AFC South · 2018

Indianapolis Colts

Record

10-6

Seed

Net EPA

+0.096est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.059
Success rate48.0%
EPA / dropback+0.141
EPA / rush-0.097
Explosive rate8.0%
CPOE+0.63
Third-down rate50.5%
Red-zone TD rate68.1%
Points / drive2.25
Turnover rate2.2%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.028
Success rate allowed45.6%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.035
EPA / rush allowed-0.131
Explosive rate allowed8.2%
Pressure rate (proxy)17.5%
Sack rate5.9%
Points / drive allowed1.74

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.059 · 69th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.028 · 27th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-7-1

+4.6 vs line

Home

3-4-1

Away

5-3

As favorite

5-3-1

As dog

3-4

O/U

8-8

+0.8 vs total

Roster

103 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Phillip Walker	QB	23	5'11" 216	1	Temple	DEV
7	Jacoby Brissett	QB	27	6'4" 235	2	North Carolina State	ACT
9	Brad Kaaya	QB	24	6'4" 215	1	Miami (Fla.)	RES
12	Andrew Luck	QB	30	6'4" 240	6	Stanford	ACT

Backs & receivers31

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Cobi Hamilton	WR	—	6'2" 201	5	Arkansas	CUT
6	Kasen Williams	WR	—	6'2" 219	3	Washington	CUT
8	Deon Cain	WR	22	6'2" 202	R	Clemson	RES
10	Daurice Fountain	WR	24	6'1" 210	R	Northern Iowa	ACT
11	Ryan Grant	WR	29	6'0" 204	4	Tulane	ACT
13	T.Y. Hilton	WR	30	5'10" 178	6	Florida International	ACT
14	Zach Pascal	WR	25	6'1" 219	1	Old Dominion	ACT
15	Dontrelle Inman	WR	29	6'3" 205	7	Virginia	ACT
16	Seantavius Jones	WR	—	6'3" 210	4	Valdosta State	CUT
16	Marcus Johnson	WR	24	6'1" 204	2	Texas	RES
17	James Wright	WR	28	6'1" 203	4	LSU	RES
17	Steve Ishmael	WR	23	6'2" 212	R	Syracuse	DEV
20	Jordan Wilkins	RB	24	6'1" 217	R	Mississippi	ACT
21	Nyheim Hines	RB	23	5'8" 198	R	North Carolina State	ACT
25	Marlon Mack	RB	22	6'0" 210	1	South Florida	ACT
33	Robert Turbin	RB	30	5'10" 225	6	Utah State	CUT
37	Tion Green	RB	—	6'0" 220	1	Cincinnati	CUT
38	Christine Michael	RB	29	5'10" 220	5	Texas A&M	CUT
39	Jonathan Williams	RB	24	6'0" 223	2	Arkansas	ACT
40	Branden Oliver	RB	—	5'8" 208	4	Buffalo	CUT
41	Je'Ron Hamm	TE	26	6'3" 236	4	Louisiana-Monroe	CUT
43	Ross Travis	TE	25	6'6" 248	3	Penn State	RES
45	Ryan Hewitt	TE	27	6'4" 255	4	Stanford	ACT
80	Chester Rogers	WR	24	6'0" 184	2	Grambling	ACT
81	Mo Alie-Cox	TE	26	6'5" 250	1	Virginia Commonwealth	ACT
81	Krishawn Hogan	WR	23	6'3" 222	1	Marian, Ind.	DEV
83	Matt Hazel	WR	26	6'1" 195	4	Coastal Carolina	CUT
84	Jack Doyle	TE	28	6'6" 262	5	Western Kentucky	RES
85	Eric Ebron	TE	25	6'4" 253	4	North Carolina	ACT
85	Billy Brown	TE	25	6'4" 255	1	Shepherd	DEV
86	Erik Swoope	TE	26	6'4" 255	4	Miami	DEV

Offensive line17

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
56	Quenton Nelson	OL	22	6'5" 330	R	Notre Dame	ACT
60	Jared Machorro	OL	—	6'6" 302	R	Texas A&M-Commerce	CUT
61	J'Marcus Webb	OL	30	6'7" 331	8	West Texas A&M	RES
62	Le'Raven Clark	OL	25	6'5" 311	2	Texas Tech	ACT
62	Antonio Garcia	OL	26	6'7" 302	1	Troy	DEV
63	Josh Andrews	OL	27	6'2" 311	4	Oregon State	ACT
63	Nick Callender	OL	—	6'6" 321	1	Colorado State	CUT
64	Mark Glowinski	OL	26	6'4" 310	3	West Virginia	ACT
65	Tyreek Burwell	OL	—	6'6" 310	3	Cincinnati	CUT
67	Evan Boehm	OL	25	6'3" 310	2	Missouri	ACT
68	Matt Slauson	OL	32	6'5" 315	9	Nebraska	RES
69	Deyshawn Bond	OL	—	6'1" 299	1	Cincinnati	CUT
72	Braden Smith	OL	22	6'6" 303	R	Auburn	ACT
73	Joe Haeg	OL	25	6'6" 305	2	North Dakota State	ACT
74	Anthony Castonzo	OL	30	6'7" 311	7	Boston College	ACT
74	De'Ondre Wesley	OL	26	6'6" 331	3	Brigham Young	DEV
78	Ryan Kelly	OL	25	6'4" 309	2	Alabama	ACT

