NFC South · 2018

New Orleans Saints

Record

13-3

Seed

Net EPA

+0.086est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.156
Success rate49.9%
EPA / dropback+0.284
EPA / rush-0.011
Explosive rate10.2%
CPOE+5.42
Third-down rate46.3%
Red-zone TD rate70.6%
Points / drive2.94
Turnover rate1.6%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed+0.016
Success rate allowed44.2%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.121
EPA / rush allowed-0.206
Explosive rate allowed8.0%
Pressure rate (proxy)21.3%
Sack rate7.1%
Points / drive allowed2.12

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.156 · 95th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.016 · 50th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

10-6

+4.1 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

6-2

As favorite

7-6

As dog

3-0

O/U

7-9

+1.0 vs total

Roster

99 players

53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
5	Teddy Bridgewater	QB	27	6'2" 215	4	Louisville	ACT
5	J.T. Barrett	QB	23	6'2" 225	R	Ohio State	DEV
7	Taysom Hill	QB	28	6'2" 221	1	Brigham Young	ACT
9	Drew Brees	QB	39	6'0" 209	17	Purdue	ACT

Backs & receivers31

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Tre'Quan Smith	WR	22	6'1" 210	R	Central Florida	ACT
11	Tommylee Lewis	WR	27	5'7" 168	2	Northern Illinois	ACT
13	Michael Thomas	WR	25	6'3" 212	2	Ohio State	ACT
14	Shane Wynn	WR	27	5'6" 168	3	Indiana	DEV
14	Travin Dural	WR	26	6'2" 207	1	LSU	RES
15	Brandon Marshall	WR	34	6'5" 232	12	Central Florida	CUT
15	Josh Huff	WR	—	5'11" 206	4	Oregon	CUT
15	Simmie Cobbs	WR	23	6'3" 220	R	Indiana	RES
16	Brandon Coleman	WR	—	6'6" 225	4	Rutgers	CUT
18	Keith Kirkwood	WR	25	6'3" 220	R	Temple	ACT
19	Ted Ginn	WR	33	5'11" 180	11	Ohio State	ACT
22	Mark Ingram	RB	30	5'9" 215	7	Alabama	ACT
22	Martez Carter	RB	25	5'7" 195	R	Grambling State	CUT
25	Mike Gillislee	RB	29	5'11" 210	5	Florida	CUT
27	Dwayne Washington	RB	24	6'1" 223	2	Washington	ACT
35	Shane Vereen	RB	—	5'10" 205	7	California	CUT
36	Daniel Lasco	RB	27	6'1" 205	2	California	PUP
38	Terrance West	RB	—	5'10" 225	4	Towson	CUT
41	Alvin Kamara	RB	23	5'10" 215	1	Tennessee	ACT
42	Zach Line	RB	28	6'1" 233	5	Southern Methodist	ACT
45	Garrett Griffin	TE	24	6'4" 240	2	Air Force	ACT
80	Austin Carr	WR	26	6'1" 195	1	Northwestern	ACT
81	Cameron Meredith	WR	27	6'3" 207	3	Illinois State	RES
82	Benjamin Watson	TE	39	6'3" 251	14	Georgia	ACT
84	Michael Hoomanawanui	TE	30	6'4" 265	8	Illinois	RES
85	Dan Arnold	TE	23	6'5" 220	1	Wisconsin-Platteville	ACT
86	Eldridge Massington	WR	—	6'2" 210	R	UCLA	CUT
87	Brandon Tate	WR	32	6'1" 195	9	North Carolina	CUT
87	Josh Smith	WR	—	6'1" 206	R	Tennessee	CUT
88	Dez Bryant	WR	31	6'2" 220	8	Oklahoma State	RES
89	Josh Hill	TE	28	6'5" 250	5	Idaho State	ACT

Offensive line18

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
60	Max Unger	OL	32	6'5" 305	9	Oregon	ACT
60	Isaiah Williams	OL	25	6'3" 306	2	Akron	DEV
61	Josh LeRibeus	OL	29	6'2" 315	6	Southern Methodist	RES
63	Cameron Tom	OL	23	6'3" 300	1	Southern Mississippi	ACT
64	Will Clapp	OL	24	6'5" 314	R	Louisiana State	ACT
65	Michael Ola	OL	30	6'5" 312	5	Hampton	RES
66	Andrew Tiller	OL	—	6'4" 324	6	Syracuse	CUT
67	Larry Warford	OL	27	6'3" 317	5	Kentucky	ACT
71	Ryan Ramczyk	OL	24	6'6" 314	1	Wisconsin	ACT
72	Terron Armstead	OL	27	6'5" 304	5	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	ACT
74	Jermon Bushrod	OL	34	6'5" 318	11	Towson	ACT
75	Andrus Peat	OL	26	6'7" 316	3	Stanford	ACT
77	Derek Newton	OL	32	6'6" 315	7	Arkansas State	ACT
77	Don Barclay	OL	—	6'4" 305	6	West Virginia	CUT
77	John Fullington	OL	—	6'5" 300	4	Washington State	CUT
78	Cornelius Lucas	OL	27	6'9" 328	4	Kansas State	CUT
79	Nate Wozniak	OL	24	6'10" 280	R	Minnesota	DEV
79	Trevor Darling	OL	—	6'5" 310	R	Miami (Fla.)	CUT

