NFC South · 2009
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
3-13
Net EPA
-0.167est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.156
- Success rate36.1%
- EPA / dropback-0.138
- EPA / rush-0.188
- Explosive rate7.3%
- CPOE-5.15
- Third-down rate33.0%
- Red-zone TD rate61.0%
- Points / drive1.06
- Turnover rate3.4%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.043
- Success rate allowed44.4%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.100
- EPA / rush allowed-0.019
- Explosive rate allowed9.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)18.9%
- Sack rate5.1%
- Points / drive allowed1.81
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.156 · 9th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.043 · 78th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
6-10
-1.6 vs line
Home
1-7
Away
5-3
As favorite
0-0
As dog
6-10
O/U
6-10
-2.2 vs total
Roster
63 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Josh Freeman | QB | 21 | 6'6" 248 | R | Kansas State | ACT |
| 11 | Josh Johnson | QB | 23 | 6'3" 205 | 1 | San Diego | ACT |
| 12 | Rudy Carpenter | QB | 23 | 6'2" 217 | R | — | TRD |
| 12 | Rudy Carpenter | QB | 23 | 6'2" 217 | R | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers20
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mark Bradley | WR | 27 | 6'1" 201 | 4 | — | TRC |
| 16 | Mark Bradley | WR | 27 | 6'1" 201 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Mario Urrutia | WR | 23 | 6'6" 232 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Carnell Williams | RB | 27 | 5'11" 217 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Derrick Ward | RB | 29 | 5'11" 228 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Kareem Huggins | RB | 23 | 5'9" 198 | R | — | ACT |
| 45 | Chris Pressley | FB | 23 | 5'11" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 45 | Chris Pressley | FB | 23 | 5'11" 260 | R | — | TRC |
| 46 | Ryan Purvis | TE | 23 | 6'4" 260 | R | — | ACT |
| 80 | Michael Clayton | WR | 28 | 6'4" 215 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Micheal Spurlock | WR | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Micheal Spurlock | WR | 26 | 5'11" 200 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 82 | Kellen Winslow | TE | 26 | 6'4" 240 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Terrence Nunn | WR | 23 | 6'0" 195 | R | — | TRC |
| 83 | Terrence Nunn | WR | 23 | 6'0" 195 | R | — | ACT |
| 85 | Maurice Stovall | WR | 24 | 6'5" 220 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Jerramy Stevens | TE | 31 | 6'7" 260 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Brian Clark | WR | 27 | 6'2" 204 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | John Gilmore | TE | 31 | 6'5" 257 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Antonio Bryant | WR | 28 | 6'1" 205 | 7 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Jeff Faine | C | 28 | 6'3" 291 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Jonathan Compas | C | 23 | 6'3" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 65 | Jeremy Trueblood | T | 26 | 6'8" 320 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Demar Dotson | T | 25 | 6'9" 315 | R | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 26 | 6'5" 305 | 3 | Utah State | ACT |
| 74 | Shawn Murphy | G | 28 | 6'4" 315 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Shawn Murphy | G | 28 | 6'4" 315 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 75 | Davin Joseph | G | 27 | 6'3" 313 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jeremy Zuttah | G | 23 | 6'4" 308 | 1 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 77 | James Lee | T | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Matt McCoy | OLB | 28 | 6'0" 235 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Barrett Ruud | MLB | 26 | 6'2" 241 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Niko Koutouvides | MLB | 28 | 6'2" 238 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Geno Hayes | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 226 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Adam Hayward | OLB | 25 | 6'1" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Quincy Black | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 240 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Michael Bennett | DT | 25 | 6'3" 274 | R | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 71 | Michael Bennett | DT | 25 | 6'3" 274 | R | Texas A&M | TRD |
| 91 | Stylez G White | DE | 30 | 6'3" 270 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Dre Moore | DT | 24 | 6'4" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Roy Miller | DT | 22 | 6'2" 310 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 94 | Kyle Moore | DE | 24 | 6'5" 272 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Chris Hovan | DT | 31 | 6'2" 296 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Tim Crowder | DE | 24 | 6'4" 275 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Ryan Sims | DT | 29 | 6'4" 315 | 7 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 34 | 5'10" 184 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Sabby Piscitelli | SS | 26 | 6'3" 224 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Aqib Talib | CB | 23 | 6'1" 205 | 1 | Kansas | ACT |
| 29 | Derrick Roberson | DB | 24 | 5'10" 182 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Elbert Mack | CB | 23 | 5'10" 175 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Tanard Jackson | FS | 24 | 6'0" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Corey Lynch | FS | 24 | 6'0" 206 | 1 | — | TRC |
| 41 | Corey Lynch | FS | 24 | 6'0" 206 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 43 | De'von Hall | DB | 23 | 6'3" 212 | R | — | ACT |
| 43 | De'von Hall | DB | 23 | 6'3" 212 | R | — | TRC |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sam Paulescu | P | 25 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 2 | Sam Paulescu | P | 25 | 6'0" 195 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Connor Barth | K | 23 | 5'11" 193 | 1 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 48 | Andrew Economos | LS | 27 | 6'1" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cowboys | L 21-34 | +4.5 | +0.172 |
| 2 | @ Bills | L 20-33 | +4.5 | -0.143 |
| 3 | vs Giants | L 0-24 | +6 | -0.458 |
| 4 | @ Commanders | L 13-16 | +9.5 | -0.235 |
| 5 | @ Eagles | L 14-33 | +15.5 | -0.126 |
| 6 | vs Panthers | L 21-28 | +3 | -0.169 |
| 7 | vs Patriots | L 7-35 | +15.5 | -0.405 |
| 9 | vs Packers | W 38-28 | +9.5 | -0.050 |
| 10 | @ Dolphins | L 23-25 | +10 | -0.116 |
| 11 | vs Saints | L 7-38 | +10.5 | -0.227 |
| 12 | @ Falcons | L 17-20 | +12 | -0.050 |
| 13 | @ Panthers | L 6-16 | +3.5 | -0.139 |
| 14 | vs Jets | L 3-26 | +3.5 | -0.625 |
| 15 | @ Seahawks | W 24-7 | +6.5 | +0.075 |
| 16 | @ Saints | W 20-17 | +14 | +0.019 |
| 17 | vs Falcons | L 10-20 | +3 | -0.314 |