AFC South · 2012
Houston Texans
Record
12-4
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.054est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.069
- Success rate43.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.164
- EPA / rush-0.046
- Explosive rate9.4%
- CPOE-0.02
- Third-down rate38.1%
- Red-zone TD rate59.2%
- Points / drive1.89
- Turnover rate1.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.079
- Success rate allowed38.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.042
- EPA / rush allowed-0.149
- Explosive rate allowed9.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.9%
- Sack rate6.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.49
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.069 · 64th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.079 · 12th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
-1.4 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
8-6
As dog
1-1
O/U
7-9
+2.2 vs total
Roster
Roster
No roster published for 2012
Roster files begin in 1999 and are published weekly from 2002.
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Dolphins | W 30-10 | -13 | +0.129 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | W 27-7 | -6.5 | +0.200 |
| 3 | @ Broncos | W 31-25 | -1 | +0.217 |
| 4 | vs Titans | W 38-14 | -13 | +0.085 |
| 5 | @ Jets | W 23-17 | -9.5 | +0.084 |
| 6 | vs Packers | L 24-42 | -4 | -0.057 |
| 7 | vs Ravens | W 43-13 | -6.5 | +0.178 |
| 9 | vs Bills | W 21-9 | -11 | +0.137 |
| 10 | @ Bears | W 13-6 | +1 | -0.220 |
| 11 | vs Jaguars | W 43-37 | -15 | +0.184 |
| 12 | @ Lions | W 34-31 | -3.5 | +0.178 |
| 13 | @ Titans | W 24-10 | -7 | -0.045 |
| 14 | @ Patriots | L 14-42 | +5.5 | -0.081 |
| 15 | vs Colts | W 29-17 | -10.5 | +0.116 |
| 16 | vs Vikings | L 6-23 | -7.5 | -0.281 |
| 17 | @ Colts | L 16-28 | -6.5 | +0.094 |
| WC | vs Bengals | W 19-13 | -4 | -0.021 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 28-41 | +9.5 | +0.060 |