AFC West · 2009
Denver Broncos
Record
8-8
Net EPA
-0.035est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.026
- Success rate42.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.029
- EPA / rush-0.107
- Explosive rate8.9%
- CPOE-2.00
- Third-down rate36.3%
- Red-zone TD rate54.5%
- Points / drive1.49
- Turnover rate2.1%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.066
- Success rate allowed40.8%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.061
- EPA / rush allowed-0.072
- Explosive rate allowed8.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.3%
- Sack rate6.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.52
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.026 · 40th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.066 · 26th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+0.6 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-3
As dog
6-4
O/U
7-9
-0.1 vs total
Roster
55 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chris Simms | QB | 29 | 6'4" 220 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 3 | Tom Brandstater | QB | 26 | 6'5" 222 | R | — | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Orton | QB | 28 | 6'4" 216 | 4 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jabar Gaffney | WR | 30 | 6'1" 200 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Matt Willis | WR | 25 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 14 | Brandon Stokley | WR | 33 | 5'11" 192 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 15 | Brandon Marshall | WR | 25 | 6'4" 230 | 3 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 19 | Eddie Royal | WR | 23 | 5'10" 182 | 1 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 22 | Peyton Hillis | RB | 23 | 6'1" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Knowshon Moreno | RB | 22 | 5'11" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Correll Buckhalter | RB | 32 | 6'0" 217 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Correll Buckhalter | RB | 32 | 6'0" 217 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 32 | LaMont Jordan | RB | 32 | 5'10" 230 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Richard Quinn | TE | 24 | 6'4" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 84 | Brandon Lloyd | WR | 28 | 6'0" 194 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Tony Scheffler | TE | 26 | 6'5" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Daniel Graham | TE | 32 | 6'3" 257 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line7
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ben Hamilton | G | 32 | 6'4" 290 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Casey Wiegmann | C | 36 | 6'2" 285 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Seth Olsen | G | 25 | 6'4" 306 | R | — | ACT |
| 73 | Chris Kuper | G | 28 | 6'4" 302 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Tyler Polumbus | T | 24 | 6'8" 310 | 1 | Colorado | ACT |
| 77 | Brandon Gorin | T | 31 | 6'6" 308 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Ryan Clady | T | 24 | 6'6" 325 | 1 | Boise State | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | Spencer Larsen | ILB | 25 | 6'2" 240 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Andra Davis | ILB | 32 | 6'1" 250 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 55 | D.J. Williams | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 240 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Robert Ayers | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 272 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 57 | Mario Haggan | OLB | 29 | 6'3" 263 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Wesley Woodyard | ILB | 23 | 6'1" 230 | 1 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 75 | Chris Baker | NT | 23 | 6'2" 326 | R | Hampton | ACT |
| 79 | Marcus Thomas | NT | 25 | 6'3" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Kenny Peterson | DE | 32 | 6'3" 300 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Ronald Fields | NT | 29 | 6'2" 315 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Elvis Dumervil | OLB | 25 | 5'11" 260 | 3 | Louisville | ACT |
| 94 | Jarvis Moss | OLB | 25 | 6'6" 265 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Darrell Reid | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 288 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Le Kevin Smith | DE | 27 | 6'3" 308 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Ryan McBean | DE | 25 | 6'5" 290 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Vonnie Holliday | DE | 35 | 6'5" 285 | 11 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Brian Dawkins | FS | 37 | 6'0" 210 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Andre' Goodman | CB | 31 | 5'10" 190 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Renaldo Hill | SS | 32 | 5'11" 205 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Champ Bailey | CB | 31 | 6'0" 192 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Tony Carter | DB | 23 | 5'9" 177 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Ty Law | CB | 35 | 5'11" 200 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 30 | David Bruton | SS | 22 | 6'2" 219 | R | — | ACT |
| 33 | Alphonso Smith | CB | 25 | 5'9" 193 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Josh Barrett | SS | 26 | 6'2" 225 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Vernon Fox | SS | 31 | 5'10" 203 | 7 | — | ACT |
Specialists5
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Britton Colquitt | P | 24 | 6'3" 205 | R | Tennessee | TRD |
| 4 | Britton Colquitt | P | 24 | 6'3" 205 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 5 | Matt Prater | K | 25 | 5'10" 188 | 3 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 17 | Mitch Berger | P | 37 | 6'4" 228 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | LS | 31 | 6'2" 260 | 9 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bengals | W 12-7 | +4.5 | -0.047 |
| 2 | vs Browns | W 27-6 | -3 | +0.210 |
| 3 | @ Raiders | W 23-3 | -1 | +0.105 |
| 4 | vs Cowboys | W 17-10 | +1 | -0.034 |
| 5 | vs Patriots | W 20-17 | +3 | +0.090 |
| 6 | @ Chargers | W 34-23 | +3.5 | +0.179 |
| 8 | @ Ravens | L 7-30 | +4.5 | -0.171 |
| 9 | vs Steelers | L 10-28 | +3 | -0.357 |
| 10 | @ Commanders | L 17-27 | -3.5 | -0.070 |
| 11 | vs Chargers | L 3-32 | +6.5 | -0.341 |
| 12 | vs Giants | W 26-6 | +4.5 | +0.054 |
| 13 | @ Chiefs | W 44-13 | -6 | +0.070 |
| 14 | @ Colts | L 16-28 | +6.5 | -0.103 |
| 15 | vs Raiders | L 19-20 | -13.5 | -0.020 |
| 16 | @ Eagles | L 27-30 | +7 | -0.060 |
| 17 | vs Chiefs | L 24-44 | -9.5 | -0.094 |