AFC South · 2004

Houston Texans

Record

7-9

Net EPA

+0.017est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.022
  • Success rate41.4%
  • EPA / dropback+0.060
  • EPA / rush-0.134
  • Explosive rate8.3%
  • Third-down rate38.7%
  • Red-zone TD rate65.1%
  • Points / drive1.44
  • Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed-0.004
  • Success rate allowed44.4%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.060
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.102
  • Explosive rate allowed8.4%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)4.0%
  • Sack rate4.0%
  • Points / drive allowed1.69
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.022 · 57th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.004 · 57th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-7-1

+1.0 vs line

Home

4-3-1

Away

4-4

As favorite

2-2

As dog

6-5-1

O/U

6-9-1

-4.4 vs total

Roster

Roster

No roster published for 2004

Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.

Schedule

16 games

Houston Texans schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs ChargersL 20-27
2@ LionsL 16-28
3@ ChiefsW 24-21
4vs RaidersW 30-17
5vs VikingsL 28-34
6@ TitansW 20-10
8vs JaguarsW 20-6
9@ BroncosL 13-31
10@ ColtsL 14-49
11vs PackersL 13-16
12vs TitansW 31-21
13@ JetsL 7-29
14vs ColtsL 14-23
15@ BearsW 24-5
16@ JaguarsW 21-0
17vs BrownsL 14-22