NFC South · 2013
Carolina Panthers
Record
12-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.101est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.050
- Success rate42.1%
- EPA / dropback+0.130
- EPA / rush-0.056
- Explosive rate7.3%
- CPOE+1.02
- Third-down rate44.3%
- Red-zone TD rate64.7%
- Points / drive2.03
- Turnover rate1.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.094
- Success rate allowed42.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.060
- EPA / rush allowed-0.164
- Explosive rate allowed8.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)23.8%
- Sack rate8.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.39
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.050 · 71th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.094 · 9th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+4.7 vs line
Home
6-1-1
Away
3-5
As favorite
6-4-1
As dog
3-2
O/U
5-11
-5.6 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Newton | QB | 24 | 6'5" 245 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 3 | Derek Anderson | QB | 30 | 6'6" 240 | 8 | Oregon State | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brandon LaFell | WR | 28 | 6'2" 210 | 3 | LSU | ACT |
| 12 | Tavarres King | WR | 23 | 6'0" 191 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 12 | Tavarres King | WR | 23 | 6'0" 191 | R | Georgia | TRC |
| 15 | Marvin McNutt | WR | 24 | 6'2" 216 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 15 | Marvin McNutt | WR | 24 | 6'2" 216 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Ted Ginn | WR | 28 | 5'11" 185 | 6 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 25 | Kenjon Barner | RB | 24 | 5'9" 190 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 28 | Jonathan Stewart | RB | 26 | 5'10" 235 | 5 | Oregon | ACT |
| 34 | DeAngelo Williams | RB | 30 | 5'9" 215 | 7 | Memphis | ACT |
| 35 | Mike Tolbert | FB | 29 | 5'9" 245 | 5 | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 47 | Richie Brockel | TE | 27 | 6'1" 255 | 3 | Boise State | ACT |
| 84 | Ben Hartsock | TE | 33 | 6'4" 265 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brandon Williams | TE | 27 | 6'4" 250 | R | Oregon | ACT |
| 87 | Domenik Hixon | WR | 30 | 6'2" 205 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Greg Olsen | TE | 28 | 6'5" 250 | 6 | Miami | ACT |
| 89 | Steve Smith | WR | 34 | 5'9" 185 | 12 | Utah | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Geoff Hangartner | G | 31 | 6'5" 305 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Brian Folkerts | C | 23 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | Washburn | ACT |
| 67 | Ryan Kalil | C | 28 | 6'2" 300 | 6 | USC | ACT |
| 69 | Jordan Gross | T | 33 | 6'4" 305 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Travelle Wharton | G | 32 | 6'4" 315 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Travis Bond | G | 24 | 6'6" 330 | R | — | ACT |
| 74 | Travis Bond | G | 24 | 6'6" 330 | R | — | TRD |
| 75 | Chris Scott | G | 26 | 6'4" 315 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 77 | Byron Bell | T | 24 | 6'5" 340 | 2 | New Mexico | ACT |
| 78 | Nate Chandler | T | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | UCLA | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Jason Williams | OLB | 27 | 6'1" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Dan Connor | MLB | 29 | 6'2" 241 | 5 | — | TRD |
| 55 | Dan Connor | MLB | 29 | 6'2" 241 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 56 | A.J. Klein | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 245 | R | Iowa State | ACT |
| 57 | Jordan Senn | OLB | 29 | 5'11" 225 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Thomas Davis | OLB | 30 | 6'1" 235 | 8 | Georgia | ACT |
| 59 | Luke Kuechly | MLB | 22 | 6'3" 235 | 1 | Boston College | ACT |
| 76 | Greg Hardy | DE | 25 | 6'4" 290 | 3 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 90 | Frank Alexander | DE | 25 | 6'4" 270 | 1 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 91 | Colin Cole | DT | 33 | 6'2" 335 | 10 | Iowa | ACT |
| 92 | Dwan Edwards | DT | 32 | 6'3" 305 | 9 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 93 | Chase Blackburn | MLB | 30 | 6'3" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Charles Johnson | DE | 27 | 6'2" 285 | 6 | Georgia | ACT |
| 96 | Wes Horton | DE | 25 | 6'5" 265 | R | Southern California | ACT |
| 97 | Mario Addison | DE | 27 | 6'3" 260 | 2 | Troy | ACT |
| 98 | Star Lotulelei | DT | 25 | 6'2" 315 | R | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Kawann Short | DT | 24 | 6'3" 310 | R | Purdue | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Michael Mitchell | SS | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | Ohio U. | ACT |
| 22 | Josh Thomas | CB | 24 | 5'11" 190 | 2 | Buffalo | ACT |
| 23 | Melvin White | DB | 23 | 6'1" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 24 | Josh Norman | CB | 27 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 27 | Quintin Mikell | FS | 34 | 5'10" 205 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Drayton Florence | CB | 34 | 6'0" 200 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Robert Lester | DB | 25 | 6'1" 215 | R | — | ACT |
| 41 | Captain Munnerlyn | CB | 25 | 5'8" 195 | 4 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 42 | Colin Jones | FS | 27 | 6'0" 210 | 2 | Texas Christian | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brad Nortman | P | 25 | 6'2" 210 | 1 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 9 | Graham Gano | K | 26 | 6'2" 200 | 4 | Florida State | ACT |
| 44 | J.J. Jansen | LS | 27 | 6'2" 245 | 5 | Notre Dame | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Seahawks | L 7-12 | +3 | +0.032 |
| 2 | @ Bills | L 23-24 | -3.5 | -0.001 |
| 3 | vs Giants | W 38-0 | +1 | +0.140 |
| 5 | @ Cardinals | L 6-22 | -3 | -0.332 |
| 6 | @ Vikings | W 35-10 | +2.5 | +0.337 |
| 7 | vs Rams | W 30-15 | -8 | +0.085 |
| 8 | @ Buccaneers | W 31-13 | -6.5 | +0.220 |
| 9 | vs Falcons | W 34-10 | -10 | +0.129 |
| 10 | @ 49ers | W 10-9 | +6 | -0.151 |
| 11 | vs Patriots | W 24-20 | -3 | +0.291 |
| 12 | @ Dolphins | W 20-16 | -4.5 | -0.021 |
| 13 | vs Buccaneers | W 27-6 | -7.5 | +0.056 |
| 14 | @ Saints | L 13-31 | +3 | -0.031 |
| 15 | vs Jets | W 30-20 | -10 | +0.160 |
| 16 | vs Saints | W 17-13 | -3.5 | -0.116 |
| 17 | @ Falcons | W 21-20 | -5.5 | -0.020 |
| DIV | vs 49ers | L 10-23 | +0 | -0.049 |