AFC South · 2009
Houston Texans
Record
9-7
Net EPA
+0.094est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.043
- Success rate46.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.159
- EPA / rush-0.149
- Explosive rate9.6%
- CPOE+4.51
- Third-down rate41.5%
- Red-zone TD rate55.5%
- Points / drive1.79
- Turnover rate2.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.030
- Success rate allowed42.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.016
- EPA / rush allowed-0.107
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)16.9%
- Sack rate4.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.65
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.043 · 67th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.030 · 53th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-8-1
+1.5 vs line
Home
2-5-1
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-6-1
As dog
4-2
O/U
5-10-1
-0.8 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2009
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Jets | L 7-24 | -4.5 | -0.372 |
| 2 | @ Titans | W 34-31 | +7 | +0.243 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | L 24-31 | -4 | +0.109 |
| 4 | vs Raiders | W 29-6 | -9 | -0.213 |
| 5 | @ Cardinals | L 21-28 | +5.5 | -0.019 |
| 6 | @ Bengals | W 28-17 | +4 | +0.173 |
| 7 | vs 49ers | W 24-21 | -3 | +0.038 |
| 8 | @ Bills | W 31-10 | -3.5 | +0.167 |
| 9 | @ Colts | L 17-20 | +7.5 | -0.010 |
| 11 | vs Titans | L 17-20 | -4 | +0.049 |
| 12 | vs Colts | L 27-35 | +3 | +0.062 |
| 13 | @ Jaguars | L 18-23 | -1 | -0.089 |
| 14 | vs Seahawks | W 34-7 | -7 | +0.019 |
| 15 | @ Rams | W 16-13 | -14 | +0.094 |
| 16 | @ Dolphins | W 27-20 | +1 | +0.191 |
| 17 | vs Patriots | W 34-27 | -9 | +0.119 |