AFC East · 2005
New England Patriots
Record
10-6
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.096est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.076
- Success rate44.6%
- EPA / dropback+0.186
- EPA / rush-0.083
- Explosive rate9.5%
- Third-down rate42.3%
- Red-zone TD rate67.8%
- Points / drive1.91
- Turnover rate2.3%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.034
- Success rate allowed41.7%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.123
- EPA / rush allowed-0.092
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)5.3%
- Sack rate5.3%
- Points / drive allowed1.82
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.076 · 81th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.034 · 84th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
-0.2 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
5-3
As favorite
6-5
As dog
2-3
O/U
8-6-2
+1.9 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Doug Flutie | QB | 44 | 5'10" 180 | 20 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 28 | 6'4" 225 | 5 | Michigan | ACT |
| 16 | Matt Cassel | QB | 23 | 6'4" 230 | R | USC | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Brandon Childress | WR | 23 | 5'10" 185 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Andre Davis | WR | 26 | 6'1" 195 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Corey Dillon | RB | 32 | 6'1" 225 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 29 | 5'8" 202 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Patrick Pass | FB | 29 | 5'10" 217 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Heath Evans | FB | 28 | 6'0" 250 | 4 | — | TRT |
| 44 | Heath Evans | FB | 28 | 6'0" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Troy Brown | WR | 34 | 5'10" 196 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Bethel Johnson | WR | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Daniel Graham | TE | 28 | 6'3" 257 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Deion Branch | WR | 26 | 5'9" 193 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Benjamin Watson | TE | 26 | 6'3" 253 | 1 | Georgia | ACT |
| 86 | Tim Dwight | WR | 30 | 5'8" 180 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | David Givens | WR | 25 | 6'0" 212 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Christian Fauria | TE | 35 | 6'4" 250 | 10 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 30 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Gene Mruczkowski | C | 25 | 6'2" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Tom Ashworth | T | 29 | 6'6" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Ross Tucker | C | 26 | 6'4" 316 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 23 | 6'4" 307 | R | Fresno State | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 29 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Billy Yates | G | 25 | 6'2" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Brandon Gorin | T | 27 | 6'6" 308 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Nick Kaczur | T | 26 | 6'4" 319 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 30 | 6'4" 261 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Don Davis | ILB | 34 | 6'1" 235 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Monty Beisel | ILB | 27 | 6'3" 238 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 32 | 5'10" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 32 | 6'1" 247 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Willie McGinest | OLB | 35 | 6'5" 270 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Chatham | ILB | 28 | 6'4" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Rosevelt Colvin | OLB | 29 | 6'3" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | NT | 25 | 6'2" 325 | 1 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Dan Klecko | DT | 24 | 5'11" 275 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Marquise Hill | DE | 23 | 6'6" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Santonio Thomas | DT | 24 | 6'4" 308 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 27 | 6'6" 310 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 24 | 6'5" 307 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Tully Banta-Cain | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 254 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 26 | 6'3" 290 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Chad Brown | OLB | 35 | 6'2" 245 | 12 | — | ACT |
Secondary7
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 24 | 5'10" 185 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Michael Stone | SS | 27 | 6'0" 201 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Artrell Hawkins | CB | 30 | 5'10" 190 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Eugene Wilson | FS | 25 | 5'10" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Ellis Hobbs | CB | 22 | 5'9" 188 | R | — | ACT |
| 32 | Hank Poteat | CB | 28 | 5'9" 192 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 36 | James Sanders | SS | 23 | 5'10" 207 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 34 | 6'0" 202 | 9 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 8 | Josh Miller | P | 35 | 6'4" 225 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | LS | 27 | 6'2" 260 | 5 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Raiders | W 30-20 | -7.5 | +0.103 |
| 2 | @ Panthers | L 17-27 | -3 | -0.135 |
| 3 | @ Steelers | W 23-20 | +3 | +0.001 |
| 4 | vs Chargers | L 17-41 | -5.5 | -0.062 |
| 5 | @ Falcons | W 31-28 | +2.5 | +0.297 |
| 6 | @ Broncos | L 20-28 | +3 | +0.132 |
| 8 | vs Bills | W 21-16 | -7 | -0.042 |
| 9 | vs Colts | L 21-40 | +3 | +0.052 |
| 10 | @ Dolphins | W 23-16 | -2.5 | +0.073 |
| 11 | vs Saints | W 24-17 | -10 | +0.134 |
| 12 | @ Chiefs | L 16-26 | +3 | +0.019 |
| 13 | vs Jets | W 16-3 | -7.5 | +0.052 |
| 14 | @ Bills | W 35-7 | -3.5 | +0.208 |
| 15 | vs Buccaneers | W 28-0 | -4.5 | +0.169 |
| 16 | @ Jets | W 31-21 | -4 | +0.081 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | L 26-28 | -3 | +0.057 |
| WC | vs Jaguars | W 28-3 | -8 | +0.091 |
| DIV | @ Broncos | L 13-27 | +3 | -0.045 |