AFC South · 2007
Indianapolis Colts
Record
13-3
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.160est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.139
- Success rate48.8%
- EPA / dropback+0.222
- EPA / rush+0.025
- Explosive rate9.7%
- CPOE+1.87
- Third-down rate49.3%
- Red-zone TD rate60.0%
- Points / drive2.49
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.087
- Success rate allowed45.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.068
- EPA / rush allowed-0.113
- Explosive rate allowed5.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.5%
- Sack rate4.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.36
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.139 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.087 · 16th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+5.4 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-4
As favorite
8-6
As dog
1-1
O/U
7-9
-0.8 vs total
Roster
58 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jim Sorgi | QB | 28 | 6'5" 196 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 31 | 6'5" 230 | 9 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Anthony Gonzalez | WR | 24 | 6'0" 193 | R | — | ACT |
| 15 | Craphonso Thorpe | WR | 24 | 6'0" 187 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Joseph Addai | RB | 24 | 5'11" 214 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Clifton Dawson | RB | 25 | 5'10" 212 | R | — | TRD |
| 30 | Clifton Dawson | RB | 25 | 5'10" 212 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Kenton Keith | RB | 27 | 5'11" 198 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Dallas Clark | TE | 28 | 6'3" 252 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Luke Lawton | RB | 27 | 6'0" 245 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Devin Aromashodu | WR | 23 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Devin Aromashodu | WR | 23 | 6'2" 200 | 1 | — | TRT |
| 81 | Bryan Fletcher | FB | 28 | 6'5" 230 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Ben Utecht | TE | 26 | 6'6" 251 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Reggie Wayne | WR | 30 | 6'0" 198 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Marvin Harrison | WR | 35 | 6'0" 185 | 11 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Dylan Gandy | G | 25 | 6'3" 302 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Jeff Saturday | C | 32 | 6'2" 295 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Ryan Lilja | G | 27 | 6'2" 290 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Tony Ugoh | T | 25 | 6'5" 301 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Ryan Diem | T | 28 | 6'6" 320 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Corey Hilliard | T | 22 | 6'5" 318 | R | — | ACT |
| 73 | Jake Scott | G | 26 | 6'5" 295 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Charlie Johnson | T | 23 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Michael Toudouze | T | 24 | 6'6" 303 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rocky Boiman | OLB | 27 | 6'4" 236 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Ramon Guzman | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Brandon Archer | LB | 25 | 6'0" 239 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Brandon Archer | LB | 25 | 6'0" 239 | R | — | TRC |
| 54 | Freddy Keiaho | OLB | 26 | 5'11" 226 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Clint Session | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 56 | Tyjuan Hagler | OLB | 27 | 6'0" 236 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Gary Brackett | MLB | 27 | 5'11" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 60 | Jeff Charleston | DE | 24 | 6'4" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Raheem Brock | DT | 29 | 6'4" 274 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Dan Klecko | DT | 26 | 5'11" 275 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Josh Thomas | DE | 26 | 6'5" 271 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Darrell Reid | DT | 25 | 6'2" 288 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Keyunta Dawson | DE | 23 | 6'3" 254 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | Quinn Pitcock | DT | 25 | 6'2" 299 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | DE | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 4 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | Ed Johnson | DT | 25 | 6'2" 296 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bob Sanders | SS | 26 | 5'8" 206 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Tim Jennings | CB | 25 | 5'8" 185 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 25 | Michael Coe | CB | 25 | 6'0" 190 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Kelvin Hayden | CB | 24 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Marlin Jackson | CB | 24 | 6'0" 196 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Melvin Bullitt | FS | 24 | 6'1" 201 | R | — | ACT |
| 34 | T.J. Rushing | CB | 24 | 5'9" 186 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Keiwan Ratliff | CB | 26 | 5'11" 188 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Keiwan Ratliff | CB | 26 | 5'11" 188 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 35 | Keiwan Ratliff | CB | 26 | 5'11" 188 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 41 | Antoine Bethea | FS | 23 | 5'11" 203 | 1 | Howard | ACT |
| 42 | Brannon Condren | FS | 24 | 6'1" 205 | R | — | ACT |
| 43 | Matt Giordano | SS | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 36 | 6'0" 202 | 11 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 17 | Hunter Smith | P | 30 | 6'2" 209 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Justin Snow | LS | 32 | 6'3" 240 | 7 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saints | W 41-10 | -5.5 | +0.129 |
| 2 | @ Titans | W 22-20 | -7 | +0.165 |
| 3 | @ Texans | W 30-24 | -6.5 | +0.244 |
| 4 | vs Broncos | W 38-20 | -10 | +0.353 |
| 5 | vs Buccaneers | W 33-14 | -9 | +0.221 |
| 7 | @ Jaguars | W 29-7 | -3 | +0.180 |
| 8 | @ Panthers | W 31-7 | -7 | +0.174 |
| 9 | vs Patriots | L 20-24 | +5 | +0.025 |
| 10 | @ Chargers | L 21-23 | -3.5 | -0.039 |
| 11 | vs Chiefs | W 13-10 | -14.5 | -0.200 |
| 12 | @ Falcons | W 31-13 | -13.5 | +0.120 |
| 13 | vs Jaguars | W 28-25 | -7 | +0.202 |
| 14 | @ Ravens | W 44-20 | -8.5 | +0.472 |
| 15 | @ Raiders | W 21-14 | -9.5 | +0.074 |
| 16 | vs Texans | W 38-15 | -6.5 | +0.366 |
| 17 | vs Titans | L 10-16 | +4 | -0.208 |
| DIV | vs Chargers | L 24-28 | -10.5 | +0.083 |