Task Enterprises presentsNFL Intelligence

NFC South · 2024

New Orleans Saints

Record

5-12

Net EPA

-0.117est.

Efficiency

How this team plays

Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.

Offence

Higher is better.

  • EPA / play-0.057
  • Success rate40.6%
  • EPA / dropback-0.071
  • EPA / rush-0.036
  • Explosive rate8.5%
  • CPOE-3.67
  • Third-down rate36.3%
  • Red-zone TD rate54.2%
  • Points / drive1.72
  • Turnover rate1.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →

Defence

Oriented so that further right is always better.

  • EPA / play allowed+0.035
  • Success rate allowed44.6%
  • EPA / dropback allowed+0.049
  • EPA / rush allowed+0.014
  • Explosive rate allowed9.5%
  • Pressure rate (proxy)16.6%
  • Sack rate5.5%
  • Points / drive allowed2.04
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.057 · 23th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.035 · 58th %ile

Form

The shape of the season

Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.

4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.

  • Offense
  • Defense (prevented)

Betting profile

Against the number

Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.

ATS

7-10

-0.3 vs line

Home

4-5

Away

3-5

As favorite

1-3

As dog

6-7

O/U

8-9

-0.1 vs total

Roster

83 players

48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.

Quarterbacks4

Quarterbacks
#PlayerPosSt
3Jake HaenerQBACT
4Derek CarrQBINA
15Ben DiNucciQBDEV
18Spencer RattlerQBACT

Backs & receivers23

Backs & receivers
#PlayerPosSt
7Taysom HillTERES
10Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWRACT
11Cedrick Wilson Jr.WRACT
12Chris OlaveWRRES
13Equanimeous St. BrownWRDEV
16Bub MeansWRRES
17Dante PettisWRACT
21Jamaal WilliamsRBACT
22Rashid ShaheedWRRES
23Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBACT
25Kendre MillerRBINA
33Jordan MimsRBACT
34Xazavian ValladayRBDEV
41Alvin KamaraRBINA
46Adam PrenticeRBACT
80Jermaine JacksonWRDEV
81Kevin Austin Jr.WRACT
82Treyton WelchTEDEV
83Juwan JohnsonTEACT
84Mason TiptonWRINA
85Dallin HolkerTEACT
86Michael JacobsonTEDEV
87Foster MoreauTEACT

Offensive line16

Offensive line
#PlayerPosSt
51Cesar RuizOLACT
60Kyle HergelOLACT
62Lucas PatrickOLRES
63Sincere HaynesworthOLDEV
64Nick SaldiveriOLRES
66Shane LemieuxOLACT
67Landon YoungOLACT
70Trevor PenningOLACT
71Ryan RamczykOLRES
72Josiah EzirimOLDEV
74James HurstOLRET
74Oli UdohOLACT
75Taliese FuagaOLACT
77Justin HerronOLRES
78Erik McCoyOLRES
79Josh BallOLACT

Defensive front22

Defensive front
#PlayerPosSt
6Willie Gay Jr.LBINA
20Pete WernerLBINA
44Isaiah StalbirdLBACT
45Nephi SewellLBACT
50Khalen SaundersDLACT
52D'Marco JacksonLBRES
53Jaylan FordLBRES
55Isaiah FoskeyDLACT
56Demario DavisLBACT
57Ryder AndersonDLDEV
58Anfernee OrjiLBACT
59Trajan JeffcoatDLDEV
76Camron PetersonDLRES
90Bryan BreseeDLACT
92Tanoh KpassagnonDLACT
93Nathan ShepherdDLACT
94Cameron JordanDLACT
95John RidgewayDLACT
96Carl GrandersonDLACT
97Khristian BoydDLINA
98Payton TurnerDLACT
99Chase YoungDLACT

Secondary14

Secondary
#PlayerPosSt
0Ugo AmadiDBACT
1Alontae TaylorDBACT
5Will HarrisDBACT
14Kool-Aid McKinstryDBACT
27Shemar Jean-CharlesDBACT
28Tre HerndonDBDEV
28Rejzohn WrightDBRES
29Paulson AdeboDBRES
31Jordan HowdenDBACT
32Tyrann MathieuDBACT
36Rico PaytonDBACT
38Millard BradfordDBACT
48J.T. GrayDBACT
Tra FluellenDBDEV

Specialists4

Specialists
#PlayerPosSt
19Blake GrupeKACT
39Charlie SmythKDEV
43Matthew HayballPACT
49Zach WoodLSACT

Schedule

17 games

New Orleans Saints schedule
WkOpponentResult
1vs PanthersW 47-10
2@ CowboysW 44-19
3vs EaglesL 12-15
4@ FalconsL 24-26
5@ ChiefsL 13-26
6vs BuccaneersL 27-51
7vs BroncosL 10-33
8@ ChargersL 8-26
9@ PanthersL 22-23
10vs FalconsW 20-17
11vs BrownsW 35-14
13vs RamsL 14-21
14@ GiantsW 14-11
15vs CommandersL 19-20
16@ PackersL 0-34
17vs RaidersL 10-25
18@ BuccaneersL 19-27