NFC North · 2004
Chicago Bears
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.135est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.240
- Success rate35.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.283
- EPA / rush-0.177
- Explosive rate6.8%
- Third-down rate25.7%
- Red-zone TD rate43.9%
- Points / drive0.78
- Turnover rate3.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.102
- Success rate allowed40.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.056
- EPA / rush allowed-0.160
- Explosive rate allowed10.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.3%
- Sack rate5.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.18
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.240 · 2th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.102 · 16th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-1.7 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
1-4
As dog
5-5-1
O/U
6-10
-2.0 vs total
Roster
59 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chad Hutchinson | QB | 27 | 6'5" 237 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Jeff George | QB | 38 | 6'4" 214 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Jonathan Quinn | QB | 29 | 6'6" 240 | 6 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thomas Jones | RB | 26 | 5'10" 220 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Thomas Jones | RB | 26 | 5'10" 220 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Adrian Peterson | RB | 25 | 5'10" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Anthony Thomas | RB | 28 | 6'2" 225 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Jason McKie | FB | 24 | 5'11" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Thump Belton | RB | 23 | 6'0" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 45 | Thump Belton | RB | 23 | 6'0" 232 | R | — | TRT |
| 80 | Bernard Berrian | WR | 25 | 6'1" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 82 | John Owens | TE | 24 | 6'3" 270 | 2 | — | TRT |
| 82 | John Owens | TE | 24 | 6'3" 270 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | David Terrell | WR | 25 | 6'3" 212 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Bobby Wade | WR | 23 | 5'10" 192 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 85 | John Gilmore | TE | 26 | 6'4" 262 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Justin Gage | WR | 23 | 6'4" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Desmond Clark | TE | 27 | 6'3" 254 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Dustin Lyman | TE | 28 | 6'5" 254 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Olin Kreutz | C | 27 | 6'2" 292 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 60 | Terrence Metcalf | G | 26 | 6'3" 318 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Patrick Mannelly | C | 29 | 6'5" 265 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Bryan Anderson | G | 24 | 6'4" 330 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Bo Lacy | T | 25 | 6'4" 294 | R | — | TRC |
| 69 | Bo Lacy | T | 25 | 6'4" 294 | R | — | ACT |
| 72 | Qasim Mitchell | T | 26 | 6'6" 355 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Marc Colombo | T | 27 | 6'8" 325 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Tait | T | 29 | 6'6" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Aaron Gibson | T | 28 | 6'6" 370 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Steve Edwards | G | 25 | 6'5" 330 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Marcus Reese | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 233 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Lance Briggs | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 238 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Jeremy Cain | LB | 24 | 6'1" 231 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Joe Odom | OLB | 26 | 6'1" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Alfonso Boone | NT | 28 | 6'4" 318 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Israel Idonije | DE | 25 | 6'6" 290 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Quinn Dorsey | LB | 24 | 6'4" 268 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Tommie Harris | DT | 21 | 6'2" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 92 | Hunter Hillenmeyer | MLB | 25 | 6'4" 238 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Alain Kashama | DE | 26 | 6'4" 270 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Ian Scott | DT | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Alex Brown | DE | 25 | 6'3" 262 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Michael Haynes | DE | 25 | 6'3" 274 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Shurron Pierson | DE | 22 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Tank Johnson | NT | 24 | 6'2" 300 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | R.W. McQuarters | CB | 29 | 5'10" 195 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jerry Azumah | CB | 28 | 5'10" 192 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Bobby Gray | SS | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Todd McMillon | CB | 31 | 5'11" 188 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Jason Shivers | FS | 23 | 6'0" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Jason Shivers | FS | 23 | 6'0" 201 | R | — | TRD |
| 31 | Nathan Vasher | CB | 24 | 5'10" 180 | R | — | ACT |
| 32 | Todd Johnson | FS | 27 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Charles Tillman | CB | 23 | 6'1" 196 | 1 | Louisiana-Lafayette | ACT |
| 36 | Jerrell Pippens | DB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | R | — | TRC |
| 36 | Jerrell Pippens | DB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 43 | Mike Green | SS | 29 | 6'0" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Paul Edinger | K | 26 | 5'8" 175 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 4 | Brad Maynard | P | 30 | 6'1" 186 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lions | L 16-20 | -1.5 | -0.154 |
| 2 | @ Packers | W 21-10 | +9 | +0.095 |
| 3 | @ Vikings | L 22-27 | +12 | +0.097 |
| 4 | vs Eagles | L 9-19 | +8.5 | -0.133 |
| 6 | vs Commanders | L 10-13 | -1.5 | -0.376 |
| 7 | @ Buccaneers | L 7-19 | +7 | -0.302 |
| 8 | vs 49ers | W 23-13 | -2 | -0.406 |
| 9 | @ Giants | W 28-21 | +9 | -0.278 |
| 10 | @ Titans | W 19-17 | +5.5 | -0.427 |
| 11 | vs Colts | L 10-41 | +8 | -0.386 |
| 12 | @ Cowboys | L 7-21 | +3.5 | -0.429 |
| 13 | vs Vikings | W 24-14 | +7 | +0.019 |
| 14 | @ Jaguars | L 3-22 | +7 | -0.342 |
| 15 | vs Texans | L 5-24 | -1 | -0.490 |
| 16 | @ Lions | L 13-19 | +6 | -0.168 |
| 17 | vs Packers | L 14-31 | -3 | -0.214 |