AFC South · 2019

Houston Texans

Record

10-6

Seed

Net EPA

-0.089est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.057
Success rate45.6%
EPA / dropback+0.132
EPA / rush-0.071
Explosive rate8.7%
CPOE+1.12
Third-down rate43.7%
Red-zone TD rate70.6%
Points / drive2.18
Turnover rate2.0%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.059
Success rate allowed43.9%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.137
EPA / rush allowed-0.085
Explosive rate allowed9.4%
Pressure rate (proxy)17.0%
Sack rate4.5%
Points / drive allowed2.15

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.057 · 76th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.059 · 76th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-8-1

-0.5 vs line

Home

2-6

Away

5-2-1

As favorite

1-5-1

As dog

6-3

O/U

7-9

-0.4 vs total

Roster

96 players

46 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks5

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	AJ McCarron	QB	30	6'3" 220	5	Alabama	ACT
3	Alex McGough	QB	25	6'3" 214	1	Florida International	DEV
4	Deshaun Watson	QB	25	6'2" 221	2	Clemson	ACT
5	Joe Webb	QB	34	6'4" 231	9	Alabama-Birmingham	RES
6	Jordan Ta'amu	QB	23	6'3" 214	R	Mississippi	CUT

Backs & receivers23

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	27	6'1" 212	6	Clemson	ACT
11	Steven Mitchell	WR	25	5'10" 186	1	Southern California	INA
12	Kenny Stills	WR	27	6'1" 202	6	Oklahoma	ACT
12	Stephen Louis	WR	—	6'2" 215	R	North Carolina State	CUT
14	DeAndre Carter	WR	26	5'8" 190	4	Sacramento State	ACT
15	Will Fuller	WR	25	6'0" 184	3	Notre Dame	ACT
16	Keke Coutee	WR	22	5'11" 180	1	Texas Tech	ACT
19	Isaac Whitney	WR	25	6'2" 204	2	Southern California	RES
23	Carlos Hyde	RB	30	6'0" 229	5	Ohio State	ACT
25	Duke Johnson	RB	27	5'9" 210	4	Miami	ACT
26	Lamar Miller	RB	28	5'10" 221	7	Miami	RES
31	Karan Higdon	RB	24	5'10" 202	R	Michigan	DEV
34	Taiwan Jones	RB	31	6'0" 195	8	Eastern Washington	ACT
38	Buddy Howell	RB	23	6'1" 218	1	Florida Atlantic	ACT
44	Cullen Gillaspia	RB	24	6'2" 235	R	Texas A&M	ACT
48	Keenen Brown	TE	25	6'2" 250	R	Texas State	CUT
81	Kahale Warring	TE	22	6'5" 250	R	San Diego State	RES
82	Logan Paulsen	TE	32	6'5" 268	9	UCLA	CUT
82	Floyd Allen	WR	—	5'10" 199	R	Mississippi	CUT
83	Jordan Thomas	TE	23	6'5" 277	1	Mississippi State	ACT
85	Chad Hansen	WR	24	6'2" 202	2	California	DEV
87	Darren Fells	TE	33	6'7" 270	6	California-Irvine	ACT
88	Jordan Akins	TE	27	6'4" 243	1	Central Florida	INA

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
61	Maurquice Shakir	OL	—	6'4" 326	2	Middle Tennessee State	CUT
63	Roderick Johnson	OL	25	6'6" 306	2	Florida State	ACT
64	Senio Kelemete	OL	29	6'3" 301	7	Washington	RES
65	Greg Mancz	OL	27	6'4" 310	4	Toledo	ACT
66	Nick Martin	OL	26	6'4" 300	3	Notre Dame	ACT
68	Kyle Murphy	OL	27	6'6" 305	3	Stanford	DEV
71	Tytus Howard	OL	23	6'5" 322	R	Alabama State	RES
72	Rick Leonard	OL	24	6'7" 311	1	Florida State	DEV
73	Zach Fulton	OL	29	6'5" 321	5	Tennessee	ACT
74	Max Scharping	OL	23	6'6" 325	R	Northern Illinois	ACT
75	Matt Kalil	OL	—	6'7" 315	7	USC	CUT
75	Elijah Nkansah	OL	26	6'5" 316	1	Toledo	INA
76	Seantrel Henderson	OL	27	6'7" 351	5	Miami (Fla.)	CUT
77	Chris Clark	OL	35	6'5" 305	11	Southern Mississippi	ACT
78	Laremy Tunsil	OL	25	6'5" 313	3	Mississippi	ACT
79	David Steinmetz	OL	24	6'8" 321	1	Purdue	RES

