NFC East · 1999
Washington Commanders
Record
10-6
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.113est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.098
- Success rate44.4%
- EPA / dropback+0.143
- EPA / rush+0.036
- Explosive rate10.8%
- Third-down rate36.2%
- Red-zone TD rate68.3%
- Points / drive1.78
- Turnover rate2.2%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.001
- Success rate allowed39.5%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.038
- EPA / rush allowed-0.069
- Explosive rate allowed9.9%
- Pressure rate (proxy)10.7%
- Sack rate5.8%
- Points / drive allowed1.64
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.098 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.001 · 73th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
8-8
+1.0 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
4-4
As favorite
6-6
As dog
2-2
O/U
9-7
+6.3 vs total
Roster
63 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Casey Weldon | QB | 30 | 6'1" 206 | — | — | ACT |
| 14 | Brad Johnson | QB | 32 | 6'5" 224 | — | — | ACT |
| 16 | Rodney Peete | QB | 33 | 6'0" 225 | — | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Skip Hicks | RB | 26 | 6'0" 230 | — | — | ACT |
| 30 | Brian Mitchell | RB | 31 | 5'10" 221 | — | — | ACT |
| 37 | Larry Centers | RB | 31 | 6'0" 225 | — | — | ACT |
| 45 | Mike Sellers | TE | 24 | 6'3" 260 | — | — | ACT |
| 47 | Larry Bowie | RB | 26 | 6'0" 249 | — | — | ACT |
| 48 | Stephen Davis | RB | 25 | 6'0" 234 | — | — | ACT |
| 80 | Stephen Alexander | TE | 25 | 6'4" 246 | — | — | ACT |
| 82 | Michael Westbrook | WR | 27 | 6'3" 220 | — | — | ACT |
| 83 | Albert Connell | WR | 25 | 6'0" 179 | — | — | ACT |
| 84 | Derrius Thompson | WR | 22 | 6'2" 215 | — | — | ACT |
| 86 | Irving Fryar | WR | 38 | 6'0" 198 | — | — | ACT |
| 87 | James Thrash | WR | 24 | 6'0" 200 | — | — | ACT |
| 88 | James Jenkins | TE | 32 | 6'2" 249 | — | — | ACT |
| 89 | Chris Thomas | WR | 28 | 6'2" 190 | — | — | TRD |
Offensive line12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Cory Raymer | OL | 26 | 6'2" 289 | — | — | ACT |
| 60 | Mark Fischer | OL | 25 | 6'3" 293 | — | — | ACT |
| 62 | Derek G. Smith | OL | 23 | 6'6" 310 | — | — | RES |
| 63 | Keith Sims | OL | 32 | 6'3" 318 | — | — | ACT |
| 64 | Andy Heck | OL | 32 | 6'6" 298 | — | — | ACT |
| 66 | Dan Turk | OL | 37 | 6'4" 290 | — | — | ACT |
| 69 | Rod Milstead | OL | 31 | 6'2" 290 | — | — | ACT |
| 73 | Jamie Brown | OL | 27 | 6'8" 318 | — | — | ACT |
| 74 | Brad Badger | OL | 24 | 6'4" 298 | — | — | ACT |
| 76 | Jon Jansen | OL | 23 | 6'6" 302 | — | — | ACT |
| 77 | Tre' Johnson | OL | 28 | 6'2" 326 | — | — | ACT |
| 79 | Kipp Vickers | OL | 30 | 6'2" 298 | — | — | ACT |
