AFC South · 2004
Jacksonville Jaguars
Record
9-7
Net EPA
-0.034est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.036
- Success rate39.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.014
- EPA / rush-0.111
- Explosive rate7.3%
- Third-down rate36.7%
- Red-zone TD rate48.2%
- Points / drive1.27
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.011
- Success rate allowed42.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.073
- EPA / rush allowed-0.127
- Explosive rate allowed6.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.3%
- Sack rate6.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.35
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.036 · 43th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.011 · 50th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
10-6
-0.1 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
5-3
As favorite
3-3
As dog
7-3
O/U
4-12
-5.0 vs total
Roster
56 players
54 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Quinn Gray | QB | 25 | 6'3" 246 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Byron Leftwich | QB | 24 | 6'5" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 9 | David Garrard | QB | 26 | 6'1" 244 | 2 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Reggie Williams | WR | 21 | 6'3" 223 | R | — | ACT |
| 16 | Troy Edwards | WR | 27 | 5'10" 195 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Ernest Wilford | WR | 25 | 6'3" 223 | R | — | ACT |
| 22 | LaBrandon Toefield | RB | 25 | 5'11" 232 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Fred Taylor | RB | 28 | 6'1" 234 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Fred Taylor | RB | 28 | 6'1" 234 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 32 | David Allen | RB | 26 | 5'9" 195 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Greg Jones | RB | 23 | 6'1" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Marc Edwards | FB | 31 | 6'0" 249 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala | FB | 27 | 6'0" 252 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Kyle Brady | TE | 32 | 6'6" 278 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Jimmy Smith | WR | 35 | 6'1" 208 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Todd Yoder | TE | 26 | 6'4" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Cortez Hankton | WR | 23 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Jones | TE | 23 | 6'3" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 88 | Joe Zelenka | TE | 28 | 6'3" 270 | 5 | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Dennis Norman | C | 24 | 6'5" 312 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Dennis Norman | C | 24 | 6'5" 312 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 63 | Brad Meester | C | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Chris Naeole | G | 31 | 6'3" 320 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Brett Romberg | G | 26 | 6'3" 293 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Vincent Manuwai | G | 24 | 6'2" 312 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Derrick Fletcher | G | 30 | 6'6" 350 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Bob Whitfield | T | 34 | 6'5" 310 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Maurice Williams | T | 25 | 6'5" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Ephraim Salaam | T | 28 | 6'7" 295 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Mike Compton | G | 35 | 6'6" 310 | 11 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Tony Gilbert | MLB | 26 | 6'0" 244 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Akin Ayodele | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 251 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Daryl Smith | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 234 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 54 | Mike Peterson | MLB | 28 | 6'1" 230 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Greg Favors | OLB | 31 | 6'1" 244 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Jason Gildon | OLB | 32 | 6'4" 250 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Tommy Hendricks | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Elton Patterson | DE | 23 | 6'2" 271 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Elton Patterson | DE | 23 | 6'2" 271 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 90 | Derrick Ransom | NT | 29 | 6'3" 306 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Anthony Maddox | DT | 27 | 6'1" 308 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Bobby McCray | DE | 23 | 6'5" 251 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | John Henderson | DT | 25 | 6'7" 328 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Marcus Stroud | DT | 26 | 6'6" 312 | 3 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Donovin Darius | SS | 29 | 6'1" 225 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Juran Bolden | CB | 30 | 6'2" 207 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Kiwaukee Thomas | CB | 27 | 5'11" 192 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 26 | David Richardson | CB | 24 | 6'0" 202 | R | — | ACT |
| 27 | Rashean Mathis | CB | 24 | 6'1" 200 | 1 | Bethune-Cookman | ACT |
| 29 | Chris Thompson | CB | 22 | 6'0" 187 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | DeWayne Washington | CB | 33 | 5'11" 193 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Deke Cooper | FS | 28 | 6'2" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Deon Grant | FS | 25 | 6'2" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Nick Sorensen | SS | 26 | 6'3" 210 | 3 | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chris Hanson | P | 29 | 6'2" 223 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Josh Scobee | K | 22 | 6'1" 190 | R | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bills | W 13-10 | +3 | -0.130 |
| 2 | vs Broncos | W 7-6 | +3 | -0.223 |
| 3 | @ Titans | W 15-12 | +6 | +0.059 |
| 4 | vs Colts | L 17-24 | +4 | +0.041 |
| 5 | @ Chargers | L 21-34 | -2.5 | +0.084 |
| 6 | vs Chiefs | W 22-16 | +2.5 | +0.124 |
| 7 | @ Colts | W 27-24 | +9 | +0.225 |
| 8 | @ Texans | L 6-20 | +2 | -0.187 |
| 10 | vs Lions | W 23-17 | -3.5 | -0.012 |
| 11 | vs Titans | L 15-18 | -3 | -0.135 |
| 12 | @ Vikings | L 16-27 | +6 | -0.092 |
| 13 | vs Steelers | L 16-17 | +3 | +0.149 |
| 14 | vs Bears | W 22-3 | -7 | -0.118 |
| 15 | @ Packers | W 28-25 | +3.5 | +0.117 |
| 16 | vs Texans | L 0-21 | -6.5 | -0.593 |
| 17 | @ Raiders | W 13-6 | -2.5 | -0.150 |