Defensive front28

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
41	Zach Cunningham	LB	26	6'3" 238	2	Vanderbilt	ACT
42	Chris Landrum	LB	28	6'2" 245	3	Jacksonville State	RES
43	Nate Hall	LB	23	6'2" 231	R	Northwestern	DEV
48	Davin Bellamy	LB	26	6'5" 259	1	Georgia	DEV
50	Tyrell Adams	LB	27	6'2" 228	4	West Georgia	ACT
51	Dylan Cole	LB	25	6'0" 237	2	Missouri State	RES
52	Barkevious Mingo	LB	30	6'5" 235	6	Louisiana State	ACT
53	Duke Ejiofor	LB	24	6'3" 275	1	Wake Forest	RES
54	Gimel President	LB	—	6'4" 275	2	Illinois	CUT
54	Jake Martin	LB	25	6'2" 242	1	Temple	ACT
55	Benardrick McKinney	LB	28	6'4" 257	4	Mississippi State	ACT
56	Xavier Woodson-Luster	LB	24	6'1" 220	2	Arkansas State	CUT
57	Brennan Scarlett	LB	26	6'4" 263	3	Stanford	ACT
58	Peter Kalambayi	LB	24	6'3" 254	1	Stanford	ACT
59	Whitney Mercilus	LB	29	6'4" 258	7	Illinois	ACT
60	Walter Palmore	DL	23	6'4" 320	R	Missouri	CUT
62	Tracy Sprinkle	DL	—	6'3" 285	1	Ohio State	CUT
69	Jesse Aniebonam	LB	—	6'3" 260	R	Maryland	CUT
91	Carlos Watkins	DL	27	6'3" 297	2	Clemson	INA
92	Brandon Dunn	DL	28	6'2" 310	5	Louisville	ACT
93	Joel Heath	DL	26	6'6" 302	3	Michigan State	CUT
94	Charles Omenihu	DL	22	6'5" 280	R	Texas	ACT
95	Eddie Vanderdoes	DL	26	6'3" 315	2	UCLA	INA
95	Johnny Dwight	DL	—	6'3" 301	R	Alabama	CUT
96	Ira Savage-Lewis	DL	23	6'3" 290	R	Baylor	RES
97	Angelo Blackson	DL	28	6'4" 318	4	Auburn	ACT
98	D.J. Reader	DL	25	6'3" 347	3	Clemson	ACT
99	J.J. Watt	DL	30	6'5" 288	8	Wisconsin	ACT

Secondary20

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Justin Reid	DB	22	6'1" 204	1	Stanford	ACT
21	Bradley Roby	DB	27	5'11" 194	5	Ohio State	ACT
22	Gareon Conley	DB	24	6'0" 190	2	Ohio State	ACT
24	Johnathan Joseph	DB	35	5'11" 185	13	South Carolina	ACT
24	Shalom Luani	DB	25	6'0" 202	2	Washington State	DEV
27	Mike Adams	DB	38	5'11" 205	15	Delaware	ACT
28	Vernon Hargreaves III	DB	24	5'10" 204	3	Florida	ACT
29	Phillip Gaines	DB	28	6'0" 193	5	Rice	RES
30	Cornell Armstrong	DB	25	6'0" 185	1	Southern Mississippi	INA
32	Lonnie Johnson	DB	25	6'2" 213	R	Kentucky	ACT
33	A.J. Moore	DB	25	5'11" 202	1	Mississippi	ACT
35	Derrick Jones	DB	—	6'2" 188	2	Mississippi	CUT
35	Keion Crossen	DB	23	5'10" 185	1	Western Carolina	ACT
36	Jonathan Owens	DB	24	5'11" 210	1	Missouri Western	DEV
37	Jahleel Addae	DB	29	5'10" 195	6	Central Michigan	INA
38	Anthony Chesley	DB	23	6'0" 190	R	Coastal Carolina	DEV
39	Tashaun Gipson	DB	29	6'1" 212	7	Wyoming	RES
42	Jermaine Ponder	DB	—	6'2" 200	R	St. Francis (PA)	CUT
45	A.J. Hendy	DB	—	6'0" 206	3	Maryland	CUT
47	Austin Exford	DB	23	6'0" 200	R	Appalachian State	CUT

Specialists4

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
7	Ka'imi Fairbairn	K	25	6'0" 183	3	UCLA	ACT
8	Trevor Daniel	P	26	6'1" 231	1	Tennessee	CUT
9	Bryan Anger	P	32	6'3" 205	7	California	ACT
46	Jon Weeks	LS	33	5'10" 242	9	Baylor	ACT

Schedule

18 games

Houston Texans schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Saints	L 28-30	+6.5	+0.250
2	vs Jaguars	W 13-12	-7.5	-0.101
3	@ Chargers	W 27-20	+3	+0.223
4	vs Panthers	L 10-16	-5.5	-0.227
5	vs Falcons	W 53-32	-4	+0.484
6	@ Chiefs	W 31-24	+3.5	+0.199
7	@ Colts	L 23-30	+1.5	-0.018
8	vs Raiders	W 27-24	-5	+0.182
9	@ Jaguars	W 26-3	+1	+0.158
11	@ Ravens	L 7-41	+4	-0.303
12	vs Colts	W 20-17	-3.5	+0.026
13	vs Patriots	W 28-22	+3.5	+0.156
14	vs Broncos	L 24-38	-8	-0.058
15	@ Titans	W 24-21	+3	+0.124
16	@ Buccaneers	W 23-20	-3	-0.222
17	vs Titans	L 14-35	+10	-0.035
WC	vs Bills	W 22-19	-2.5	-0.077
DIV	@ Chiefs	L 31-51	+10	+0.008