Defensive front19
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Derek M. Smith | LB | 24 | 6'2" 239 | — | — | ACT |
| 51 | James Francis | LB | 31 | 6'5" 257 | — | — | ACT |
| 53 | Eddie Mason | LB | 27 | 6'0" 236 | — | — | ACT |
| 54 | Greg Jones | LB | 25 | 6'4" 238 | — | — | ACT |
| 55 | Fred Strickland | LB | 33 | 6'2" 251 | — | — | RES |
| 56 | Kurt Gouveia | LB | 36 | 6'1" 240 | — | — | ACT |
| 58 | Malcolm Hamilton | LB | 28 | 6'1" 235 | — | — | RES |
| 59 | Shawn Barber | LB | 24 | 6'2" 224 | — | — | ACT |
| 71 | Barron Tanner | DL | 27 | 6'3" 310 | — | — | ACT |
| 72 | N. D. Kalu | DL | 24 | 6'3" 246 | — | — | ACT |
| 75 | Anthony Cook | DL | 27 | 6'3" 295 | — | — | ACT |
| 78 | Doug Brown | DL | 26 | 6'7" 290 | — | — | ACT |
| 90 | Kenard Lang | DL | 24 | 6'4" 277 | — | — | ACT |
| 91 | David Hoelscher | DL | 25 | 6'6" 261 | — | — | RES |
| 93 | Marc Boutte | DL | 30 | 6'4" 307 | — | — | ACT |
| 94 | Dana Stubblefield | DL | 30 | 6'2" 315 | — | — | ACT |
| 95 | Dan Wilkinson | DL | 26 | 6'5" 313 | — | — | ACT |
| 98 | Twan Russell | LB | 25 | 6'2" 219 | — | — | RES |
| 99 | Marco Coleman | DL | 31 | 6'3" 267 | — | — | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mark McMillian | DB | 29 | 5'7" 154 | — | — | ACT |
| 22 | Jamel Williams | DB | 27 | 6'0" 205 | — | — | TRD |
| 23 | Matt Stevens | DB | 26 | 6'0" 206 | — | — | ACT |
| 24 | Champ Bailey | DB | 21 | 6'1" 184 | — | — | ACT |
| 25 | Tim Denton | DB | 26 | 5'11" 182 | — | — | ACT |
| 26 | Curtis Buckley | DB | 30 | 6'0" 182 | — | — | ACT |
| 27 | Tito Paul | DB | 27 | 6'0" 195 | — | — | RES |
| 28 | Darrell Green | DB | 39 | 5'8" 184 | — | — | ACT |
| 29 | Sam Shade | DB | 26 | 6'1" 201 | — | — | ACT |
| 31 | Darryl Pounds | DB | 27 | 5'10" 189 | — | — | ACT |
| 32 | Toby Wright | DB | 30 | 5'11" 212 | — | — | CUT |
| 35 | Leomont Evans | DB | 25 | 6'1" 202 | — | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cowboys | L 35-41 | -2.5 | +0.189 |
| 2 | @ Giants | W 50-21 | +2.5 | +0.390 |
| 3 | @ Jets | W 27-20 | -1 | +0.186 |
| 4 | vs Panthers | W 38-36 | -8.5 | +0.242 |
| 6 | @ Cardinals | W 24-10 | -3.5 | +0.109 |
| 7 | @ Cowboys | L 20-38 | +2 | +0.155 |
| 8 | vs Bears | W 48-22 | -8.5 | +0.231 |
| 9 | vs Bills | L 17-34 | -4 | -0.019 |
| 10 | @ Eagles | L 28-35 | -6 | -0.069 |
| 11 | vs Giants | W 23-13 | -5.5 | -0.048 |
| 12 | vs Eagles | W 20-17 | -10 | +0.076 |
| 13 | @ Lions | L 17-33 | +3.5 | -0.281 |
| 14 | vs Cardinals | W 28-3 | -5.5 | +0.116 |
| 15 | @ Colts | L 21-24 | +6.5 | +0.070 |
| 16 | @ 49ers | W 26-20 | -7 | +0.199 |
| 17 | vs Dolphins | W 21-10 | -3 | +0.060 |
| WC | vs Lions | W 27-13 | -6 | +0.059 |
| DIV | @ Buccaneers | L 13-14 | +4.5 | -0.379 |