NFC South · 2020

New Orleans Saints

Record

12-4

Seed

Net EPA

+0.195est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

EPA / play+0.096
Success rate47.7%
EPA / dropback+0.140
EPA / rush+0.039
Explosive rate9.5%
CPOE+2.58
Third-down rate46.0%
Red-zone TD rate72.9%
Points / drive2.72
Turnover rate1.5%

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

EPA / play allowed-0.044
Success rate allowed43.4%
EPA / dropback allowed+0.016
EPA / rush allowed-0.151
Explosive rate allowed7.7%
Pressure rate (proxy)23.3%
Sack rate6.8%
Points / drive allowed1.99

← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.096 · 77th %ile

Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.044 · 11th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

Offense
Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

9-7

+4.0 vs line

Home

4-4

Away

5-3

As favorite

8-6

As dog

1-1

O/U

10-6

+3.4 vs total

Roster

84 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
2	Jameis Winston	QB	26	6'4" 231	5	Florida State	ACT
7	Taysom Hill	QB	30	6'2" 221	3	Brigham Young	INA
9	Drew Brees	QB	41	6'0" 209	19	Purdue	ACT
15	Trevor Siemian	QB	30	6'3" 220	5	Northwestern	DEV

Backs & receivers25

Backs & receivers
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
10	Tre'Quan Smith	WR	24	6'2" 210	2	Central Florida	ACT
11	Deonte Harris	WR	24	5'6" 170	1	Assumption	ACT
12	Marquez Callaway	WR	22	6'2" 204	R	Tennessee	ACT
13	Michael Thomas	WR	27	6'3" 212	4	Ohio State	ACT
14	Tommylee Lewis	WR	29	5'7" 168	4	Northern Illinois	DEV
16	Bennie Fowler	WR	29	6'1" 212	6	Michigan State	RES
17	Emmanuel Sanders	WR	33	5'11" 180	10	Southern Methodist	ACT
18	Jake Kumerow	WR	28	6'4" 209	5	Wisconsin-Whitewater	DEV
19	Jake Lampman	WR	27	6'0" 205	4	Ferris State	CUT
24	Dwayne Washington	RB	26	6'1" 223	4	Washington	ACT
28	Latavius Murray	RB	30	6'3" 230	7	Central Florida	INA
32	Michael Burton	RB	28	6'0" 240	5	Rutgers	ACT
37	Tony Jones	RB	24	5'11" 225	R	Notre Dame	DEV
41	Alvin Kamara	RB	25	5'10" 215	3	Tennessee	ACT
45	Garrett Griffin	TE	26	6'4" 240	4	Air Force	DEV
80	Austin Carr	WR	28	6'1" 195	3	Northwestern	CUT
82	Adam Trautman	TE	23	6'5" 253	R	Dayton	ACT
83	Juwan Johnson	WR	25	6'4" 231	R	Oregon	INA
84	Ethan Wolf	TE	26	6'6" 255	2	Tennessee	DEV
84	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	WR	22	6'4" 225	1	Texas	DEV
85	Cole Wick	TE	28	6'6" 255	4	Incarnate Word	RES
86	Jason Vander Laan	TE	29	6'3" 244	4	Ferris State	RES
87	Jared Cook	TE	33	6'5" 254	11	South Carolina	ACT
88	Ty Montgomery	RB	27	6'0" 216	5	Stanford	ACT
89	Josh Hill	TE	30	6'5" 250	7	Idaho State	ACT

Offensive line12

Offensive line
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
51	Cesar Ruiz	OL	21	6'4" 319	R	Michigan	ACT
62	Nick Easton	OL	28	6'3" 303	5	Harvard	RES
63	Cameron Tom	OL	25	6'4" 300	3	Southern Mississippi	ACT
64	Will Clapp	OL	26	6'5" 311	2	Louisiana State	RES
66	Calvin Throckmorton	OL	24	6'5" 318	R	Oregon	DEV
68	Derrick Kelly	OL	25	6'5" 320	1	Florida State	INA
71	Ryan Ramczyk	OL	26	6'6" 314	3	Wisconsin	ACT
72	Terron Armstead	OL	29	6'5" 304	7	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	ACT
73	Ethan Greenidge	OL	24	6'4" 335	1	Villanova	ACT
74	James Hurst	OL	30	6'5" 310	6	North Carolina	ACT
75	Andrus Peat	OL	28	6'7" 316	5	Stanford	ACT
78	Erik McCoy	OL	23	6'4" 315	1	Texas A&M	ACT