Defensive front28

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Zaire Franklin	LB	22	6'0" 236	R	Syracuse	ACT
46	Tegray Scales	LB	22	6'0" 227	R	Indiana	CUT
47	William Ossai	LB	—	6'1" 234	R	San Jose State	CUT
49	Matthew Adams	LB	24	6'0" 237	R	Houston	ACT
50	Anthony Walker	LB	23	6'1" 242	1	Northwestern	ACT
51	Jihad Ward	DL	24	6'5" 295	2	Illinois	RES
52	Najee Goode	LB	29	6'0" 244	6	West Virginia	ACT
53	Darius Leonard	LB	23	6'2" 235	R	South Carolina State	ACT
54	Brandon Banks	DL	—	6'3" 267	1	North Carolina-Charlotte	CUT
54	Ahmad Thomas	LB	25	6'0" 217	1	Oklahoma	ACT
55	Skai Moore	LB	23	6'2" 230	R	South Carolina	RES
56	Johnathan Calvin	LB	26	6'3" 266	1	Mississippi State	CUT
56	Anthony Winbush	LB	25	6'1" 207	R	Ball State	DEV
57	Kemoko Turay	DL	23	6'5" 252	R	Rutgers	ACT
59	Jeremiah George	LB	26	5'11" 234	4	Iowa State	CUT
59	Carroll Phillips	DL	27	6'3" 242	1	Illinois	RES
75	Geneo Grissom	DL	26	6'4" 265	3	Oklahoma	ACT
76	Chris McCain	DL	28	6'5" 236	4	California	CUT
90	Grover Stewart	DL	26	6'4" 333	1	Albany State, Ga.	ACT
91	Hassan Ridgeway	DL	25	6'3" 318	2	Texas	ACT
92	Margus Hunt	DL	31	6'8" 298	5	Southern Methodist	ACT
93	Jabaal Sheard	DL	29	6'3" 265	7	Pittsburgh	ACT
93	DeShawn Williams	DL	27	6'1" 292	3	Clemson	DEV
94	Tyquan Lewis	DL	23	6'3" 265	R	Ohio State	ACT
96	Anthony Johnson	DL	25	6'3" 275	4	LSU	CUT
96	Denico Autry	DL	28	6'5" 273	4	Mississippi State	ACT
97	Al-Quadin Muhammad	DL	23	6'4" 250	1	Miami	ACT
99	Al Woods	DL	31	6'4" 330	8	Louisiana State	RES

Secondary20

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Ronald Martin	DB	25	6'1" 220	3	LSU	RES
21	D.J. White	DB	26	5'11" 193	2	Georgia Tech	CUT
23	Kenny Moore	DB	23	5'9" 179	1	Valdosta State	ACT
26	Clayton Geathers	DB	26	6'2" 220	3	Central Florida	ACT
27	Nate Hairston	DB	24	6'0" 195	1	Temple	ACT
28	Chris Milton	DB	27	5'11" 196	2	Georgia Tech	ACT
29	Malik Hooker	DB	22	6'1" 212	1	Ohio State	ACT
30	George Odum	DB	26	6'1" 187	R	Central Arkansas	ACT
31	Quincy Wilson	DB	22	6'2" 206	1	Florida	ACT
32	Jalen Collins	DB	25	6'1" 203	3	LSU	DEV
34	Mike Mitchell	DB	31	6'1" 221	9	Ohio U.	RES
35	Pierre Desir	DB	29	6'1" 198	4	Lindenwood	ACT
36	Corey Moore	DB	25	6'2" 200	3	Georgia	ACT
36	Lashard Durr	DB	—	5'11" 188	R	Mississippi State	CUT
37	J.J. Wilcox	DB	27	6'0" 212	5	Georgia Southern	ACT
39	Juante Baldwin	DB	—	5'11" 188	R	Pittsburg State	CUT
40	Robenson Therezie	DB	27	5'9" 212	3	Auburn	CUT
41	Matthias Farley	DB	26	5'11" 209	2	Notre Dame	RES
42	Rolan Milligan	DB	24	5'10" 200	2	Toledo	ACT
42	Henre' Toliver	DB	—	6'0" 190	R	Arkansas	CUT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Rigoberto Sanchez	P	25	6'0" 195	1	Hawaii	ACT
4	Adam Vinatieri	K	47	6'0" 212	22	South Dakota State	ACT
46	Luke Rhodes	LS	27	6'2" 238	2	William & Mary	ACT

Schedule

18 games

Indianapolis Colts schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Bengals	L 23-34	+1	-0.084
2	@ Commanders	W 21-9	+6	+0.077
3	@ Eagles	L 16-20	+6.5	-0.138
4	vs Texans	L 34-37	+1	-0.040
5	@ Patriots	L 24-38	+10.5	-0.020
6	@ Jets	L 34-42	+2.5	-0.099
7	vs Bills	W 37-5	-7	+0.214
8	@ Raiders	W 42-28	-3.5	+0.383
10	vs Jaguars	W 29-26	-3	+0.218
11	vs Titans	W 38-10	-2	+0.363
12	vs Dolphins	W 27-24	-9	+0.091
13	@ Jaguars	L 0-6	-4	-0.337
14	@ Texans	W 24-21	+4	+0.127
15	vs Cowboys	W 23-0	-3	+0.088
16	vs Giants	W 28-27	-10	+0.234
17	@ Titans	W 33-17	-5	+0.047
WC	@ Texans	W 21-7	+2	+0.164
DIV	@ Chiefs	L 13-31	+4	-0.228