NFC South · 2022
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record
8-9
Seed
#4
Net EPA
-0.004est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.030
- Success rate44.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.052
- EPA / rush-0.208
- Explosive rate6.5%
- CPOE+0.30
- Third-down rate38.1%
- Red-zone TD rate51.4%
- Points / drive1.63
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.026
- Success rate allowed42.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.013
- EPA / rush allowed-0.086
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)21.7%
- Sack rate6.7%
- Points / drive allowed1.83
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.030 · 39th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.026 · 33th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
4-12-1
-5.7 vs line
Home
2-6-1
Away
2-6
As favorite
4-9-1
As dog
0-3
O/U
6-11
-4.0 vs total
Roster
76 players
48 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Trask | QB | 24 | 6'5" 240 | 1 | Florida | INA |
| 4 | Ryan Griffin | QB | 34 | 6'4" 210 | 9 | Tulane | DEV |
| 11 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | 34 | 6'5" 235 | 11 | Missouri | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 45 | 6'4" 225 | 22 | Michigan | ACT |
Backs & receivers19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Julio Jones | WR | 33 | 6'3" 220 | 11 | Alabama | ACT |
| 7 | Leonard Fournette | RB | 27 | 6'0" 228 | 5 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 8 | Kyle Rudolph | TE | 34 | 6'6" 265 | 11 | Notre Dame | INA |
| 10 | Scott Miller | WR | 25 | 5'9" 174 | 3 | Bowling Green | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Evans | WR | 29 | 6'5" 231 | 8 | Texas A&M | ACT |
| 14 | Chris Godwin | WR | 26 | 6'1" 209 | 5 | Penn State | ACT |
| 14 | Tyler Johnson | WR | 24 | 6'1" 205 | 2 | Minnesota | DEV |
| 16 | Breshad Perriman | WR | 30 | 6'2" 215 | 7 | Central Florida | INA |
| 17 | Russell Gage | WR | 26 | 6'0" 184 | 4 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 21 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn | RB | 25 | 5'10" 215 | 2 | Vanderbilt | ACT |
| 25 | Giovani Bernard | RB | 32 | 5'9" 205 | 9 | North Carolina | ACT |
| 29 | Rachaad White | RB | 23 | 6'0" 210 | R | Arizona State | ACT |
| 41 | Ko Kieft | TE | 24 | 6'5" 265 | R | Minnesota | ACT |
| 43 | Patrick Laird | RB | 27 | 6'1" 205 | 3 | California | DEV |
| 80 | Kaylon Geiger | WR | 26 | 5'10" 180 | R | Texas Tech | DEV |
| 83 | David Wells | TE | 27 | 6'6" 255 | 4 | San Diego State | DEV |
| 83 | Deven Thompkins | WR | 24 | 5'8" 155 | R | Utah State | ACT |
| 84 | Cameron Brate | TE | 31 | 6'5" 245 | 8 | Harvard | ACT |
| 88 | Cade Otton | TE | 23 | 6'5" 250 | R | Washington | ACT |
Offensive line14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Nick Leverett | OL | 25 | 6'4" 310 | 2 | Rice | INA |
| 64 | Aaron Stinnie | OL | 28 | 6'3" 312 | 4 | James Madison | RES |
| 65 | Dylan Cook | OL | 24 | 6'6" 280 | R | Montana | DEV |
| 66 | Ryan Jensen | OL | 31 | 6'4" 319 | 9 | Colorado State-Pueblo | ACT |
| 67 | Luke Goedeke | OL | 25 | 6'5" 310 | R | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 69 | Shaquille Mason | OL | 29 | 6'1" 310 | 7 | Georgia Tech | ACT |
| 70 | Robert Hainsey | OL | 24 | 6'4" 295 | 1 | Notre Dame | ACT |
| 72 | Josh Wells | OL | 31 | 6'6" 306 | 8 | James Madison | RES |
| 73 | Brandon Walton | OL | 24 | 6'5" 300 | 2 | Florida Atlantic | ACT |
| 74 | Grant Hermanns | OL | 24 | 6'7" 305 | 1 | Purdue | DEV |
| 75 | John Molchon | OL | 25 | 6'5" 318 | 2 | Boise State | ACT |
| 76 | Donovan Smith | OL | 29 | 6'6" 338 | 7 | Penn State | ACT |
| 77 | Justin Skule | OL | 27 | 6'6" 318 | 3 | Vanderbilt | DEV |