Defensive front23

Defensive front
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
42	Chase Hansen	LB	27	6'3" 220	1	Utah	ACT
47	Alex Anzalone	LB	27	6'3" 240	3	Florida	ACT
50	Andrew Dowell	LB	25	6'1" 225	1	Michigan State	DEV
52	Craig Robertson	LB	32	6'1" 234	9	North Texas	ACT
53	Zack Baun	LB	25	6'3" 235	R	Wisconsin	ACT
55	Kaden Elliss	LB	25	6'3" 240	1	Idaho	ACT
56	Demario Davis	LB	31	6'2" 248	8	Arkansas State	ACT
57	Noah Spence	DL	26	6'2" 251	4	Eastern Kentucky	RES
58	Kwon Alexander	LB	26	6'1" 227	5	Louisiana State	RES
69	Anthony Zettel	DL	28	6'4" 275	4	Penn State	CUT
77	Jalen Dalton	DL	23	6'6" 288	1	North Carolina	RES
79	Christian Ringo	DL	28	6'1" 298	5	Louisiana-Lafayette	CUT
90	Malcom Brown	DL	26	6'2" 320	5	Texas	ACT
91	Trey Hendrickson	DL	27	6'4" 270	3	Florida Atlantic	ACT
91	Marcus Willoughby	DL	22	6'3" 253	R	Elon	DEV
92	Marcus Davenport	DL	25	6'6" 265	2	Texas-San Antonio	ACT
93	David Onyemata	DL	29	6'4" 300	4	Manitoba, Can.	ACT
94	Cameron Jordan	DL	31	6'4" 287	9	California	ACT
95	Ryan Glasgow	DL	28	6'3" 302	3	Michigan	DEV
96	Carl Granderson	DL	25	6'5" 261	1	Wyoming	ACT
97	Malcolm Roach	DL	22	6'3" 290	R	Texas	INA
98	Sheldon Rankins	DL	26	6'2" 305	4	Louisville	ACT
99	Shy Tuttle	DL	26	6'3" 300	1	Tennessee	ACT

Secondary14

Secondary
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
20	Janoris Jenkins	DB	33	5'10" 190	8	North Alabama	ACT
21	Patrick Robinson	DB	34	5'11" 191	10	Florida State	INA
22	Chauncey Gardner-Johnson	DB	24	5'11" 208	1	Florida	ACT
23	Marshon Lattimore	DB	24	6'0" 192	3	Ohio State	ACT
25	Ken Crawley	DB	27	6'1" 180	4	Colorado	INA
26	P.J. Williams	DB	27	6'0" 196	5	Florida State	ACT
27	Malcolm Jenkins	DB	34	6'0" 204	11	Ohio State	ACT
29	Johnson Bademosi	DB	30	6'0" 219	8	Stanford	RES
30	Grant Haley	DB	24	5'9" 190	2	Penn State	DEV
34	Justin Hardee	DB	26	6'1" 200	3	Illinois	ACT
36	D.J. Swearinger	DB	30	5'10" 205	7	South Carolina	ACT
38	Keith Washington	DB	25	6'1" 180	R	West Virginia	DEV
43	Marcus Williams	DB	25	6'1" 195	3	Utah	ACT
48	J.T. Gray	DB	24	6'0" 202	2	Mississippi State	ACT

Specialists6

Specialists
#	Player	Pos	Age	Ht/Wt	Exp	College	St
3	Wil Lutz	K	26	5'11" 184	4	Georgia State	ACT
4	Blake Gillikin	P	22	6'2" 196	R	Penn State	RES
6	Thomas Morstead	P	34	6'4" 235	11	Southern Methodist	ACT
16	Blair Walsh	K	30	5'10" 175	8	Georgia	DEV
49	Zach Wood	LS	27	6'3" 255	4	Southern Methodist	ACT
92	John Denney	LS	43	6'5" 242	15	Brigham Young	DEV

Schedule

18 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
Wk	Opponent	Result	Spread	EPA/play
1	vs Buccaneers	W 34-23	-4	-0.129
2	@ Raiders	L 24-34	-4	+0.144
3	vs Packers	L 30-37	-3.5	+0.115
4	@ Lions	W 35-29	-3	+0.286
5	vs Chargers	W 30-27	-7	-0.051
7	vs Panthers	W 27-24	-7	+0.229
8	@ Bears	W 26-23	-5.5	+0.083
9	@ Buccaneers	W 38-3	+3	+0.226
10	vs 49ers	W 27-13	-9.5	-0.106
11	vs Falcons	W 24-9	-3.5	+0.044
12	@ Broncos	W 31-3	-17	+0.037
13	@ Falcons	W 21-16	-2.5	+0.066
14	@ Eagles	L 21-24	-7.5	+0.056
15	vs Chiefs	L 29-32	+2.5	-0.093
16	vs Vikings	W 52-33	-6.5	+0.395
17	@ Panthers	W 33-7	-6	+0.164
WC	vs Bears	W 21-9	-11	+0.015
DIV	vs Buccaneers	L 20-30	-2.5	-0.233