Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

NFC South · 2013

New Orleans Saints

Record

11-5

Seed

#6

Net EPA

+0.092est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play+0.115
  • Success rate47.2%
  • EPA / dropback+0.209
  • EPA / rush-0.077
  • Explosive rate9.5%
  • CPOE+5.36
  • Third-down rate45.1%
  • Red-zone TD rate64.9%
  • Points / drive2.21
  • Turnover rate1.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed-0.034
  • Success rate allowed39.6%
  • EPA / dropback allowed-0.035
  • EPA / rush allowed-0.032
  • Explosive rate allowed8.2%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)23.3%
  • Sack rate8.1%
  • Points / drive allowed1.56
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.115 · 95th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.034 · 29th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

8-8

+3.0 vs line

Home

7-1

Away

1-7

As favorite

7-5

As dog

1-3

O/U

6-10

-4.3 vs total

Roster

58 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks3

Quarterbacks
#PlayerPosSt
4Ryan GriffinQBACT
7Luke McCownQBACT
9Drew BreesQBACT

Backs & receivers14

Backs & receivers
#PlayerPosSt
12Marques ColstonWRACT
16Lance MooreWRACT
17Robert MeachemWRACT
22Mark IngramRBACT
23Pierre ThomasRBACT
29Khiry RobinsonRBACT
39Travaris CadetRBACT
43Darren SprolesRBACT
45Jed CollinsFBACT
80Jimmy GrahamTEACT
82Benjamin WatsonTEACT
84Kenny StillsWRACT
88Nick ToonWRACT
89Josh HillTEACT

Offensive line8

Offensive line
#PlayerPosSt
60Brian De La PuenteCACT
64Zach StriefTACT
66Ben GrubbsGACT
68Tim LelitoGACT
71Charles BrownTACT
72Terron ArmsteadTACT
73Jahri EvansGACT
79Bryce HarrisTACT

Defensive front18

Defensive front
#PlayerPosSt
50Curtis LoftonILBACT
52Kevin ReddickILBACT
53Ramon HumberILBACT
54Will HerringILBACT
55Keyunta DawsonDEACT
55Keyunta DawsonDETRC
57David HawthorneILBACT
58Kyle KnoxOLBTRC
58Kyle KnoxOLBACT
59Rufus JohnsonLBACT
75Tyrunn WalkerDTACT
76Akiem HicksDEACT
77Brodrick BunkleyNTACT
92John JenkinsNTACT
93Junior GaletteOLBACT
94Cameron JordanDEACT
96Tom JohnsonDEACT
97Glenn FosterDEACT

Secondary11

Secondary
#PlayerPosSt
24Corey WhiteCBACT
25Rafael BushFSACT
27Malcolm JenkinsFSACT
28Keenan LewisCBACT
30Trevin WadeCBACT
31Terrence FrederickDBTRC
31Terrence FrederickDBACT
37Jordan PughFSACT
37Jordan PughFSTRD
38Rod SweetingCBACT
41Roman HarperSSACT

Specialists4

Specialists
#PlayerPosSt
3Shayne GrahamKTRC
3Shayne GrahamKACT
6Thomas MorsteadPACT
47Justin DrescherLSACT

Schedule

18 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs FalconsW 23-17
2@ BuccaneersW 16-14
3vs CardinalsW 31-7
4vs DolphinsW 38-17
5@ BearsW 26-18
6@ PatriotsL 27-30
8vs BillsW 35-17
9@ JetsL 20-26
10vs CowboysW 49-17
11vs 49ersW 23-20
12@ FalconsW 17-13
13@ SeahawksL 7-34
14vs PanthersW 31-13
15@ RamsL 16-27
16@ PanthersL 13-17
17vs BuccaneersW 42-17
WC@ EaglesW 26-24
DIV@ SeahawksL 15-23