AFC North · 2009
Cleveland Browns
Record
5-11
Net EPA
-0.101est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.168
- Success rate35.2%
- EPA / dropback-0.266
- EPA / rush-0.069
- Explosive rate8.1%
- CPOE-10.33
- Third-down rate32.5%
- Red-zone TD rate42.9%
- Points / drive1.23
- Turnover rate3.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.072
- Success rate allowed44.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.144
- EPA / rush allowed-0.019
- Explosive rate allowed10.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.5%
- Sack rate6.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.85
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.168 · 5th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.072 · 91th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
-1.0 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
2-0
As dog
8-6
O/U
7-9
+0.1 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2009
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Vikings | L 20-34 | +4 | -0.199 |
| 2 | @ Broncos | L 6-27 | +3 | -0.340 |
| 3 | @ Ravens | L 3-34 | +13.5 | -0.328 |
| 4 | vs Bengals | L 20-23 | +6 | -0.238 |
| 5 | @ Bills | W 6-3 | +6 | -0.320 |
| 6 | @ Steelers | L 14-27 | +14 | -0.310 |
| 7 | vs Packers | L 3-31 | +9.5 | -0.396 |
| 8 | @ Bears | L 6-30 | +11.5 | -0.625 |
| 10 | vs Ravens | L 0-16 | +10.5 | -0.473 |
| 11 | @ Lions | L 37-38 | +3.5 | +0.200 |
| 12 | @ Bengals | L 7-16 | +12 | -0.133 |
| 13 | vs Chargers | L 23-30 | +13.5 | +0.148 |
| 14 | vs Steelers | W 13-6 | +10 | -0.094 |
| 15 | @ Chiefs | W 41-34 | +1 | +0.119 |
| 16 | vs Raiders | W 23-9 | -3 | -0.068 |
| 17 | vs Jaguars | W 23-17 | -1 | +0.071 |

