AFC South · 2016
Houston Texans
Record
9-7
Seed
#4
Net EPA
-0.010est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.079
- Success rate41.9%
- EPA / dropback-0.029
- EPA / rush-0.154
- Explosive rate6.9%
- CPOE-3.29
- Third-down rate36.9%
- Red-zone TD rate42.0%
- Points / drive1.45
- Turnover rate1.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.053
- Success rate allowed41.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.021
- EPA / rush allowed-0.171
- Explosive rate allowed7.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.2%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.58
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.079 · 8th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.053 · 15th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-9-1
-1.5 vs line
Home
4-3-1
Away
2-6
As favorite
3-2-1
As dog
3-7
O/U
6-10
-4.8 vs total
Roster
87 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tom Savage | QB | 26 | 6'4" 230 | 2 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 5 | Brandon Weeden | QB | 34 | 6'4" 230 | 4 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 17 | Brock Osweiler | QB | 27 | 6'8" 235 | 4 | Arizona State | ACT |
Backs & receivers21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 24 | 6'1" 215 | 3 | Clemson | ACT |
| 11 | Jaelen Strong | WR | 22 | 6'2" 205 | 1 | Arizona State | RES |
| 12 | Keith Mumphery | WR | 24 | 6'0" 210 | — | — | ACT |
| 13 | Braxton Miller | WR | 25 | 6'1" 205 | R | Ohio State | RES |
| 14 | Quenton Bundrage | WR | 26 | 6'2" 190 | — | — | NWT |
| 15 | Will Fuller | WR | 22 | 6'0" 180 | R | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 19 | Josh Lenz | WR | — | 6'0" 195 | — | — | CUT |
| 26 | Lamar Miller | RB | 25 | 5'10" 220 | 4 | Miami | ACT |
| 28 | Alfred Blue | RB | 25 | 6'2" 225 | 2 | LSU | ACT |
| 33 | Akeem Hunt | RB | 23 | 5'10" 190 | 1 | Purdue | ACT |
| 34 | Tyler Ervin | RB | 24 | 5'10" 185 | R | San Jose State | ACT |
| 41 | Jonathan Grimes | RB | 28 | 5'10" 210 | 4 | William & Mary | ACT |
| 45 | Jay Prosch | RB | 24 | 6'1" 255 | 2 | Auburn | ACT |
| 47 | Soma Vainuku | RB | 24 | 6'0" 255 | — | — | CUT |
| 82 | Wendall Williams | WR | 27 | 5'10" 185 | R | Cumberland College | ACT |
| 84 | Ryan Griffin | TE | 26 | 6'6" 265 | 3 | Connecticut | ACT |
| 87 | C.J. Fiedorowicz | TE | 26 | 6'5" 265 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
| 89 | Stephen Anderson | TE | 23 | 6'2" 230 | R | California | ACT |
| — | RaShaun Allen | TE | 26 | 6'4" 250 | 2 | Southern University | DEV |
| — | Kenny Hilliard | RB | 26 | 5'11" 226 | 1 | LSU | DEV |
| — | Tevin Jones | WR | 25 | 6'2" 225 | R | Memphis | DEV |
Offensive line17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Matt Pierson | OL | — | 6'6" 298 | — | — | CUT |
| 62 | Chad Slade | OL | 24 | 6'5" 315 | 1 | Auburn | DEV |
| 63 | Kendall Lamm | OL | 24 | 6'6" 310 | 1 | Appalachian State | ACT |
| 65 | Greg Mancz | OL | 24 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | Toledo | ACT |
| 66 | Nick Martin | OL | 23 | 6'4" 299 | R | Notre Dame | RES |
| 68 | Tony Bergstrom | OL | 30 | 6'5" 315 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
| 69 | Andrew McDonald | OL | — | 6'6" 310 | — | — | CUT |
| 70 | Jeff Adams | OL | 28 | 6'7" 305 | 4 | Columbia | DEV |
| 71 | Xavier Su'a-Filo | OL | 25 | 6'4" 320 | 2 | UCLA | ACT |
| 72 | Derek Newton | OL | 30 | 6'6" 315 | 5 | Arkansas State | RES |
| 73 | Josh Walker | OL | 25 | 6'5" 328 | 2 | Middle Tennessee State | ACT |
| 74 | Chris Clark | OL | 32 | 6'5" 305 | 8 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 76 | Duane Brown | OL | 31 | 6'4" 315 | 8 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 77 | David Quessenberry | OL | 26 | 6'5" 306 | 3 | San Jose State | RSN |
| 78 | Oday Aboushi | OL | 25 | 6'5" 308 | 3 | Virginia | ACT |
| 79 | Jeff Allen | OL | 26 | 6'4" 306 | 4 | Illinois | ACT |
| — | Laurence Gibson | OL | 25 | 6'6" 305 | 1 | Virginia Tech | DEV |
Defensive front28
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Shakeel Rashad | LB | 22 | 6'2" 235 | R | North Carolina | DEV |
| 44 | Ryan Langford | LB | — | 6'4" 235 | R | New Mexico | CUT |
