NFC South · 2011
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
4-12
Net EPA
-0.245est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.107
- Success rate43.0%
- EPA / dropback-0.081
- EPA / rush-0.164
- Explosive rate6.3%
- CPOE-1.20
- Third-down rate37.0%
- Red-zone TD rate58.6%
- Points / drive1.39
- Turnover rate3.6%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.129
- Success rate allowed47.1%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.212
- EPA / rush allowed+0.033
- Explosive rate allowed12.1%
- Pressure rate (proxy)13.4%
- Sack rate4.2%
- Points / drive allowed2.41
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.107 · 12th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.129 · 98th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
4-12
-9.7 vs line
Home
2-6
Away
2-6
As favorite
1-3
As dog
3-9
O/U
10-6
+3.8 vs total
Roster
57 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Josh Freeman | QB | 23 | 6'6" 248 | 2 | Kansas State | ACT |
| 11 | Josh Johnson | QB | 25 | 6'3" 205 | 3 | San Diego | ACT |
| 12 | Rudy Carpenter | QB | 25 | 6'2" 212 | 2 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Arrelious Benn | WR | 24 | 6'2" 220 | 1 | Illinois | ACT |
| 18 | Sammie Stroughter | WR | 25 | 5'10" 189 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 19 | Mike Williams | WR | 24 | 6'2" 212 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | 26 | 6'0" 247 | 1 | Oregon | ACT |
| 28 | Kregg Lumpkin | RB | 27 | 5'11" 228 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Mossis Madu | RB | 25 | 6'0" 197 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Erik Lorig | FB | 26 | 6'4" 275 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Zack Pianalto | TE | 22 | 6'4" 250 | R | — | ACT |
| 81 | Micheal Spurlock | WR | 28 | 5'11" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Kellen Winslow | TE | 28 | 6'4" 240 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Preston Parker | WR | 24 | 6'0" 200 | 1 | North Alabama | ACT |
| 88 | Luke Stocker | TE | 23 | 6'5" 253 | R | Tennessee | ACT |
| 89 | Dezmon Briscoe | WR | 22 | 6'2" 210 | 1 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Jeff Faine | C | 30 | 6'3" 291 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Ted Larsen | G | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | North Carolina State | ACT |
| 65 | Jeremy Trueblood | T | 28 | 6'8" 320 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 69 | Demar Dotson | T | 27 | 6'9" 315 | 2 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 70 | Donald Penn | T | 28 | 6'5" 305 | 5 | Utah State | ACT |
| 73 | Derek Hardman | G | 26 | 6'6" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Davin Joseph | G | 29 | 6'3" 313 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jeremy Zuttah | C | 25 | 6'4" 308 | 3 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 77 | James Lee | T | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Daniel Te'o-Nesheim | DE | 24 | 6'3" 263 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 50 | Daniel Te'o-Nesheim | DE | 24 | 6'3" 263 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Nick Reed | DE | 25 | 6'1" 248 | 2 | — | TRD |
| 53 | Nick Reed | DE | 25 | 6'1" 248 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Geno Hayes | OLB | 24 | 6'1" 226 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Dekoda Watson | OLB | 23 | 6'2" 240 | 1 | Florida State | ACT |
| 57 | Adam Hayward | ILB | 27 | 6'1" 240 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Quincy Black | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 240 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Mason Foster | ILB | 22 | 6'1" 241 | R | Washington | ACT |
| 71 | Michael Bennett | DE | 27 | 6'4" 274 | 2 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 72 | Jovan Haye | DT | 29 | 6'2" 277 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Jovan Haye | DT | 29 | 6'2" 277 | 6 | — | TRD |
| 90 | Roy Miller | DT | 24 | 6'2" 310 | 2 | Texas | ACT |
| 91 | Da'Quan Bowers | DE | 21 | 6'3" 277 | R | Clemson | ACT |
| 92 | Brian Price | DT | 22 | 6'1" 303 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Adrian Clayborn | DE | 23 | 6'3" 287 | R | Iowa | ACT |
| 95 | Albert Haynesworth | DE | 30 | 6'6" 350 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Albert Haynesworth | DE | 30 | 6'6" 350 | 9 | — | TRC |
| 98 | Frank Okam | DT | 27 | 6'5" 350 | 3 | — | ACT |
Secondary10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ronde Barber | CB | 36 | 5'10" 184 | 14 | — | ACT |
| 22 | Larry Asante | FS | 23 | 6'0" 210 | 1 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 23 | Myron Lewis | CB | 25 | 6'2" 203 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Anthony Gaitor | CB | 24 | 5'10" 178 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Sean Jones | SS | 29 | 6'1" 220 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 31 | E.J. Biggers | CB | 24 | 6'0" 180 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Elbert Mack | CB | 25 | 5'10" 175 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 36 | Tanard Jackson | FS | 26 | 6'0" 200 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Corey Lynch | SS | 26 | 6'0" 206 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 43 | Ahmad Black | DB | 23 | 5'9" 184 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Michael Koenen | P | 29 | 5'11" 198 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 10 | Connor Barth | K | 25 | 5'11" 193 | 3 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 48 | Andrew Economos | LS | 29 | 6'1" 250 | 6 | — | ACT |
Schedule
16 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lions | L 20-27 | -1 | -0.089 |
| 2 | @ Vikings | W 24-20 | +1 | +0.133 |
| 3 | vs Falcons | W 16-13 | -1 | -0.058 |
| 4 | vs Colts | W 24-17 | -10 | +0.123 |
| 5 | @ 49ers | L 3-48 | +2.5 | -0.279 |
| 6 | vs Saints | W 26-20 | +6 | +0.079 |
| 7 | vs Bears | L 18-24 | +1.5 | -0.210 |
| 9 | @ Saints | L 16-27 | +9 | -0.003 |
| 10 | vs Texans | L 9-37 | +3.5 | -0.455 |
| 11 | @ Packers | L 26-35 | +13.5 | +0.176 |
| 12 | @ Titans | L 17-23 | +3 | -0.296 |
| 13 | vs Panthers | L 19-38 | +1 | -0.099 |
| 14 | @ Jaguars | L 14-41 | -3 | -0.332 |
| 15 | vs Cowboys | L 15-31 | +7 | -0.253 |
| 16 | @ Panthers | L 16-48 | +9 | -0.045 |
| 17 | @ Falcons | L 24-45 | +10 | -0.237 |