AFC East · 2013
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.091est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.062
- Success rate46.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.153
- EPA / rush-0.078
- Explosive rate8.3%
- CPOE-1.37
- Third-down rate37.9%
- Red-zone TD rate60.0%
- Points / drive2.05
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.000
- Success rate allowed42.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.043
- EPA / rush allowed-0.063
- Explosive rate allowed8.5%
- Pressure rate (proxy)20.3%
- Sack rate7.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.57
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.062 · 78th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.000 · 47th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+2.5 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
2-6
As favorite
7-6
As dog
1-2
O/U
9-7
+1.9 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 36 | 6'4" 225 | 13 | Michigan | ACT |
| 15 | Ryan Mallett | QB | 25 | 6'6" 245 | 2 | Arkansas | ACT |
Backs & receivers15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Austin Collie | WR | 29 | 6'0" 204 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 27 | 5'10" 198 | 4 | Kent State | ACT |
| 17 | Aaron Dobson | WR | 22 | 6'3" 200 | R | Marshall | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 29 | 6'0" 210 | 5 | UCLA | ACT |
| 22 | Stevan Ridley | RB | 24 | 5'11" 220 | 2 | LSU | ACT |
| 29 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 28 | 6'0" 250 | 3 | Oregon | ACT |
| 34 | Shane Vereen | RB | 24 | 5'10" 205 | 2 | California | ACT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 23 | 5'11" 220 | 1 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 45 | D.J. Williams | TE | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 45 | D.J. Williams | TE | 26 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 46 | James Develin | RB | 25 | 6'3" 251 | 3 | Brown | ACT |
| 47 | Michael Hoomanawanui | TE | 25 | 6'4" 260 | 3 | Illinois | ACT |
| 80 | Danny Amendola | WR | 29 | 5'11" 195 | 5 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 85 | Kenbrell Thompkins | WR | 25 | 6'1" 195 | R | Cincinnati | ACT |
| 88 | Matthew Mulligan | TE | 28 | 6'4" 267 | 5 | Maine | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | T | 25 | 6'5" 335 | 2 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 62 | Ryan Wendell | C | 27 | 6'2" 300 | 5 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 63 | Dan Connolly | G | 32 | 6'4" 305 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Chris Barker | G | 23 | 6'2" 310 | R | Nevada | ACT |
| 67 | Josh Kline | T | 25 | 6'3" 310 | R | Kent State | ACT |
| 70 | Logan Mankins | G | 31 | 6'4" 308 | 8 | Fresno State | ACT |
| 74 | Will Svitek | T | 31 | 6'6" 310 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 77 | Nate Solder | T | 25 | 6'8" 320 | 2 | Colorado | ACT |
Defensive front18
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | DE | 29 | 6'2" 260 | 7 | Purdue | ACT |
| 52 | Dane Fletcher | OLB | 28 | 6'2" 245 | 3 | Montana State | ACT |
| 53 | Ja'Gared Davis | LB | 24 | 6'1" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | OLB | 23 | 6'3" 270 | 1 | Alabama | ACT |
| 58 | Steve Beauharnais | ILB | 23 | 6'1" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Chris White | OLB | 24 | 6'3" 238 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Sealver Siliga | NT | 23 | 6'2" 325 | 2 | Utah | ACT |
| 71 | Sealver Siliga | NT | 23 | 6'2" 325 | 2 | Utah | TRC |
| 72 | Joe Vellano | DT | 26 | 6'1" 300 | R | Maryland | ACT |
| 90 | Isaac Sopoaga | NT | 33 | 6'2" 330 | 9 | — | TRC |
| 90 | Isaac Sopoaga | NT | 33 | 6'2" 330 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Jamie Collins | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 250 | R | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 92 | Jake Bequette | DE | 24 | 6'5" 265 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Chris Jones | DT | 23 | 6'1" 309 | R | Bowling Green State | TRC |
| 94 | Chris Jones | DT | 23 | 6'1" 309 | R | Bowling Green State | ACT |
| 95 | Chandler Jones | DE | 23 | 6'5" 265 | 1 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 96 | Andre Carter | DE | 34 | 6'4" 260 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Michael Buchanan | DE | 22 | 6'5" 255 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kyle Arrington | CB | 27 | 5'10" 190 | 5 | Hofstra | ACT |
| 26 | Logan Ryan | CB | 22 | 5'11" 195 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 27 | Tavon Wilson | SS | 23 | 6'0" 215 | 1 | Illinois | ACT |
| 28 | Steve Gregory | FS | 30 | 5'11" 200 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Duron Harmon | FS | 22 | 6'0" 205 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 31 | Aqib Talib | CB | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 5 | Kansas | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | SS | 26 | 5'10" 195 | 3 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 36 | Kanorris Davis | DB | 23 | 5'10" 203 | R | — | ACT |
| 37 | Alfonzo Dennard | CB | 25 | 5'10" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Justin Green | DB | 22 | 5'11" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | SS | 26 | 6'0" 210 | 1 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 29 | 6'1" 215 | 7 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 23 | 6'2" 215 | R | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 48 | Danny Aiken | LS | 25 | 6'4" 255 | 2 | Virginia | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bills | W 23-21 | -10 | -0.105 |
| 2 | vs Jets | W 13-10 | -10.5 | -0.220 |
| 3 | vs Buccaneers | W 23-3 | -7.5 | +0.052 |
| 4 | @ Falcons | W 30-23 | +3 | +0.278 |
| 5 | @ Bengals | L 6-13 | -2 | -0.189 |
| 6 | vs Saints | W 30-27 | -2.5 | +0.038 |
| 7 | @ Jets | L 27-30 | -3.5 | -0.118 |
| 8 | vs Dolphins | W 27-17 | -6.5 | -0.016 |
| 9 | vs Steelers | W 55-31 | -5.5 | +0.412 |
| 11 | @ Panthers | L 20-24 | +3 | +0.185 |
| 12 | vs Broncos | W 34-31 | -1 | -0.100 |
| 13 | @ Texans | W 34-31 | -7 | +0.236 |
| 14 | vs Browns | W 27-26 | -9.5 | +0.127 |
| 15 | @ Dolphins | L 20-24 | +2.5 | +0.183 |
| 16 | @ Ravens | W 41-7 | -1 | +0.116 |
| 17 | vs Bills | W 34-20 | -7.5 | +0.121 |
| DIV | vs Colts | W 43-22 | -7.5 | +0.228 |
| CON | @ Broncos | L 16-26 | +5 | +0.124 |