NFC South · 2007
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
9-7
Seed
#4
Net EPA
+0.115est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.004
- Success rate41.9%
- EPA / dropback+0.063
- EPA / rush-0.100
- Explosive rate8.8%
- CPOE+2.62
- Third-down rate39.3%
- Red-zone TD rate53.0%
- Points / drive1.64
- Turnover rate1.8%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.098
- Success rate allowed39.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.080
- EPA / rush allowed-0.120
- Explosive rate allowed6.2%
- Pressure rate (proxy)17.5%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.41
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.004 · 60th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.098 · 5th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-7
+3.6 vs line
Home
6-2
Away
3-5
As favorite
6-3
As dog
3-4
O/U
9-7
-1.0 vs total
Roster
55 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bruce Gradkowski | QB | 24 | 6'1" 220 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Jeff Garcia | QB | 37 | 6'1" 205 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Luke McCown | QB | 26 | 6'3" 212 | 3 | Louisiana Tech | ACT |
Backs & receivers16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chad Lucas | WR | 27 | 6'1" 201 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 18 | Brian Clark | WR | 25 | 6'2" 204 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 18 | Brian Clark | WR | 25 | 6'2" 204 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Ike Hilliard | WR | 31 | 5'11" 210 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Michael Bennett | RB | 29 | 5'9" 207 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Michael Bennett | RB | 29 | 5'9" 207 | 6 | — | TRC |
| 32 | Michael Pittman | RB | 32 | 6'0" 228 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kenneth Darby | RB | 26 | 5'10" 213 | R | — | ACT |
| 34 | Earnest Graham | RB | 27 | 5'9" 225 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 35 | B.J. Askew | FB | 27 | 6'3" 233 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Byron Storer | RB | 23 | 6'1" 219 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Michael Clayton | WR | 26 | 6'4" 215 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Alex Smith | TE | 25 | 6'4" 258 | 2 | Stanford | ACT |
| 84 | Joey Galloway | WR | 37 | 5'11" 197 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Jerramy Stevens | TE | 29 | 6'7" 260 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Anthony Becht | TE | 30 | 6'5" 280 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Jeremy Trueblood | T | 24 | 6'8" 320 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Matt Lehr | C | 28 | 6'2" 304 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Anthony Davis | G | 27 | 6'4" 322 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 24 | 6'5" 305 | 1 | Utah State | ACT |
| 72 | Dan Buenning | G | 27 | 6'4" 320 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Davin Joseph | G | 25 | 6'3" 313 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 76 | John Wade | C | 32 | 6'5" 299 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Arron Sears | G | 24 | 6'3" 319 | R | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Jeremiah Trotter | MLB | 30 | 6'1" 262 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Barrett Ruud | MLB | 24 | 6'2" 241 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Patrick Chukwurah | DE | 28 | 6'1" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Derrick Brooks | OLB | 34 | 6'0" 235 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Ryan Nece | MLB | 28 | 6'3" 224 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Adam Hayward | OLB | 23 | 6'0" 235 | R | — | ACT |
| 58 | Quincy Black | OLB | 23 | 6'2" 240 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Cato June | OLB | 29 | 6'0" 227 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jovan Haye | DT | 25 | 6'2" 285 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Gaines Adams | DE | 24 | 6'5" 258 | R | — | ACT |
| 91 | Stylez G White | DE | 28 | 6'3" 270 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Kevin Carter | DE | 35 | 6'6" 305 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Greg Spires | DE | 33 | 6'1" 265 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Chris Hovan | DT | 29 | 6'2" 296 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Ryan Sims | DT | 27 | 6'4" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 32 | 5'10" 184 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Sammy Davis | CB | 27 | 6'0" 195 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Jermaine Phillips | SS | 28 | 6'2" 220 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Brian Kelly | CB | 31 | 5'11" 193 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Will Allen | FS | 25 | 6'1" 200 | 3 | Ohio State | ACT |
| 28 | Tanard Jackson | FS | 22 | 6'0" 200 | R | — | ACT |
| 30 | Donte Nicholson | SS | 27 | 6'1" 216 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Phillip Buchanon | CB | 28 | 5'11" 186 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Kalvin Pearson | FS | 30 | 5'10" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matt Bryant | K | 32 | 5'9" 200 | 5 | Baylor | ACT |
| 9 | Josh Bidwell | P | 31 | 6'3" 220 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Micheal Spurlock | KR | 24 | 5'10" 214 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 48 | Andrew Economos | LS | 25 | 6'1" 250 | 2 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Seahawks | L 6-20 | +6 | -0.164 |
| 2 | vs Saints | W 31-14 | +5 | +0.250 |
| 3 | vs Rams | W 24-3 | -3.5 | +0.136 |
| 4 | @ Panthers | W 20-7 | +3 | +0.008 |
| 5 | @ Colts | L 14-33 | +9 | -0.002 |
| 6 | vs Titans | W 13-10 | -1 | +0.024 |
| 7 | @ Lions | L 16-23 | +2.5 | +0.124 |
| 8 | vs Jaguars | L 23-24 | -3.5 | -0.184 |
| 9 | vs Cardinals | W 17-10 | -3.5 | +0.053 |
| 11 | @ Falcons | W 31-7 | -3 | +0.016 |
| 12 | vs Commanders | W 19-13 | -3.5 | -0.239 |
| 13 | @ Saints | W 27-23 | +5.5 | +0.143 |
| 14 | @ Texans | L 14-28 | -3 | -0.226 |
| 15 | vs Falcons | W 37-3 | -13 | +0.027 |
| 16 | @ 49ers | L 19-21 | -6.5 | -0.042 |
| 17 | vs Panthers | L 23-31 | +3 | -0.010 |
| WC | vs Giants | L 14-24 | -3 | +0.020 |