AFC North · 2011
Cleveland Browns
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.142est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.091
- Success rate40.3%
- EPA / dropback-0.059
- EPA / rush-0.151
- Explosive rate5.4%
- CPOE-4.62
- Third-down rate38.1%
- Red-zone TD rate56.5%
- Points / drive1.09
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.008
- Success rate allowed43.2%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.039
- EPA / rush allowed-0.025
- Explosive rate allowed9.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.3%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.58
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.091 · 19th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.008 · 67th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-7-1
-1.6 vs line
Home
3-4-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
2-3-1
As dog
6-4
O/U
4-11-1
-5.8 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2011
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bengals | L 17-27 | -6.5 | -0.126 |
| 2 | @ Colts | W 27-19 | -1 | +0.012 |
| 3 | vs Dolphins | W 17-16 | +1 | +0.066 |
| 4 | vs Titans | L 13-31 | -1 | -0.199 |
| 6 | @ Raiders | L 17-24 | +6.5 | -0.056 |
| 7 | vs Seahawks | W 6-3 | -3 | -0.121 |
| 8 | @ 49ers | L 10-20 | +9 | -0.100 |
| 9 | @ Texans | L 12-30 | +10.5 | -0.211 |
| 10 | vs Rams | L 12-13 | -2.5 | -0.054 |
| 11 | vs Jaguars | W 14-10 | -1 | +0.032 |
| 12 | @ Bengals | L 20-23 | +6.5 | +0.007 |
| 13 | vs Ravens | L 10-24 | +7 | -0.210 |
| 14 | @ Steelers | L 3-14 | +14 | -0.151 |
| 15 | @ Cardinals | L 17-20 | +6 | +0.033 |
| 16 | @ Ravens | L 14-20 | +10.5 | -0.137 |
| 17 | vs Steelers | L 9-13 | +7 | -0.238 |

