NFC North · 2015

Green Bay Packers

Record

10-6

Seed

Net EPA

-0.001est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.002
Success rate42.3%
EPA / dropback+0.075
EPA / rush-0.134
Explosive rate8.1%
CPOE-0.77
Third-down rate33.6%
Red-zone TD rate62.9%
Points / drive1.72
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.045
Success rate allowed41.5%
EPA / dropback allowed-0.029
EPA / rush allowed-0.072
Explosive rate allowed9.0%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.3%
Sack rate6.6%
Points / drive allowed1.63

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.002 · 50th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.045 · 33th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

-1.8 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

5-3

As favorite

9-6

As dog

0-1

O/U

5-11

-3.6 vs total

Roster

54 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Brett Hundley	QB	22	6'3" 226	R	UCLA	ACT
12	Aaron Rodgers	QB	33	6'2" 225	10	California	ACT
16	Scott Tolzien	QB	29	6'2" 213	4	Wisconsin	ACT

Backs & receivers13

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
17	Davante Adams	WR	24	6'1" 215	1	Fresno State	ACT
18	Randall Cobb	WR	25	5'10" 192	4	Kentucky	ACT
22	Aaron Ripkowski	FB	24	6'1" 246	R	Oklahoma	ACT
27	Eddie Lacy	RB	25	5'11" 234	2	Alabama	ACT
30	John Kuhn	FB	34	6'0" 250	10	Shippensburg	ACT
38	John Crockett	RB	23	6'0" 217	R	North Dakota State	ACT
44	James Starks	RB	29	6'2" 218	5	Buffalo	ACT
80	Justin Perillo	TE	24	6'3" 250	1	—	ACT
82	Richard Rodgers	TE	23	6'4" 257	1	California	ACT
83	Jeff Janis	WR	24	6'3" 219	1	Saginaw Valley State	ACT
84	Jared Abbrederis	WR	26	6'1" 195	1	Wisconsin	ACT
86	Kennard Backman	TE	22	6'3" 245	R	—	ACT
89	James Jones	WR	31	6'1" 208	8	—	ACT

Offensive line9

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
63	Corey Linsley	C	24	6'3" 301	1	Ohio State	ACT
65	Lane Taylor	G	27	6'3" 324	2	Oklahoma State	ACT
67	Don Barclay	T	26	6'4" 305	3	West Virginia	ACT
69	David Bakhtiari	T	25	6'4" 310	2	Colorado	ACT
70	T.J. Lang	G	29	6'4" 318	6	Eastern Michigan	ACT
71	Josh Sitton	G	29	6'3" 318	7	Central Florida	ACT
73	J.C. Tretter	C	24	6'4" 307	2	Cornell	ACT
75	Bryan Bulaga	T	26	6'5" 314	5	Iowa	ACT
79	Josh Walker	G	24	6'5" 328	1	Middle Tennessee State	ACT

Defensive front15

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
47	Jake Ryan	ILB	23	6'2" 240	R	Michigan	ACT
48	Joe Thomas	LB	24	6'1" 227	1	South Carolina State	TRD
48	Joe Thomas	LB	24	6'1" 227	1	South Carolina State	ACT
51	Nate Palmer	ILB	27	6'2" 248	2	Illinois State	ACT
52	Clay Matthews	OLB	29	6'3" 255	6	Southern California	ACT
53	Nick Perry	OLB	25	6'3" 265	3	USC	ACT
55	Andy Mulumba	OLB	25	6'3" 260	2	Eastern Michigan	ACT
56	Julius Peppers	OLB	35	6'7" 287	13	North Carolina	ACT
64	Mike Pennel	DE	24	6'4" 332	1	Colorado State-Pueblo	ACT
76	Mike Daniels	DT	26	6'0" 310	3	Iowa	ACT
90	B.J. Raji	NT	29	6'2" 337	6	Boston College	ACT
91	Jay Elliott	OLB	25	6'3" 255	1	Toledo	ACT
95	Datone Jones	DE	25	6'4" 285	2	UCLA	ACT
96	Mike Neal	OLB	28	6'3" 262	5	Purdue	ACT
98	Letroy Guion	DT	28	6'4" 322	7	Florida State	ACT

Secondary11

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
21	Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	FS	24	6'1" 208	1	Alabama	ACT
23	Damarious Randall	CB	23	5'11" 196	R	Arizona State	ACT
24	Quinten Rollins	CB	23	5'11" 195	R	Miami (Ohio)	ACT
29	Casey Hayward	CB	27	5'11" 192	3	Vanderbilt	ACT
31	Robertson Daniel	CB	25	6'1" 210	R	Brigham Young	ACT
32	Chris Banjo	SS	25	5'10" 207	2	Southern Methodist	ACT
33	Micah Hyde	FS	26	6'0" 197	2	Iowa	ACT
36	Ladarius Gunter	CB	23	6'2" 201	R	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
37	Sam Shields	CB	29	5'11" 184	5	Miami (Fla.)	ACT
39	Demetri Goodson	CB	26	5'11" 197	1	Baylor	ACT
42	Morgan Burnett	SS	26	6'1" 209	5	Georgia Tech	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Mason Crosby	K	32	6'1" 207	8	Colorado	ACT
8	Tim Masthay	P	28	6'1" 200	6	—	ACT
59	Rick Lovato	LS	24	6'2" 235	R	Old Dominion	ACT

Schedule

18 games

Green Bay Packers schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Bears	W 31-23	-5.5	+0.392
2	vs Seahawks	W 27-17	-3.5	+0.088
3	vs Chiefs	W 38-28	-4.5	+0.176
4	@ 49ers	W 17-3	-7.5	+0.088
5	vs Rams	W 24-10	-8.5	-0.223
6	vs Chargers	W 27-20	-10.5	+0.255
8	@ Broncos	L 10-29	-2.5	-0.069
9	@ Panthers	L 29-37	-2	-0.040
10	vs Lions	L 16-18	-10.5	+0.012
11	@ Vikings	W 30-13	-1	+0.096
12	vs Bears	L 13-17	-7.5	-0.184
13	@ Lions	W 27-23	-2.5	+0.070
14	vs Cowboys	W 28-7	-6	+0.141
15	@ Raiders	W 30-20	-4	-0.051
16	@ Cardinals	L 8-38	+6	-0.443
17	vs Vikings	L 13-20	-3	-0.177
WC	@ Commanders	W 35-18	+2	+0.164
DIV	@ Cardinals	L 20-26	+7	+0.052