NFC South · 2017
Carolina Panthers
Record
11-5
Seed
#5
Net EPA
-0.008est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.018
- Success rate41.3%
- EPA / dropback+0.040
- EPA / rush-0.096
- Explosive rate8.9%
- CPOE-2.85
- Third-down rate43.2%
- Red-zone TD rate55.8%
- Points / drive1.87
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.060
- Success rate allowed42.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.013
- EPA / rush allowed-0.156
- Explosive rate allowed8.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)22.5%
- Sack rate7.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.69
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.018 · 60th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.060 · 27th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+1.0 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-3
As favorite
4-5
As dog
5-2
O/U
9-7
-0.7 vs total
Roster
96 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Newton | QB | 28 | 6'5" 245 | 6 | Auburn | ACT |
| 3 | Derek Anderson | QB | 34 | 6'6" 235 | 12 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 4 | Garrett Gilbert | QB | 26 | 6'4" 230 | 3 | Southern Methodist | ACT |
Backs & receivers28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fred Ross | WR | 22 | 6'2" 210 | R | Mississippi State | RES |
| 10 | Rasheed Bailey | WR | 24 | 6'1" 209 | 2 | Delaware Valley | DEV |
| 10 | Curtis Samuel | WR | 21 | 5'11" 195 | R | Ohio State | RES |
| 11 | Brenton Bersin | WR | 27 | 6'3" 210 | 5 | Wofford | ACT |
| 12 | Charles D. Johnson | WR | 28 | 6'2" 217 | 4 | Grand Valley State | RES |
| 12 | Kaelin Clay | WR | 25 | 5'10" 195 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 14 | Mose Frazier | WR | 24 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | Memphis | ACT |
| 15 | Keyarris Garrett | WR | 26 | 6'3" 215 | 1 | Tulsa | CUT |
| 15 | Jamaal Jones | WR | 24 | 6'1" 189 | 1 | Montana | DEV |
| 16 | Austin Duke | WR | 24 | 5'9" 170 | R | North Carolina-Charlotte | DEV |
| 17 | Devin Funchess | WR | 23 | 6'4" 225 | 2 | Michigan | ACT |
| 18 | Damiere Byrd | WR | 24 | 5'9" 180 | 2 | South Carolina | RES |
| 19 | Russell Shepard | WR | 28 | 6'1" 195 | 4 | LSU | ACT |
| 22 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | 21 | 5'11" 205 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 28 | Jonathan Stewart | RB | 30 | 5'10" 240 | 9 | Oregon | ACT |
| 34 | Cameron Artis-Payne | RB | 27 | 5'10" 215 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 36 | Darrel Young | RB | — | 5'11" 251 | 8 | Villanova | CUT |
| 40 | Alex Armah | RB | 23 | 6'1" 255 | R | West Georgia | ACT |
| 43 | Fozzy Whittaker | RB | 28 | 5'10" 205 | 5 | Texas | ACT |
| 46 | Eric Wallace | TE | — | 6'6" 260 | 1 | Seattle | CUT |
| 80 | Scott Simonson | TE | 25 | 6'5" 255 | 3 | Assumption | RES |
| 82 | Chris Manhertz | TE | 25 | 6'6" 255 | 2 | Canisius | RES |
| 84 | Ed Dickson | TE | 30 | 6'4" 255 | 7 | Oregon | ACT |
| 85 | Bryce Williams | TE | — | 6'6" 260 | 1 | East Carolina | CUT |
