NFC North · 2004
Green Bay Packers
Record
10-6
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.092est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.110
- Success rate46.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.241
- EPA / rush-0.085
- Explosive rate9.4%
- Third-down rate46.7%
- Red-zone TD rate66.5%
- Points / drive2.02
- Turnover rate2.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.082
- Success rate allowed44.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.161
- EPA / rush allowed-0.044
- Explosive rate allowed10.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.4%
- Sack rate6.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.79
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.110 · 88th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.082 · 91th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-8-1
+1.1 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
3-6-1
As dog
4-2
O/U
11-5
+5.2 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brett Favre | QB | 36 | 6'2" 224 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 7 | J.T. O'Sullivan | QB | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 7 | J.T. O'Sullivan | QB | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Craig Nall | QB | 25 | 6'3" 228 | 2 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nicolas Luchey | FB | 27 | 6'2" 273 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Ahman Green | RB | 27 | 6'0" 218 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 33 | William Henderson | FB | 33 | 6'1" 251 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Tony Fisher | RB | 26 | 6'1" 222 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Najeh Davenport | RB | 25 | 6'1" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Vonta Leach | RB | 24 | 6'0" 253 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Donald Driver | WR | 29 | 6'0" 192 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Andrae Thurman | WR | 25 | 5'11" 192 | R | — | ACT |
| 82 | Ben Steele | TE | 26 | 6'4" 233 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Antonio Chatman | WR | 25 | 5'9" 184 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Javon Walker | WR | 27 | 6'3" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Sean McHugh | TE | 22 | 6'5" 262 | R | — | ACT |
| 88 | Bubba Franks | TE | 26 | 6'6" 265 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Robert Ferguson | WR | 26 | 6'1" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Rob Davis | C | 37 | 6'3" 283 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Marco Rivera | G | 32 | 6'4" 307 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Scott Wells | C | 23 | 6'1" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 65 | Mark Tauscher | T | 27 | 6'4" 320 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Grey Ruegamer | G | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mike Wahle | G | 27 | 6'6" 304 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Kevin Barry | T | 25 | 6'4" 335 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Brad Bedell | T | 27 | 6'4" 306 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Chad Clifton | T | 28 | 6'5" 330 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Steve Morley | G | 23 | 6'7" 332 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Hannibal Navies | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 249 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Paris Lenon | OLB | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Steve Josue | LB | 24 | 6'2" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Nick Barnett | MLB | 23 | 6'2" 233 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Na'il Diggs | OLB | 26 | 6'4" 237 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Aaron Kampman | DE | 26 | 6'4" 284 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Grady Jackson | NT | 31 | 6'2" 340 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Cullen Jenkins | DE | 23 | 6'3" 292 | 1 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 90 | Colin Cole | DT | 24 | 6'2" 320 | 1 | Iowa | ACT |
| 91 | R-Kal Truluck | DE | 31 | 6'4" 260 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila | OLB | 28 | 6'4" 252 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Cletidus Hunt | DT | 28 | 6'4" 310 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Kenny Peterson | DT | 27 | 6'3" 295 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Corey Williams | DT | 24 | 6'3" 310 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bhawoh Jue | FS | 25 | 6'0" 199 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Mark Roman | SS | 27 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Joey Thomas | CB | 24 | 6'1" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Jason Horton | CB | 24 | 6'0" 193 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Michael Hawthorne | CB | 27 | 6'3" 204 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Ahmad Carroll | CB | 21 | 5'10" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 31 | Al Harris | CB | 31 | 6'1" 185 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Chris Johnson | CB | 26 | 5'11" 197 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Darren Sharper | FS | 30 | 6'2" 210 | 7 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ryan Longwell | K | 30 | 6'0" 202 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 9 | Bryan Barker | P | 40 | 6'1" 202 | 16 | — | ACT |
| 11 | B.J. Sander | P | 24 | 6'4" 217 | R | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Panthers | W 24-14 | +3 | +0.124 |
| 2 | vs Bears | L 10-21 | -9 | -0.158 |
| 3 | @ Colts | L 31-45 | +6 | +0.204 |
| 4 | vs Giants | L 7-14 | -7 | -0.139 |
| 5 | vs Titans | L 27-48 | -3 | -0.062 |
| 6 | @ Lions | W 38-10 | +3 | +0.290 |
| 7 | vs Cowboys | W 41-20 | -4 | +0.452 |
| 8 | @ Commanders | W 28-14 | -1 | +0.038 |
| 10 | vs Vikings | W 34-31 | -4.5 | +0.238 |
| 11 | @ Texans | W 16-13 | -3 | +0.004 |
| 12 | vs Rams | W 45-17 | -7 | +0.416 |
| 13 | @ Eagles | L 17-47 | +5.5 | -0.092 |
| 14 | vs Lions | W 16-13 | -9 | -0.013 |
| 15 | vs Jaguars | L 25-28 | -3.5 | -0.013 |
| 16 | @ Vikings | W 34-31 | +3.5 | +0.273 |
| 17 | @ Bears | W 31-14 | +3 | +0.278 |
| WC | vs Vikings | L 17-31 | -6 | -0.108 |