 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 21 | John Wendling | SS | 26 | 6'1" 222 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Ellis Lankster | CB | 22 | 5'9" 190 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Ashton Youboty | CB | 25 | 5'11" 189 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Reggie Corner | CB | 27 | 5'9" 175 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Drayton Florence | CB | 30 | 6'0" 195 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 37 | George Wilson | SS | 28 | 6'0" 212 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Bryan Scott | SS | 28 | 6'1" 219 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 47 | Cary Harris | DB | 22 | 5'11" 188 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brian Moorman | P | 33 | 6'0" 172 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Rian Lindell | K | 32 | 6'3" 233 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Garrison Sanborn | LS | 24 | 6'0" 240 | R | Florida State | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Patriots | L 24-25 | +13.5 | +0.138 |
| 2 | vs Buccaneers | W 33-20 | -4.5 | -0.011 |
| 3 | vs Saints | L 7-27 | +5.5 | -0.166 |
| 4 | @ Dolphins | L 10-38 | +1 | -0.368 |
| 5 | vs Browns | L 3-6 | -6 | -0.173 |
| 6 | @ Jets | W 16-13 | +9.5 | -0.107 |
| 7 | @ Panthers | W 20-9 | +7 | -0.177 |
| 8 | vs Texans | L 10-31 | +3.5 | -0.337 |
| 10 | @ Titans | L 17-41 | +9 | -0.183 |
| 11 | @ Jaguars | L 15-18 | +9 | -0.050 |
| 12 | vs Dolphins | W 31-14 | +3.5 | +0.195 |
| 13 | vs Jets | L 13-19 | +3.5 | -0.345 |
| 14 | @ Chiefs | W 16-10 | -3 | -0.218 |
| 15 | vs Patriots | L 10-17 | +6.5 | -0.121 |
| 16 | @ Falcons | L 3-31 | +9 | -0.431 |
| 17 | vs Colts | W 30-7 | -9 | +0.170 |