| 78 | Tristan Wirfs | OL | 23 | 6'5" 322 | 2 | Iowa | ACT |
Defensive front23
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Joe Tryon | LB | 23 | 6'5" 262 | 1 | Washington | ACT |
| 44 | Ifeadi Odenigbo | DL | 28 | 6'3" 258 | 5 | Northwestern | DEV |
| 45 | Devin White | LB | 24 | 6'0" 237 | 3 | Louisiana State | ACT |
| 46 | Hamilcar Rashed | DL | 24 | 6'2" 203 | 1 | Oregon State | DEV |
| 49 | Cam Gill | LB | 26 | 6'3" 240 | 2 | Wagner | RES |
| 49 | Charles Snowden | LB | 24 | 6'7" 235 | 1 | Virginia | DEV |
| 50 | Vita Vea | DL | 27 | 6'4" 347 | 4 | Washington | ACT |
| 51 | J.J. Russell | LB | 25 | 6'1" 225 | R | Memphis | CUT |
| 52 | K.J. Britt | LB | 23 | 6'0" 228 | 1 | Auburn | ACT |
| 54 | Lavonte David | LB | 32 | 6'1" 233 | 10 | Nebraska | ACT |
| 56 | Rakeem Nunez-Roches | DL | 29 | 6'2" 307 | 7 | Southern Mississippi | ACT |
| 57 | Ulysees Gilbert | LB | 25 | 6'0" 230 | 3 | Akron | ACT |
| 58 | Shaquil Barrett | LB | 31 | 6'2" 250 | 8 | Colorado State | RES |
| 59 | Genard Avery | LB | 27 | 6'0" 250 | 4 | Memphis | RES |
| 79 | Pat O'Connor | DL | 30 | 6'4" 270 | 5 | Eastern Michigan | ACT |
| 90 | Logan Hall | DL | 22 | 6'6" 275 | R | Houston | ACT |
| 91 | Mike Greene | DL | 23 | 6'3" 285 | R | James Madison | DEV |
| 92 | William Gholston | DL | 31 | 6'6" 281 | 9 | Michigan State | ACT |
| 93 | Willington Previlon | DL | 25 | 6'5" 295 | 2 | Rutgers | DEV |
| 94 | Carl Nassib | LB | 29 | 6'7" 275 | 6 | Penn State | ACT |
| 95 | Deadrin Senat | DL | 28 | 6'1" 305 | 4 | South Florida | ACT |
| 96 | Akiem Hicks | DL | 34 | 6'5" 352 | 10 | Regina, Can. | ACT |
| 98 | Anthony Nelson | LB | 25 | 6'7" 272 | 3 | Iowa | ACT |
Secondary13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Keanu Neal | DB | 27 | 6'0" 216 | 6 | Florida | INA |
| 23 | Sean Murphy-Bunting | DB | 25 | 6'0" 195 | 3 | Central Michigan | ACT |
| 24 | Carlton Davis | DB | 27 | 6'1" 206 | 4 | Auburn | ACT |
| 26 | Logan Ryan | DB | 31 | 5'11" 195 | 9 | Rutgers | ACT |
| 27 | Zyon McCollum | DB | 23 | 6'2" 200 | R | Sam Houston State | ACT |
| 30 | Dee Delaney | DB | 27 | 5'11" 193 | 4 | Miami | ACT |
| 31 | Antoine Winfield | DB | 24 | 5'9" 205 | 2 | Minnesota | ACT |
| 32 | Mike Edwards | DB | 26 | 5'10" 200 | 3 | Kentucky | ACT |
| 34 | Nolan Turner | DB | 26 | 6'1" 200 | R | Clemson | DEV |
| 35 | Jamel Dean | DB | 27 | 6'1" 206 | 3 | Auburn | ACT |
| 36 | Don Gardner | DB | 26 | 6'1" 185 | R | South Dakota State | DEV |
| 37 | Anthony Chesley | DB | 26 | 6'0" 190 | 3 | Coastal Carolina | RES |
| 38 | Duron Lowe | DB | 26 | 5'10" 180 | R | Liberty | DEV |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ryan Succop | K | 37 | 6'2" 218 | 13 | South Carolina | ACT |
| 5 | Jake Camarda | P | 23 | 6'1" 180 | R | Georgia | ACT |
| 97 | Zach Triner | LS | 31 | 6'3" 245 | 6 | Assumption | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Cowboys | W 19-3 | -2.5 | +0.014 |
| 2 | @ Saints | W 20-10 | -2.5 | -0.214 |
| 3 | vs Packers | L 12-14 | -1 | -0.178 |
| 4 | vs Chiefs | L 31-41 | -1 | +0.137 |
| 5 | vs Falcons | W 21-15 | -10.5 | +0.151 |
| 6 | @ Steelers | L 18-20 | -10 | +0.075 |
| 7 | @ Panthers | L 3-21 | -13 | -0.164 |
| 8 | vs Ravens | L 22-27 | -2 | +0.130 |
| 9 | vs Rams | W 16-13 | -3 | -0.158 |
| 10 | vs Seahawks | W 21-16 | -2.5 | +0.173 |
| 12 | @ Browns | L 17-23 | -3 | -0.029 |
| 13 | vs Saints | W 17-16 | -3.5 | +0.007 |
| 14 | @ 49ers | L 7-35 | +3.5 | -0.205 |
| 15 | vs Bengals | L 23-34 | +3.5 | -0.099 |
| 16 | @ Cardinals | W 19-16 | -7.5 | -0.090 |
| 17 | vs Panthers | W 30-24 | -3.5 | +0.105 |
| 18 | @ Falcons | L 17-30 | +6 | -0.181 |
| WC | vs Cowboys | L 14-31 | +2.5 | -0.051 |