AFC South · 2004
Houston Texans
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.022
- Success rate41.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.060
- EPA / rush-0.134
- Explosive rate8.3%
- Third-down rate38.7%
- Red-zone TD rate65.1%
- Points / drive1.44
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.004
- Success rate allowed44.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.060
- EPA / rush allowed-0.102
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)4.0%
- Sack rate4.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.69
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.022 · 57th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.004 · 57th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2004
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chargers | L 20-27 | -4.5 | -0.066 |
| 2 | @ Lions | L 16-28 | +3 | +0.028 |
| 3 | @ Chiefs | W 24-21 | +7.5 | +0.035 |
| 4 | vs Raiders | W 30-17 | +2 | +0.008 |
| 5 | vs Vikings | L 28-34 | +3.5 | +0.178 |
| 6 | @ Titans | W 20-10 | +5.5 | -0.018 |
| 8 | vs Jaguars | W 20-6 | -2 | +0.017 |
| 9 | @ Broncos | L 13-31 | +7 | +0.018 |
| 10 | @ Colts | L 14-49 | +8.5 | -0.301 |
| 11 | vs Packers | L 13-16 | +3 | -0.113 |
| 12 | vs Titans | W 31-21 | -2 | +0.170 |
| 13 | @ Jets | L 7-29 | +7 | -0.200 |
| 14 | vs Colts | L 14-23 | +10 | -0.012 |
| 15 | @ Bears | W 24-5 | +1 | +0.011 |
| 16 | @ Jaguars | W 21-0 | +6.5 | +0.031 |
| 17 | vs Browns | L 14-22 | -10 | -0.095 |