Defensive front25

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
44	Hau'oli Kikaha	DL	—	6'3" 246	3	Washington	CUT
47	Alex Anzalone	LB	25	6'3" 240	1	Florida	ACT
50	Darnell Sankey	LB	25	6'0" 250	2	Sacramento State	DEV
51	Manti Te'o	LB	27	6'1" 241	5	Notre Dame	ACT
52	Craig Robertson	LB	30	6'1" 234	7	North Texas	ACT
53	A.J. Klein	LB	27	6'1" 240	5	Iowa State	ACT
55	Jay Elliott	LB	28	6'3" 255	4	Toledo	CUT
56	Demario Davis	LB	29	6'2" 248	6	Arkansas State	ACT
57	Alex Okafor	DL	27	6'4" 260	5	Texas	ACT
58	Colton Jumper	LB	25	6'2" 229	R	Tennessee	CUT
59	Vince Biegel	LB	25	6'3" 246	1	Wisconsin	ACT
59	KeShun Freeman	LB	—	6'2" 250	R	Georgia Tech	CUT
62	Henry Mondeaux	DL	24	6'5" 280	R	Oregon	DEV
66	Tomasi Laulile	DL	23	6'3" 300	R	Brigham Young	DEV
69	Alex Jenkins	DL	25	6'6" 270	1	Incarnate Word (Tex.)	DEV
76	Taylor Stallworth	DL	23	6'2" 305	R	South Carolina	ACT
90	George Johnson	DL	—	6'4" 265	8	Rutgers	CUT
90	Jay Bromley	DL	26	6'3" 314	4	Syracuse	RES
91	Trey Hendrickson	DL	25	6'4" 270	1	Florida Atlantic	ACT
92	Marcus Davenport	DL	23	6'6" 255	R	Texas-San Antonio	ACT
93	David Onyemata	DL	27	6'4" 300	2	Manitoba, Can.	ACT
94	Cameron Jordan	DL	29	6'4" 287	7	California	ACT
95	Tyeler Davison	DL	27	6'2" 309	3	Fresno State	ACT
97	Tyrunn Walker	DL	28	6'3" 305	6	Tulsa	ACT
98	Sheldon Rankins	DL	24	6'2" 305	2	Louisville	RES

Secondary18

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Ken Crawley	DB	25	6'1" 180	2	Colorado	ACT
21	Patrick Robinson	DB	32	5'11" 191	8	Florida State	RES
23	Marshon Lattimore	DB	22	6'0" 192	1	Ohio State	ACT
24	Vonn Bell	DB	25	5'11" 205	2	Ohio State	ACT
25	Eli Apple	DB	23	6'1" 199	2	Ohio State	ACT
26	P.J. Williams	DB	25	6'0" 196	3	Florida State	ACT
29	Kurt Coleman	DB	30	5'11" 208	8	Ohio State	ACT
29	Darius Hillary	DB	25	5'10" 183	2	Wisconsin	CUT
31	Chris Banjo	DB	28	5'10" 207	5	Southern Methodist	ACT
32	Josh Robinson	DB	27	5'10" 199	6	Central Florida	ACT
32	Arthur Maulet	DB	25	5'10" 190	1	Memphis	DEV
33	Chris Campbell	DB	24	6'1" 195	R	Penn State	DEV
34	Justin Hardee	DB	24	6'1" 200	1	Illinois	ACT
36	Robert Nelson	DB	—	5'9" 175	4	Arizona State	CUT
39	Demetri Goodson	DB	29	5'11" 197	4	Baylor	CUT
43	Marcus Williams	DB	23	6'1" 195	1	Utah	ACT
46	Rickey Jefferson	DB	25	5'11" 208	1	LSU	RES
48	J.T. Gray	DB	22	6'0" 202	R	Mississippi State	DEV

Specialists3

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Wil Lutz	K	24	5'11" 184	2	Georgia State	ACT
6	Thomas Morstead	P	32	6'4" 235	9	Southern Methodist	ACT
49	Zach Wood	LS	25	6'3" 282	2	Southern Methodist	ACT

Schedule

18 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Buccaneers	L 40-48	-10	+0.159
2	vs Browns	W 21-18	-10	-0.130
3	@ Falcons	W 43-37	+1.5	+0.302
4	@ Giants	W 33-18	-3.5	+0.244
5	vs Commanders	W 43-19	-5.5	+0.386
7	@ Ravens	W 24-23	+2.5	+0.215
8	@ Vikings	W 30-20	-2.5	+0.006
9	vs Rams	W 45-35	+2.5	+0.305
10	@ Bengals	W 51-14	-5.5	+0.519
11	vs Eagles	W 48-7	-7	+0.427
12	vs Falcons	W 31-17	-11.5	+0.143
13	@ Cowboys	L 10-13	-7	-0.253
14	@ Buccaneers	W 28-14	-8.5	-0.012
15	@ Panthers	W 12-9	-6	-0.083
16	vs Steelers	W 31-28	-6.5	+0.168
17	vs Panthers	L 14-33	-8	-0.153
DIV	vs Eagles	W 20-14	-8.5	+0.092
CON	vs Rams	L 23-26	-3	-0.093