AFC East · 2012
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.194est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.176
- Success rate50.2%
- EPA / dropback+0.282
- EPA / rush+0.031
- Explosive rate9.5%
- CPOE+1.48
- Third-down rate48.4%
- Red-zone TD rate70.9%
- Points / drive2.71
- Turnover rate1.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.013
- Success rate allowed45.0%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.090
- EPA / rush allowed-0.189
- Explosive rate allowed10.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)15.5%
- Sack rate5.4%
- Points / drive allowed1.52
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.176 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.013 · 33th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+6.7 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
5-2-1
As favorite
8-6-1
As dog
1-0
O/U
11-5
+6.6 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 35 | 6'4" 225 | 12 | Michigan | ACT |
| 15 | Ryan Mallett | QB | 24 | 6'6" 245 | 1 | Arkansas | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kamar Aiken | WR | 23 | 6'2" 213 | 1 | Central Florida | TRC |
| 16 | Kamar Aiken | WR | 23 | 6'2" 213 | 1 | Central Florida | TRT |
| 16 | Kamar Aiken | WR | 23 | 6'2" 213 | 1 | Central Florida | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 28 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | UCLA | ACT |
| 22 | Stevan Ridley | RB | 23 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | LSU | ACT |
| 34 | Shane Vereen | RB | 23 | 5'9" 205 | 1 | California | ACT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 22 | 5'11" 220 | R | Mississippi | ACT |
| 39 | Danny Woodhead | RB | 27 | 5'8" 200 | 4 | Chadron State | ACT |
| 47 | Michael Hoomanawanui | TE | 24 | 6'4" 263 | 2 | Illinois | ACT |
| 81 | Aaron Hernandez | TE | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Wes Welker | WR | 31 | 5'9" 185 | 8 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 84 | Deion Branch | WR | 33 | 5'9" 195 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Brandon Lloyd | WR | 31 | 6'0" 200 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Daniel Fells | TE | 30 | 6'4" 265 | 6 | California-Davis | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | T | 24 | 6'5" 340 | 1 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | C | 26 | 6'2" 300 | 4 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | C | 31 | 6'4" 310 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Donald Thomas | G | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Nick McDonald | C | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Markus Zusevics | T | 23 | 6'5" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 30 | 6'4" 310 | 7 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 28 | 6'8" 320 | 3 | Houston | ACT |
| 77 | Nate Solder | T | 24 | 6'8" 320 | 1 | Colorado | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | DE | 28 | 6'2" 260 | 6 | Purdue | ACT |
| 51 | Jerod Mayo | ILB | 26 | 6'1" 250 | 4 | Tennessee | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | OLB | 22 | 6'2" 270 | R | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | Brandon Spikes | ILB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 58 | Tracy White | ILB | 31 | 6'0" 235 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Mike Rivera | ILB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Mike Rivera | ILB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 3 | — | TRT |
| 71 | Brandon Deaderick | DE | 25 | 6'4" 305 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Kyle Love | DT | 27 | 6'1" 315 | 2 | Mississippi State | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | DT | 32 | 6'2" 325 | 8 | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 90 | Niko Koutouvides | MLB | 31 | 6'2" 245 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Jake Bequette | DE | 23 | 6'4" 265 | R | — | ACT |
| 94 | Justin Francis | DT | 23 | 6'4" 270 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Chandler Jones | DE | 22 | 6'5" 260 | R | Syracuse | ACT |
| 96 | Jermaine Cunningham | DE | 24 | 6'3" 255 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Marcus Forston | DT | 24 | 6'3" 305 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Trevor Scott | DE | 28 | 6'5" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Marquice Cole | CB | 30 | 5'10" 195 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Kyle Arrington | CB | 26 | 5'10" 195 | 4 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 25 | Patrick Chung | SS | 25 | 5'11" 210 | 3 | Oregon | ACT |
| 26 | Derrick Martin | SS | 27 | 5'10" 198 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Tavon Wilson | SS | 22 | 6'0" 210 | R | Illinois | ACT |
| 28 | Steve Gregory | SS | 29 | 5'11" 200 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Aqib Talib | CB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 4 | Kansas | ACT |
| 31 | Aqib Talib | CB | 26 | 6'1" 205 | 4 | Kansas | TRC |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | CB | 25 | 5'10" 195 | 2 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 37 | Alfonzo Dennard | CB | 24 | 5'10" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 41 | Malcolm Williams | DB | 26 | 5'11" 205 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | SS | 25 | 6'0" 210 | R | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 6 | Memphis | ACT |
| 14 | Zoltan Mesko | P | 26 | 6'5" 230 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Danny Aiken | LS | 24 | 6'4" 260 | 1 | Virginia | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Titans | W 34-13 | -4.5 | +0.229 |
| 2 | vs Cardinals | L 18-20 | -13 | -0.069 |
| 3 | @ Ravens | L 30-31 | +2.5 | +0.216 |
| 4 | @ Bills | W 52-28 | -3.5 | +0.337 |
| 5 | vs Broncos | W 31-21 | -6 | +0.134 |
| 6 | @ Seahawks | L 23-24 | -3.5 | +0.058 |
| 7 | vs Jets | W 29-26 | -11 | +0.063 |
| 8 | @ Rams | W 45-7 | -7.5 | +0.488 |
| 10 | vs Bills | W 37-31 | -13.5 | +0.265 |
| 11 | vs Colts | W 59-24 | -10 | +0.403 |
| 12 | @ Jets | W 49-19 | -7 | +0.365 |
| 13 | @ Dolphins | W 23-16 | -7 | +0.044 |
| 14 | vs Texans | W 42-14 | -5.5 | +0.273 |
| 15 | vs 49ers | L 34-41 | -4 | -0.074 |
| 16 | @ Jaguars | W 23-16 | -14 | +0.054 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | W 28-0 | -11.5 | +0.219 |
| DIV | vs Texans | W 41-28 | -9.5 | +0.282 |
| CON | vs Ravens | L 13-28 | -8 | -0.059 |