AFC East · 2003
New England Patriots
Record
14-2
Seed
#1
Net EPA
+0.126est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.043
- Success rate40.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.048
- EPA / rush-0.161
- Explosive rate7.5%
- Third-down rate37.4%
- Red-zone TD rate47.0%
- Points / drive1.42
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.159
- Success rate allowed39.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.170
- EPA / rush allowed-0.137
- Explosive rate allowed5.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.7%
- Sack rate5.7%
- Points / drive allowed0.92
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.043 · 53th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.159 · 5th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
14-2
+5.4 vs line
Home
8-0
Away
6-2
As favorite
9-1
As dog
5-1
O/U
8-8
-1.4 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rohan Davey | QB | 24 | 6'2" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 26 | 6'4" 225 | 3 | Michigan | ACT |
| 19 | Damon Huard | QB | 30 | 6'3" 215 | 7 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Dedric Ward | WR | 30 | 5'9" 185 | 6 | — | TRD |
| 17 | Dedric Ward | WR | 30 | 5'9" 185 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Michael Cloud | RB | 28 | 5'10" 205 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Larry Centers | FB | 35 | 6'0" 225 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Antowain Smith | RB | 31 | 6'2" 232 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 27 | 5'8" 202 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Patrick Pass | FB | 27 | 5'10" 217 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 46 | Brian Kinchen | TE | 38 | 6'2" 240 | 15 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Troy Brown | WR | 32 | 5'10" 196 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Bethel Johnson | WR | 24 | 5'11" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 82 | Daniel Graham | TE | 26 | 6'3" 257 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Deion Branch | WR | 24 | 5'9" 193 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Fred Baxter | TE | 32 | 6'3" 268 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 85 | J.J. Stokes | WR | 32 | 6'4" 225 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 85 | J.J. Stokes | WR | 32 | 6'4" 225 | 8 | — | TRD |
| 87 | David Givens | WR | 23 | 6'0" 212 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Christian Fauria | TE | 33 | 6'4" 250 | 8 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Wilbert Brown | G | 26 | 6'2" 320 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 60 | Wilbert Brown | G | 26 | 6'2" 320 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Joe Andruzzi | G | 28 | 6'3" 312 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 25 | 6'2" 296 | R | — | ACT |
| 68 | Tom Ashworth | T | 27 | 6'6" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Brandon Gorin | T | 25 | 6'6" 302 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Tully Banta-Cain | LB | 23 | 6'2" 254 | R | — | ACT |
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 28 | 6'4" 261 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Don Davis | ILB | 32 | 6'1" 234 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Ted Johnson | ILB | 32 | 6'4" 253 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 30 | 5'10" 228 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 30 | 6'1" 247 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Willie McGinest | OLB | 33 | 6'5" 270 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Chatham | OLB | 26 | 6'4" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Dan Klecko | ILB | 22 | 5'11" 283 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Bobby Hamilton | DE | 32 | 6'5" 280 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Ted Washington | NT | 35 | 6'5" 365 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 25 | 6'6" 310 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 22 | 6'5" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Roman Phifer | ILB | 35 | 6'2" 248 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Rick Lyle | DE | 32 | 6'5" 285 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 24 | 6'3" 290 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Anthony Pleasant | DE | 35 | 6'5" 280 | 13 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 22 | 5'10" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 23 | Antwan Harris | FS | 26 | 5'9" 194 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Ty Law | CB | 29 | 5'11" 200 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Eugene Wilson | FS | 23 | 5'10" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | Je'Rod Cherry | SS | 30 | 6'1" 210 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Chris Akins | FS | 28 | 5'11" 200 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Rodney Harrison | SS | 32 | 6'1" 220 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Tyrone Poole | CB | 31 | 5'8" 188 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Shawn Mayer | DB | 24 | 6'0" 201 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 32 | 6'0" 202 | 7 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 13 | Ken Walter | P | 31 | 6'1" 207 | 6 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bills | L 0-31 | +1 | -0.377 |
| 2 | @ Eagles | W 31-10 | +4 | -0.028 |
| 3 | vs Jets | W 23-16 | -6 | -0.087 |
| 4 | @ Commanders | L 17-20 | +3.5 | +0.013 |
| 5 | vs Titans | W 38-30 | -1 | +0.262 |
| 6 | vs Giants | W 17-6 | -2.5 | -0.161 |
| 7 | @ Dolphins | W 19-13 | +6.5 | -0.038 |
| 8 | vs Browns | W 9-3 | -4.5 | -0.047 |
| 9 | @ Broncos | W 30-26 | +2 | +0.164 |
| 11 | vs Cowboys | W 12-0 | -4 | -0.156 |
| 12 | @ Texans | W 23-20 | -5 | -0.048 |
| 13 | @ Colts | W 38-34 | +3.5 | +0.033 |
| 14 | vs Dolphins | W 12-0 | -3 | -0.315 |
| 15 | vs Jaguars | W 27-13 | -6 | -0.016 |
| 16 | @ Jets | W 21-16 | -3 | -0.030 |
| 17 | vs Bills | W 31-0 | -9.5 | +0.148 |
| DIV | vs Titans | W 17-14 | -6 | +0.024 |
| CON | vs Colts | W 24-14 | -3.5 | -0.050 |
| SB | vs Panthers | W 32-29 | -7 | +0.138 |