NFC North · 2012

Green Bay Packers

Record

11-5

Seed

Net EPA

+0.139est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.102
Success rate46.3%
EPA / dropback+0.222
EPA / rush-0.111
Explosive rate8.0%
CPOE+5.43
Third-down rate42.8%
Red-zone TD rate69.8%
Points / drive2.11
Turnover rate1.4%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.003
Success rate allowed42.1%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.038
EPA / rush allowed-0.055
Explosive rate allowed8.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)19.2%
Sack rate6.9%
Points / drive allowed1.71

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.102 · 81th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.003 · 43th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+0.8 vs line

Home

5-3

Away

4-4

As favorite

8-6

As dog

1-1

O/U

8-8

+0.7 vs total

Roster

54 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks2

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
6	Graham Harrell	QB	27	6'2" 215	2	—	ACT
12	Aaron Rodgers	QB	30	6'2" 225	7	California	ACT

Backs & receivers17

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Jeremy Ross	WR	24	5'11" 215	1	California	ACT
11	Jarrett Boykin	WR	24	6'2" 218	R	—	ACT
18	Randall Cobb	WR	22	5'10" 192	1	Kentucky	ACT
20	Alex Green	RB	24	6'0" 225	1	—	ACT
25	Ryan Grant	RB	31	6'1" 222	7	—	ACT
25	Ryan Grant	RB	31	6'1" 222	7	—	TRD
26	DuJuan Harris	RB	25	5'9" 208	1	Troy	ACT
30	John Kuhn	FB	31	6'0" 250	7	Shippensburg	ACT
44	James Starks	RB	26	6'2" 218	2	Buffalo	ACT
80	Donald Driver	WR	37	6'0" 194	13	—	ACT
82	Ryan Taylor	TE	26	6'3" 254	1	—	ACT
83	Tom Crabtree	TE	28	6'4" 245	3	—	ACT
84	D.J. Williams	TE	25	6'2" 245	1	—	ACT
85	Greg Jennings	WR	30	5'11" 198	6	Western Michigan	ACT
87	Jordy Nelson	WR	27	6'3" 217	4	Kansas State	ACT
88	Jermichael Finley	TE	25	6'5" 247	4	—	ACT
89	James Jones	WR	28	6'1" 208	5	—	ACT

Offensive line7

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
62	Evan Dietrich-Smith	G	26	6'2" 308	3	Idaho State	ACT
63	Jeff Saturday	C	37	6'2" 295	14	—	ACT
64	Greg Van Roten	G	22	6'4" 295	R	Pennsylvania	ACT
67	Don Barclay	G	23	6'4" 305	R	West Virginia	ACT
70	T.J. Lang	G	26	6'4" 318	3	Eastern Michigan	ACT
71	Josh Sitton	G	26	6'3" 318	4	Central Florida	ACT
74	Marshall Newhouse	T	25	6'4" 319	2	Texas Christian	ACT

Defensive front16

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
49	Rob Francois	ILB	27	6'2" 255	3	—	ACT
50	A.J. Hawk	ILB	28	6'1" 247	6	—	ACT
52	Clay Matthews	OLB	26	6'3" 255	3	Southern California	ACT
54	Dezman Moses	OLB	23	6'2" 249	R	—	ACT
56	Terrell Manning	ILB	22	6'2" 237	R	North Carolina State	ACT
57	Jamari Lattimore	ILB	25	6'2" 230	1	—	ACT
58	Frank Zombo	OLB	25	6'3" 254	2	Central Michigan	ACT
59	Brad Jones	ILB	26	6'3" 242	3	Colorado	ACT
76	Mike Daniels	DE	23	6'0" 291	R	Iowa	ACT
79	Ryan Pickett	DT	34	6'2" 340	11	—	ACT
90	B.J. Raji	NT	26	6'2" 337	3	Boston College	ACT
91	Jordan Miller	DT	24	6'2" 315	1	—	ACT
93	Erik Walden	OLB	27	6'2" 250	4	Middle Tennessee State	ACT
96	Mike Neal	DE	25	6'3" 294	2	Purdue	ACT
98	C.J. Wilson	DE	25	6'3" 290	2	East Carolina	ACT
99	Jerel Worthy	DE	22	6'2" 308	R	Michigan State	ACT

Secondary9

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	Charles Woodson	SS	37	6'1" 202	14	Michigan	ACT
22	Jerron McMillian	FS	23	5'11" 203	R	—	ACT
24	Jarrett Bush	CB	28	6'0" 200	6	—	ACT
29	Casey Hayward	CB	24	5'11" 192	R	Vanderbilt	ACT
31	Davon House	CB	23	6'0" 195	1	New Mexico State	ACT
37	Sam Shields	CB	26	5'11" 184	2	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
38	Tramon Williams	CB	29	5'11" 191	6	Louisiana Tech	ACT
42	Morgan Burnett	FS	23	6'1" 209	2	Georgia Tech	ACT
43	M.D. Jennings	SS	24	6'0" 187	1	—	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Mason Crosby	K	29	6'1" 207	5	Colorado	ACT
8	Tim Masthay	P	25	6'1" 200	3	—	ACT
61	Brett Goode	LS	29	6'1" 255	5	Arkansas	ACT

Schedule

18 games

Green Bay Packers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs 49ers	L 22-30	-6	+0.039
2	vs Bears	W 23-10	-5	-0.094
3	@ Seahawks	L 12-14	-3	+0.053
4	vs Saints	W 28-27	-7.5	+0.257
5	@ Colts	L 27-30	-6.5	+0.095
6	@ Texans	W 42-24	+4	+0.231
7	@ Rams	W 30-20	-4	+0.229
8	vs Jaguars	W 24-15	-15	-0.074
9	vs Cardinals	W 31-17	-10.5	+0.099
11	@ Lions	W 24-20	-3	-0.018
12	@ Giants	L 10-38	+1	-0.128
13	vs Vikings	W 23-14	-7	+0.122
14	vs Lions	W 27-20	-6	+0.045
15	@ Bears	W 21-13	-3	+0.137
16	vs Titans	W 55-7	-10.5	+0.283
17	@ Vikings	L 34-37	-3	+0.281
WC	vs Vikings	W 24-10	-10.5	+0.027
DIV	@ 49ers	L 31-45	+3	+0.261