AFC North · 2004
Cleveland Browns
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.169est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.147
- Success rate38.6%
- EPA / dropback-0.067
- EPA / rush-0.251
- Explosive rate7.6%
- Third-down rate29.2%
- Red-zone TD rate50.7%
- Points / drive1.18
- Turnover rate3.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.002
- Success rate allowed45.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.010
- EPA / rush allowed-0.015
- Explosive rate allowed7.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.1%
- Sack rate6.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.73
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.147 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.002 · 60th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-1.6 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
2-6
As favorite
1-0
As dog
5-10
O/U
7-9
+3.3 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2004
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ravens | W 20-3 | +3.5 | -0.108 |
| 2 | @ Cowboys | L 12-19 | +4.5 | -0.305 |
| 3 | @ Giants | L 10-27 | +3 | -0.119 |
| 4 | vs Commanders | W 17-13 | +2.5 | -0.129 |
| 5 | @ Steelers | L 23-34 | +4.5 | -0.010 |
| 6 | vs Bengals | W 34-17 | -3 | +0.000 |
| 7 | vs Eagles | L 31-34 | +7 | +0.207 |
| 9 | @ Ravens | L 13-27 | +6 | -0.299 |
| 10 | vs Steelers | L 10-24 | +3.5 | -0.383 |
| 11 | vs Jets | L 7-10 | +1.5 | -0.149 |
| 12 | @ Bengals | L 48-58 | +6 | +0.193 |
| 13 | vs Patriots | L 15-42 | +11 | -0.316 |
| 14 | @ Bills | L 7-37 | +11 | -0.721 |
| 15 | vs Chargers | L 0-21 | +8 | -0.330 |
| 16 | @ Dolphins | L 7-10 | +9 | -0.072 |
| 17 | @ Texans | W 22-14 | +10 | -0.100 |