AFC East · 2015
New England Patriots
Record
12-4
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.095est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.089
- Success rate44.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.174
- EPA / rush-0.075
- Explosive rate8.7%
- CPOE-0.32
- Third-down rate41.0%
- Red-zone TD rate68.9%
- Points / drive2.25
- Turnover rate1.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.047
- Success rate allowed40.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.026
- EPA / rush allowed-0.180
- Explosive rate allowed8.3%
- Pressure rate (proxy)19.9%
- Sack rate7.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.52
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.089 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.047 · 29th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-7-2
+1.8 vs line
Home
4-2-2
Away
3-5
As favorite
6-7-2
As dog
1-0
O/U
9-7
+0.2 vs total
Roster
60 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | 25 | 6'2" 225 | 1 | Eastern Illinois | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 38 | 6'4" 225 | 15 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Julian Edelman | WR | 29 | 5'10" 200 | 6 | Kent State | ACT |
| 14 | Chris Harper | WR | 23 | 5'11" 185 | R | California | ACT |
| 18 | Matt Slater | WR | 31 | 6'0" 205 | 7 | UCLA | ACT |
| 19 | Brandon LaFell | WR | 30 | 6'3" 210 | 5 | LSU | ACT |
| 28 | James White | RB | 23 | 5'10" 205 | 1 | Wisconsin | ACT |
| 38 | Brandon Bolden | RB | 25 | 5'11" 220 | 3 | Mississippi | ACT |
| 39 | Steven Jackson | RB | 32 | 6'2" 240 | 11 | Oregon State | ACT |
| 80 | Danny Amendola | WR | 31 | 5'11" 190 | 7 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 82 | Keshawn Martin | WR | 25 | 5'11" 194 | 3 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 82 | Keshawn Martin | WR | 25 | 5'11" 194 | 3 | Michigan State | TRD |
| 85 | Michael Williams | TE | 26 | 6'6" 304 | 2 | Alabama | ACT |
| 87 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | 26 | 6'6" 265 | 5 | Arizona | ACT |
| 88 | Scott Chandler | TE | 30 | 6'7" 260 | 8 | Iowa | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | David Andrews | C | 23 | 6'3" 295 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 61 | Marcus Cannon | T | 27 | 6'5" 335 | 4 | Texas Christian | ACT |
| 63 | Tre' Jackson | G | 24 | 6'4" 320 | R | — | ACT |
| 66 | Bryan Stork | C | 26 | 6'4" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Josh Kline | G | 27 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | Kent State | ACT |
| 68 | LaAdrian Waddle | T | 24 | 6'6" 328 | 2 | Texas Tech | ACT |
| 68 | LaAdrian Waddle | T | 24 | 6'6" 328 | 2 | Texas Tech | TRC |
| 69 | Shaquille Mason | G | 22 | 6'1" 310 | R | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 71 | Cameron Fleming | T | 24 | 6'6" 320 | 1 | Stanford | ACT |
| 76 | Sebastian Vollmer | T | 31 | 6'8" 325 | 6 | Houston | ACT |
Defensive front21
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Brandon King | LB | 22 | 6'2" 220 | R | Auburn | ACT |
| 45 | Kevin Snyder | LB | 23 | 6'2" 238 | R | Rutgers | ACT |
| 45 | Kevin Snyder | LB | 23 | 6'2" 238 | R | Rutgers | TRC |
| 50 | Rob Ninkovich | DE | 31 | 6'2" 260 | 9 | Purdue | ACT |
| 52 | Dekoda Watson | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 245 | 5 | Florida State | ACT |
| 53 | Darius Fleming | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 250 | 3 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 54 | Dont'a Hightower | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 265 | 3 | Alabama | ACT |
| 55 | Jonathan Freeny | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 255 | 4 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 58 | Jon Bostic | ILB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | Florida | ACT |
| 58 | Jon Bostic | ILB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 2 | Florida | TRC |
| 70 | Ishmaa'ily Kitchen | DT | 27 | 6'1" 330 | 3 | — | TRC |
| 70 | Ishmaa'ily Kitchen | DT | 27 | 6'1" 330 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Akiem Hicks | DE | 27 | 6'5" 324 | 3 | Regina, Can. | TRC |
| 72 | Akiem Hicks | DE | 27 | 6'5" 324 | 3 | Regina, Can. | ACT |
| 90 | Malcom Brown | DT | 21 | 6'2" 320 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Jamie Collins | OLB | 27 | 6'3" 250 | 2 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 92 | Geneo Grissom | DE | 23 | 6'3" 265 | R | Oklahoma | ACT |
| 93 | Jabaal Sheard | DE | 26 | 6'3" 260 | 4 | Pittsburgh | ACT |
| 95 | Chandler Jones | DE | 25 | 6'5" 265 | 3 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 96 | Sealver Siliga | DT | 25 | 6'2" 325 | 4 | Utah | ACT |
| 97 | Alan Branch | DT | 32 | 6'6" 350 | 8 | Michigan | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Malcolm Butler | CB | 25 | 5'11" 190 | 1 | West Alabama | ACT |
| 22 | Justin Coleman | DB | 22 | 5'11" 185 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 23 | Patrick Chung | SS | 28 | 5'11" 215 | 6 | Oregon | ACT |
| 26 | Logan Ryan | CB | 24 | 5'11" 195 | 2 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 27 | Tavon Wilson | SS | 25 | 6'0" 215 | 3 | Illinois | ACT |
| 30 | Duron Harmon | FS | 24 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 32 | Devin McCourty | SS | 28 | 5'10" 195 | 5 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 34 | Leonard Johnson | CB | 25 | 5'10" 202 | 3 | Iowa State | ACT |
| 34 | Leonard Johnson | CB | 25 | 5'10" 202 | 3 | Iowa State | TRC |
| 37 | Jordan Richards | DB | 22 | 5'11" 210 | R | Stanford | ACT |
| 43 | Nate Ebner | FS | 28 | 6'0" 220 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stephen Gostkowski | K | 31 | 6'1" 215 | 9 | Memphis | ACT |
| 6 | Ryan Allen | P | 25 | 6'2" 220 | 2 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
| 49 | Joe Cardona | LS | 23 | 6'2" 245 | R | Navy | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Steelers | W 28-21 | -7.5 | +0.290 |
| 2 | @ Bills | W 40-32 | +2 | +0.098 |
| 3 | vs Jaguars | W 51-17 | -14.5 | +0.429 |
| 5 | @ Cowboys | W 30-6 | -8 | +0.114 |
| 6 | @ Colts | W 34-27 | -8 | +0.155 |
| 7 | vs Jets | W 30-23 | -7 | +0.135 |
| 8 | vs Dolphins | W 36-7 | -8 | +0.148 |
| 9 | vs Commanders | W 27-10 | -13.5 | +0.094 |
| 10 | @ Giants | W 27-26 | -7 | +0.079 |
| 11 | vs Bills | W 20-13 | -7 | -0.001 |
| 12 | @ Broncos | L 24-30 | -2.5 | -0.082 |
| 13 | vs Eagles | L 28-35 | -9.5 | -0.029 |
| 14 | @ Texans | W 27-6 | -4 | +0.020 |
| 15 | vs Titans | W 33-16 | -14.5 | +0.070 |
| 16 | @ Jets | L 20-26 | -2.5 | +0.001 |
| 17 | @ Dolphins | L 10-20 | -10 | -0.152 |
| DIV | vs Chiefs | W 27-20 | -6 | +0.241 |
| CON | @ Broncos | L 18-20 | -2.5 | -0.144 |