AFC East · 2004
New England Patriots
Record
14-2
Seed
#2
Net EPA
+0.187est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.099
- Success rate46.5%
- EPA / dropback+0.228
- EPA / rush-0.039
- Explosive rate10.3%
- Third-down rate45.1%
- Red-zone TD rate62.5%
- Points / drive2.15
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.088
- Success rate allowed41.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.049
- EPA / rush allowed-0.152
- Explosive rate allowed7.0%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.2%
- Sack rate7.2%
- Points / drive allowed1.31
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.099 · 84th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.088 · 22th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
11-3-2
+4.9 vs line
Home
5-1-2
Away
6-2
As favorite
9-3-2
As dog
1-0
O/U
8-7-1
+1.9 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rohan Davey | QB | 25 | 6'2" 245 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Tom Brady | QB | 27 | 6'4" 225 | 4 | Michigan | ACT |
| 13 | Jim Miller | QB | 33 | 6'2" 225 | 10 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kevin Kasper | WR | 28 | 6'1" 202 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Rabih Abdullah | RB | 29 | 6'0" 235 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Corey Dillon | RB | 31 | 6'1" 225 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Kevin Faulk | RB | 28 | 5'8" 202 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 34 | Cedric Cobbs | RB | 23 | 6'0" 225 | R | — | ACT |
| 35 | Patrick Pass | FB | 28 | 5'10" 217 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Troy Brown | WR | 33 | 5'10" 196 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Bethel Johnson | WR | 25 | 5'11" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 82 | Daniel Graham | TE | 27 | 6'3" 257 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Deion Branch | WR | 25 | 5'9" 193 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Jed Weaver | TE | 28 | 6'4" 258 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 86 | David Patten | WR | 30 | 5'10" 190 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 87 | David Givens | WR | 24 | 6'0" 215 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Christian Fauria | TE | 34 | 6'4" 250 | 9 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | Steve Neal | G | 29 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Joe Andruzzi | G | 29 | 6'3" 312 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Gene Mruczkowski | C | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Lonie Paxton | C | 26 | 6'2" 260 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 67 | Dan Koppen | C | 26 | 6'2" 296 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Russ Hochstein | G | 28 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Matt Light | T | 26 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Billy Yates | G | 24 | 6'2" 305 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Brandon Gorin | T | 26 | 6'6" 308 | 3 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Tully Banta-Cain | OLB | 24 | 6'2" 250 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 50 | Mike Vrabel | OLB | 29 | 6'4" 261 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Don Davis | ILB | 33 | 6'1" 235 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Ted Johnson | ILB | 33 | 6'4" 253 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 53 | Larry Izzo | ILB | 31 | 5'10" 228 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Tedy Bruschi | ILB | 31 | 6'1" 247 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Willie McGinest | OLB | 34 | 6'5" 270 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Matt Chatham | OLB | 27 | 6'4" 250 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Rosevelt Colvin | OLB | 28 | 6'3" 250 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Vince Wilfork | DT | 24 | 6'1" 325 | R | Miami (Fla.) | ACT |
| 91 | Marquise Hill | DE | 22 | 6'6" 300 | R | — | ACT |
| 93 | Richard Seymour | DE | 26 | 6'6" 310 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Ty Warren | DE | 23 | 6'5" 300 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Roman Phifer | ILB | 36 | 6'2" 248 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Jarvis Green | DE | 25 | 6'3" 290 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Keith Traylor | DT | 36 | 6'2" 340 | 13 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Ethan Kelley | DT | 24 | 6'2" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
Secondary8
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Je'Rod Cherry | SS | 31 | 6'1" 210 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Randall Gay | CB | 22 | 5'11" 186 | R | — | ACT |
| 22 | Asante Samuel | CB | 23 | 5'10" 185 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Eugene Wilson | FS | 24 | 5'10" 195 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Earthwind Moreland | CB | 27 | 5'11" 186 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Hank Poteat | CB | 27 | 5'9" 192 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Rodney Harrison | SS | 33 | 6'1" 220 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Dexter Reid | SS | 23 | 5'11" 203 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adam Vinatieri | K | 33 | 6'0" 202 | 8 | South Dakota State | ACT |
| 8 | Josh Miller | P | 34 | 6'4" 225 | 11 | — | ACT |
Schedule
19 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colts | W 27-24 | -3 | +0.262 |
| 2 | @ Cardinals | W 23-12 | -8 | +0.079 |
| 4 | @ Bills | W 31-17 | -5.5 | +0.271 |
| 5 | vs Dolphins | W 24-10 | -11 | -0.075 |
| 6 | vs Seahawks | W 30-20 | -3.5 | +0.087 |
| 7 | vs Jets | W 13-7 | -6 | +0.029 |
| 8 | @ Steelers | L 20-34 | -3 | -0.143 |
| 9 | @ Rams | W 40-22 | +2.5 | +0.215 |
| 10 | vs Bills | W 29-6 | -7 | +0.031 |
| 11 | @ Chiefs | W 27-19 | -3 | +0.348 |
| 12 | vs Ravens | W 24-3 | -7 | -0.067 |
| 13 | @ Browns | W 42-15 | -11 | +0.168 |
| 14 | vs Bengals | W 35-28 | -10.5 | +0.254 |
| 15 | @ Dolphins | L 28-29 | -10 | +0.082 |
| 16 | @ Jets | W 23-7 | +0 | +0.115 |
| 17 | vs 49ers | W 21-7 | -13 | -0.006 |
| DIV | vs Colts | W 20-3 | -1 | +0.096 |
| CON | @ Steelers | W 41-27 | -3 | +0.293 |
| SB | @ Eagles | W 24-21 | -7 | +0.080 |