| 85 | Evan Baylis | TE | 25 | 6'6" 250 | R | Oregon | DEV |
| 86 | Bucky Hodges | TE | 22 | 6'6" 257 | R | Virginia Military Inst. | CUT |
| 87 | Trevor Graham | WR | — | 5'11" 190 | 5 | North Carolina State | CUT |
| 88 | Greg Olsen | TE | 32 | 6'5" 255 | 10 | Miami | ACT |
Offensive line17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Daryl Williams | OL | 25 | 6'6" 330 | 2 | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 61 | David Yankey | OL | 25 | 6'6" 315 | 3 | Stanford | RES |
| 64 | Brian Folkerts | OL | — | 6'4" 310 | 5 | Washburn | CUT |
| 64 | Dorian Johnson | OL | 24 | 6'5" 305 | R | Pittsburgh | DEV |
| 65 | Amini Silatolu | OL | 30 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | Midwestern State | ACT |
| 66 | Gino Gradkowski | OL | — | 6'3" 300 | 5 | Delaware | CUT |
| 67 | Ryan Kalil | OL | 32 | 6'2" 300 | 10 | USC | ACT |
| 68 | Andrew Norwell | OL | 27 | 6'6" 325 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 69 | Tyler Larsen | OL | 26 | 6'4" 325 | 3 | Utah State | ACT |
| 70 | Trai Turner | OL | 24 | 6'3" 315 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 71 | Dan France | OL | 26 | 6'6" 315 | 3 | Michigan State | RES |
| 72 | Taylor Moton | OL | 23 | 6'5" 325 | R | Western Michigan | ACT |
| 73 | Greg Van Roten | OL | 27 | 6'3" 305 | 5 | Pennsylvania | ACT |
| 74 | John Theus | OL | 23 | 6'6" 303 | 1 | Georgia | RES |
| 75 | Matt Kalil | OL | 28 | 6'7" 315 | 5 | USC | ACT |
| 76 | Blaine Clausell | OL | 25 | 6'6" 330 | 2 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 79 | Chris Scott | OL | 30 | 6'4" 330 | 7 | Tennessee | CUT |
Defensive front26
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Richie Brown | LB | 23 | 6'2" 234 | R | Mississippi State | DEV |
| 52 | Jared Norris | LB | 24 | 6'1" 238 | 1 | Utah | RES |
| 53 | Ben Jacobs | LB | 29 | 6'4" 240 | 6 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 54 | Shaq Thompson | LB | 23 | 6'0" 230 | 2 | Washington | ACT |
| 55 | David Mayo | LB | 24 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | Texas State | ACT |
| 56 | Spencer Paysinger | LB | 29 | 6'0" 249 | 6 | Oregon | CUT |
| 56 | Ezekiel Bigger | LB | 26 | 6'2" 235 | R | East Carolina | CUT |
| 57 | Andrew Gachkar | LB | 30 | 6'2" 224 | 6 | Missouri | ACT |
| 58 | Thomas Davis | LB | 34 | 6'1" 235 | 12 | Georgia | ACT |
| 59 | Luke Kuechly | LB | 26 | 6'3" 238 | 5 | Boston College | ACT |
| 62 | Gabriel Mass | DL | — | 6'4" 295 | R | Lane | CUT |
| 71 | Efe Obada | DL | 25 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | No College | DEV |
| 72 | Eric Crume | DL | 25 | 6'0" 330 | 2 | Syracuse | CUT |
| 77 | Zach Moore | DL | 28 | 6'6" 275 | 3 | Concordia-St. Paul | ACT |
| 78 | Connor Wujciak | DL | — | 6'2" 291 | 1 | Boston College | CUT |
| 79 | Drew Iddings | DL | 24 | 6'5" 290 | 1 | South Dakota | RES |
| 90 | Julius Peppers | DL | 37 | 6'7" 295 | 15 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 91 | Bryan Cox | DL | 23 | 6'3" 270 | R | Florida | ACT |