| 48 | Gerald Rivers | LB | 26 | 6'2" 250 | — | — | RES |
| 49 | Tony Washington | LB | 24 | 6'4" 247 | 1 | Oregon | RES |
| 50 | Akeem Dent | LB | 30 | 6'1" 250 | 5 | Georgia | ACT |
| 51 | John Simon | LB | 27 | 6'1" 260 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 52 | Brian Peters | LB | 29 | 6'4" 240 | 2 | Northwestern (Ia) | ACT |
| 53 | Max Bullough | LB | 24 | 6'3" 245 | — | — | ACT |
| 54 | Carlos Thompson | LB | — | 6'5" 243 | 1 | Mississippi | CUT |
| 55 | Benardrick McKinney | LB | 25 | 6'4" 260 | 1 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 56 | Brian Cushing | LB | 29 | 6'3" 255 | 7 | USC | ACT |
| 57 | Brennan Scarlett | LB | 23 | 6'3" 260 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 59 | Whitney Mercilus | LB | 26 | 6'4" 265 | 4 | Illinois | ACT |
| 60 | Ra'Zahn Howard | DL | — | 6'3" 325 | — | — | CUT |
| 61 | Alex Carrington | DL | — | 6'5" 301 | — | — | CUT |
| 61 | Eric Lee | LB | 22 | 6'3" 260 | R | South Florida | DEV |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | DL | 36 | 6'2" 325 | — | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Jadeveon Clowney | DL | 23 | 6'5" 270 | 2 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 91 | Devon Still | DL | 27 | 6'5" 305 | 4 | Penn State | RES |
| 93 | Joel Heath | DL | 23 | 6'5" 300 | R | Michigan State | ACT |
| 94 | Antonio Smith | DL | 36 | 6'3" 290 | — | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 95 | Christian Covington | DL | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | Rice | ACT |
| 97 | Jeoffrey Pagan | DL | — | 6'3" 310 | — | — | CUT |
| 97 | Ufomba Kamalu | DL | 25 | 6'6" 297 | R | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 98 | D.J. Reader | DL | 22 | 6'3" 335 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 99 | J.J. Watt | DL | 27 | 6'5" 295 | 5 | Wisconsin | RES |
| — | Brandon Dunn | DL | 25 | 6'2" 300 | 2 | Louisville | DEV |
| — | Dan Pettinato | DL | 24 | 6'4" 277 | — | — | DEV |
Secondary14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Don Jones | DB | 26 | 5'11" 195 | 3 | Arkansas State | ACT |
| 21 | A.J. Bouye | DB | 25 | 6'0" 191 | 3 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 22 | Denzel Rice | DB | 23 | 6'0" 196 | 1 | Coastal Carolina | ACT |
| 23 | Kurtis Drummond | DB | 24 | 6'1" 208 | 1 | Michigan State | RES |
| 24 | Johnathan Joseph | DB | 32 | 5'11" 185 | 10 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 25 | Kareem Jackson | DB | 28 | 5'10" 185 | 6 | Alabama | ACT |
| 27 | Quintin Demps | DB | 31 | 5'11" 210 | 8 | Texas-El Paso | ACT |
| 29 | Andre Hal | DB | 24 | 5'10" 195 | 2 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 30 | Kevin Johnson | DB | 24 | 6'0" 185 | 1 | Wake Forest | RES |
| 32 | Robert Nelson | DB | 26 | 5'10" 180 | 2 | Arizona State | ACT |
| 35 | Eddie Pleasant | DB | 29 | 5'10" 200 | 4 | Oregon | ACT |
| 36 | K.J. Dillon | DB | 23 | 6'0" 200 | R | West Virginia | RES |
| 39 | Lonnie Ballentine | DB | 23 | 6'3" 215 | 2 | Memphis | RES |
| 43 | Corey Moore | DB | 23 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 22 | 6'0" 185 | R | UCLA | RES |
| 8 | Nick Novak | K | 35 | 6'0" 200 | 11 | Maryland | ACT |
| 9 | Shane Lechler | P | 40 | 6'2" 230 | 16 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 46 | Jon Weeks | LS | 30 | 5'10" 250 | 6 | Baylor | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bears | W 23-14 | -5.5 | -0.026 |
| 2 | vs Chiefs | W 19-12 | +1 | -0.180 |
| 3 | @ Patriots | L 0-27 | +1 | -0.252 |
| 4 | vs Titans | W 27-20 | -4 | -0.031 |
| 5 | @ Vikings | L 13-31 | +6 | -0.172 |
| 6 | vs Colts | W 26-23 | -3 | +0.056 |
| 7 | @ Broncos | L 9-27 | +8.5 | -0.231 |
| 8 | vs Lions | W 20-13 | -1 | -0.014 |
| 10 | @ Jaguars | W 24-21 | +3 | +0.035 |
| 11 | @ Raiders | L 20-27 | +6.5 | +0.113 |
| 12 | vs Chargers | L 13-21 | +2.5 | -0.166 |
| 13 | @ Packers | L 13-21 | +7 | -0.049 |
| 14 | @ Colts | W 22-17 | +6.5 | -0.014 |
| 15 | vs Jaguars | W 21-20 | -3.5 | -0.151 |
| 16 | vs Bengals | W 12-10 | -3 | -0.134 |
| 17 | @ Titans | L 17-24 | +3 | -0.035 |
| WC | vs Raiders | W 27-14 | -4 | -0.079 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 16-34 | +16 | -0.324 |