AFC West · 2018

Kansas City Chiefs

Record

12-4

Seed

Net EPA

+0.117est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.236
Success rate50.0%
EPA / dropback+0.349
EPA / rush+0.018
Explosive rate12.1%
CPOE+4.64
Third-down rate47.8%
Red-zone TD rate75.5%
Points / drive3.03
Turnover rate1.7%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.074
Success rate allowed48.7%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.111
EPA / rush allowed+0.005
Explosive rate allowed10.9%
Pressure rate (proxy)20.3%
Sack rate6.9%
Points / drive allowed2.15

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.236 · 98th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.074 · 89th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-6-1

+4.3 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

5-2-1

As favorite

6-6

As dog

3-0-1

O/U

10-5-1

+8.4 vs total

Roster

96 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
4	Chad Henne	QB	33	6'3" 222	10	Michigan	ACT
5	Matt McGloin	QB	—	6'1" 210	5	Penn State	CUT
8	Chase Litton	QB	24	6'5" 230	R	Marshall	DEV
15	Patrick Mahomes	QB	24	6'3" 230	1	Texas Tech	ACT

Backs & receivers29

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
1	Byron Pringle	WR	26	6'1" 203	R	Kansas State	RES
6	Josh Crockett	WR	23	6'4" 195	R	Central Oklahoma	DEV
10	Tyreek Hill	WR	24	5'10" 185	2	West Alabama	ACT
11	Demarcus Robinson	WR	25	6'1" 203	2	Florida	ACT
12	Gehrig Dieter	WR	25	6'2" 207	1	Alabama	ACT
13	De'Anthony Thomas	WR	25	5'8" 176	4	Oregon	RES
14	Sammy Watkins	WR	25	6'1" 211	4	Clemson	ACT
17	Chris Conley	WR	27	6'3" 205	3	Georgia	ACT
19	Marcus Kemp	WR	23	6'4" 185	1	Hawaii	ACT
25	Kerwynn Williams	RB	—	5'8" 198	5	Utah State	CUT
26	Damien Williams	RB	26	5'11" 224	4	Oklahoma	ACT
27	Kareem Hunt	RB	23	5'11" 216	1	Toledo	CUT
30	Charcandrick West	RB	27	5'10" 205	4	Abilene Christian	ACT
30	Algernon Brown	RB	—	5'11" 250	1	Brigham Young	CUT
31	Darrel Williams	RB	23	5'11" 229	R	Louisiana State	ACT
32	Spencer Ware	RB	28	5'10" 229	5	Louisiana State	ACT
38	Ray Lawry	RB	—	5'9" 205	R	Old Dominion	CUT
42	Anthony Sherman	RB	31	5'10" 242	7	Connecticut	ACT
81	Timothy Wright	TE	—	6'4" 245	5	Rutgers	CUT
81	Kelvin Benjamin	WR	27	6'5" 245	4	Florida State	ACT
82	Alex Ellis	TE	25	6'4" 245	2	Tennessee	RES
82	Deon Yelder	TE	23	6'4" 255	R	Western Kentucky	ACT
84	Demetrius Harris	TE	27	6'7" 230	5	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	ACT
84	David Wells	TE	23	6'6" 260	R	San Diego State	DEV
85	Elijah Marks	WR	—	5'11" 184	R	Northern Arizona	CUT
87	Travis Kelce	TE	30	6'5" 260	5	Cincinnati	ACT
88	Blake Mack	WR	—	6'2" 235	R	Arkansas State	CUT
89	Jace Amaro	TE	—	6'5" 265	4	Texas Tech	CUT
—	J.D. Moore	RB	23	6'4" 236	R	LSU	RES

Offensive line18

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Ryan Hunter	OL	23	6'3" 316	R	Bowling Green	DEV
61	Mitch Morse	OL	26	6'6" 305	3	Missouri	ACT
62	Austin Reiter	OL	28	6'3" 300	3	South Florida	ACT
62	Ethan Cooper	OL	—	6'2" 322	1	Indiana	CUT
64	Dillon Gordon	OL	26	6'4" 322	2	LSU	RES
65	Jordan Devey	OL	30	6'6" 320	5	Memphis	RES
66	Kahlil McKenzie	OL	21	6'3" 320	R	Tennessee	ACT
67	James Murray	OL	23	6'5" 297	R	Holy Cross	ACT
68	Bentley Spain	OL	—	6'6" 310	R	North Carolina	CUT
71	Mitchell Schwartz	OL	29	6'5" 320	6	California	ACT
71	Pace Murphy	OL	24	6'6" 308	2	Northwestern State-Louisiana	DEV
72	Eric Fisher	OL	27	6'7" 315	5	Central Michigan	ACT
73	Jeff Allen	OL	28	6'4" 306	6	Illinois	ACT
73	Tejan Koroma	OL	22	6'0" 290	R	Brigham Young	RES
75	Cameron Erving	OL	26	6'5" 313	3	Florida State	ACT
76	Laurent Duvernay-Tardif	OL	27	6'5" 321	4	McGill	ACT
77	Andrew Wylie	OL	24	6'6" 309	1	Eastern Michigan	ACT
—	Alex Officer	OL	—	6'4" 291	—	Pittsburgh	CUT