| 92 | Vernon Butler | DL | 23 | 6'4" 330 | 1 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 93 | Kyle Love | DL | 32 | 6'1" 310 | 7 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 94 | Daeshon Hall | DL | 22 | 6'5" 265 | R | Texas A&M | RES |
| 95 | Charles Johnson | DL | 31 | 6'2" 278 | 10 | Georgia | ACT |
| 96 | Wes Horton | DL | 29 | 6'5" 265 | 4 | Southern California | ACT |
| 97 | Mario Addison | DL | 31 | 6'3" 260 | 6 | Troy | ACT |
| 98 | Star Lotulelei | DL | 29 | 6'2" 315 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
| 99 | Kawann Short | DL | 28 | 6'3" 315 | 4 | Purdue | ACT |
Secondary18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kurt Coleman | DB | 29 | 5'11" 208 | 7 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 21 | Teddy Williams | DB | 29 | 6'1" 210 | 7 | Texas-San Antonio | RES |
| 23 | LaDarius Gunter | DB | 25 | 6'2" 201 | 2 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 24 | James Bradberry | DB | 24 | 6'1" 212 | 1 | Samford | ACT |
| 25 | Damian Parms | DB | 26 | 6'2" 210 | 2 | Florida Atlantic | DEV |
| 26 | Daryl Worley | DB | 22 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | West Virginia | ACT |
| 27 | Kevon Seymour | DB | 25 | 6'0" 185 | 1 | Southern California | ACT |
| 29 | Mike Adams | DB | 36 | 5'11" 205 | 13 | Delaware | ACT |
| 30 | Travell Dixon | DB | — | 6'1" 210 | 2 | Washington | CUT |
| 31 | Jairus Byrd | DB | 32 | 5'10" 203 | 8 | Oregon | ACT |
| 31 | Zack Sanchez | DB | 25 | 5'11" 185 | 1 | Oklahoma | DEV |
| 32 | Cole Luke | DB | 22 | 5'11" 200 | R | Notre Dame | RES |
| 33 | Devonte Johnson | DB | — | 5'10" 180 | 1 | Weber State | CUT |
| 35 | Corn Elder | DB | 24 | 5'10" 185 | R | Miami | RES |
| 36 | Demetrious Cox | DB | 23 | 6'0" 200 | R | Michigan State | RES |
| 37 | Dezmen Southward | DB | 28 | 6'2" 208 | 3 | Wisconsin | DEV |
| 41 | Captain Munnerlyn | DB | 29 | 5'9" 195 | 8 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 42 | Colin Jones | DB | 31 | 6'0" 205 | 6 | Texas Christian | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michael Palardy | P | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 9 | Graham Gano | K | 30 | 6'2" 202 | 8 | Florida State | ACT |
| 19 | Roberto Aguayo | K | 23 | 6'0" 207 | 1 | Florida State | CUT |
| 44 | J.J. Jansen | LS | 31 | 6'2" 235 | 9 | Notre Dame | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ 49ers | W 23-3 | -4.5 | -0.014 |
| 2 | vs Bills | W 9-3 | -6.5 | -0.112 |
| 3 | vs Saints | L 13-34 | -5.5 | -0.188 |
| 4 | @ Patriots | W 33-30 | +9 | +0.337 |
| 5 | @ Lions | W 27-24 | +2 | +0.074 |
| 6 | vs Eagles | L 23-28 | -3 | -0.138 |
| 7 | @ Bears | L 3-17 | -2.5 | -0.418 |
| 8 | @ Buccaneers | W 17-3 | +1.5 | -0.106 |
| 9 | vs Falcons | W 20-17 | +3 | -0.105 |
| 10 | vs Dolphins | W 45-21 | -8 | +0.474 |
| 12 | @ Jets | W 35-27 | -5.5 | +0.041 |
| 13 | @ Saints | L 21-31 | +5.5 | -0.038 |
| 14 | vs Vikings | W 31-24 | +2.5 | +0.078 |
| 15 | vs Packers | W 31-24 | -3 | +0.173 |
| 16 | vs Buccaneers | W 22-19 | -10 | -0.065 |
| 17 | @ Falcons | L 10-22 | +5 | -0.290 |
| WC | @ Saints | L 26-31 | +6.5 | +0.133 |