Defensive front24

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Dorian O'Daniel	LB	25	6'1" 220	R	Clemson	ACT
48	Terrance Smith	LB	25	6'2" 235	2	Florida State	RES
50	Justin Houston	LB	29	6'3" 258	7	Georgia	ACT
51	Frank Zombo	LB	31	6'3" 254	8	Central Michigan	ACT
52	Otha Peters	LB	—	6'0" 238	1	Louisiana-Lafayette	CUT
53	Anthony Hitchens	LB	26	6'0" 235	4	Iowa	ACT
54	Nate Orchard	DL	25	6'3" 255	3	Utah	CUT
55	Dee Ford	DL	27	6'2" 252	4	Auburn	ACT
56	Ben Niemann	LB	23	6'2" 233	R	Iowa	ACT
57	Breeland Speaks	LB	24	6'3" 285	R	Mississippi	ACT
59	Reggie Ragland	LB	26	6'2" 252	2	Alabama	ACT
60	Raymond Davison	LB	23	6'1" 230	R	California	DEV
65	Robert McCray	LB	22	6'2" 280	R	Indiana	DEV
67	Joey Ivie	DL	23	6'3" 295	1	Florida	DEV
74	Justin Hamilton	DL	25	6'2" 315	3	Louisiana-Lafayette	ACT
90	Stefan Charles	DL	—	6'5" 302	5	Regina (Canada)	CUT
91	Derrick Nnadi	DL	22	6'1" 310	R	Florida State	ACT
92	Tanoh Kpassagnon	DL	24	6'7" 280	1	Villanova	ACT
93	Mike Purcell	DL	27	6'3" 328	5	Wyoming	CUT
94	Jarvis Jenkins	DL	30	6'4" 300	7	Clemson	CUT
95	Chris Jones	DL	24	6'6" 308	2	Mississippi State	ACT
96	Dee Liner	DL	—	6'2" 334	R	Arkansas State	CUT
97	Allen Bailey	DL	29	6'3" 288	7	Miami	ACT
98	Xavier Williams	DL	26	6'2" 309	3	Northern Iowa	ACT

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Steven Nelson	DB	25	5'11" 194	3	Oregon State	ACT
21	Eric Murray	DB	24	5'11" 199	2	Minnesota	ACT
22	Orlando Scandrick	DB	31	5'10" 196	10	Boise State	ACT
22	Robert Golden	DB	—	5'11" 202	6	Arizona	CUT
23	Kendall Fuller	DB	23	5'11" 198	2	Virginia Tech	ACT
24	Jordan Lucas	DB	25	6'1" 202	2	Penn State	ACT
25	Armani Watts	DB	22	5'11" 205	R	Texas A&M	RES
29	Eric Berry	DB	31	6'0" 212	8	Tennessee	ACT
30	Keith Reaser	DB	27	6'0" 190	4	Florida Atlantic	CUT
34	Leon McQuay III	DB	25	6'1" 195	1	USC	DEV
35	Charvarius Ward	DB	22	6'1" 195	R	Middle Tennessee	ACT
37	Chris Cooper	DB	24	5'10" 202	R	Stony Brook	DEV
38	Ron Parker	DB	31	6'0" 206	7	Newberry	CUT
39	Tremon Smith	DB	22	6'0" 190	R	Central Arkansas	ACT
40	D'Montre Wade	DB	25	5'11" 206	R	Murray State	DEV
46	Jordan Sterns	DB	—	5'11" 198	1	Oklahoma State	CUT
47	Step Durham	DB	23	5'11" 194	R	Georgia Tech	RES
49	Daniel Sorensen	DB	28	6'2" 208	4	Brigham Young	ACT

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Dustin Colquitt	P	36	6'3" 210	13	Tennessee	ACT
7	Harrison Butker	K	23	6'4" 205	1	Georgia Tech	ACT
41	James Winchester	LS	29	6'3" 240	5	Oklahoma	ACT

Schedule

18 games

Kansas City Chiefs schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	@ Chargers	W 38-28	+3.5	+0.187
2	@ Steelers	W 42-37	+4.5	+0.452
3	vs 49ers	W 38-27	-6	+0.377
4	@ Broncos	W 27-23	-3.5	+0.201
5	vs Jaguars	W 30-14	-3	+0.066
6	@ Patriots	L 40-43	+4	+0.201
7	vs Bengals	W 45-10	-6.5	+0.381
8	vs Broncos	W 30-23	-8.5	+0.193
9	@ Browns	W 37-21	-7.5	+0.432
10	vs Cardinals	W 26-14	-16.5	+0.103
11	@ Rams	L 51-54	+3	+0.092
13	@ Raiders	W 40-33	-14	+0.297
14	vs Ravens	W 27-24	-6.5	+0.146
15	vs Chargers	L 28-29	-3.5	+0.237
16	@ Seahawks	L 31-38	-1	+0.176
17	vs Raiders	W 35-3	-14.5	+0.279
DIV	vs Colts	W 31-13	-4	+0.062
CON	vs Patriots	L 31-37	-3	+0.239