AFC West · 2004
Denver Broncos
Record
10-6
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.122est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.059
- Success rate45.7%
- EPA / dropback+0.154
- EPA / rush-0.056
- Explosive rate10.0%
- Third-down rate38.2%
- Red-zone TD rate55.7%
- Points / drive1.84
- Turnover rate2.5%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.069
- Success rate allowed38.6%
- EPA / dropback allowed-0.031
- EPA / rush allowed-0.126
- Explosive rate allowed8.4%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.6%
- Sack rate6.6%
- Points / drive allowed1.46
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.059 · 78th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.069 · 29th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-7-2
-0.8 vs line
Home
4-4
Away
3-3-2
As favorite
7-7-1
As dog
0-0-1
O/U
6-9-1
-0.9 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matt Mauck | QB | 25 | 6'1" 213 | R | — | ACT |
| 13 | Danny Kanell | QB | 32 | 6'3" 218 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 16 | Jake Plummer | QB | 31 | 6'2" 212 | 7 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Triandos Luke | WR | 24 | 5'10" 189 | R | — | ACT |
| 17 | Darius Watts | WR | 24 | 6'1" 188 | R | — | ACT |
| 26 | Tatum Bell | RB | 23 | 5'11" 213 | R | — | ACT |
| 34 | Reuben Droughns | FB | 26 | 5'11" 207 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Cecil Sapp | RB | 27 | 5'11" 229 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Kyle Johnson | FB | 27 | 6'0" 242 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Rod Smith | WR | 34 | 6'0" 200 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Charlie Adams | WR | 26 | 6'2" 190 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Mike Leach | TE | 29 | 6'2" 245 | 4 | William & Mary | ACT |
| 85 | Ashley Lelie | WR | 24 | 6'3" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Patrick Hape | TE | 30 | 6'4" 262 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Jeb Putzier | TE | 25 | 6'4" 256 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Dwayne Carswell | TE | 32 | 6'3" 290 | 10 | — | ACT |
Offensive line10
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ben Hamilton | G | 27 | 6'4" 283 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Dan Neil | G | 32 | 6'2" 285 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Tim Stuber | G | 26 | 6'5" 315 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Cooper Carlisle | G | 27 | 6'5" 295 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Tom Nalen | C | 33 | 6'3" 286 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 69 | P.J. Alexander | G | 27 | 6'4" 297 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 70 | Tyson Clabo | G | 24 | 6'6" 314 | R | — | ACT |
| 72 | George Foster | T | 24 | 6'5" 338 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Cornell Green | T | 28 | 6'6" 315 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Matt Lepsis | T | 30 | 6'4" 290 | 7 | — | ACT |
Defensive front17
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | D.J. Williams | OLB | 22 | 6'0" 242 | R | — | ACT |
| 53 | Louis Green | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 228 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Patrick Chukwurah | MLB | 25 | 6'1" 250 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Al Wilson | MLB | 27 | 6'0" 240 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 57 | Jashon Sykes | OLB | 26 | 6'2" 236 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Terry Pierce | OLB | 23 | 6'1" 251 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Donnie Spragan | OLB | 28 | 6'3" 239 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 61 | Ellis Johnson | NT | 32 | 6'2" 288 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Mario Fatafehi | DT | 25 | 6'2" 300 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Monsanto Pope | DT | 26 | 6'3" 300 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 92 | Marco Coleman | DE | 36 | 6'3" 270 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Trevor Pryce | DE | 29 | 6'5" 295 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 95 | Anton Palepoi | DE | 27 | 6'3" 283 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 95 | Anton Palepoi | DE | 27 | 6'3" 283 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Demetrin Veal | NT | 23 | 6'2" 288 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Reggie Hayward | DE | 25 | 6'5" 270 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Raylee Johnson | DE | 34 | 6'3" 272 | 11 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Champ Bailey | CB | 26 | 6'0" 192 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Nick Ferguson | FS | 31 | 5'11" 201 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Kenoy Kennedy | SS | 28 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Kelly Herndon | CB | 29 | 5'10" 180 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Chris Young | SS | 24 | 6'0" 210 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 40 | Jeff Shoate | CB | 23 | 5'10" 189 | R | — | ACT |
| 42 | Sam Brandon | FS | 25 | 6'2" 200 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 45 | Roc Alexander | CB | 24 | 5'10" 186 | R | — | ACT |
| 47 | John Lynch | FS | 34 | 6'2" 220 | 11 | — | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Elam | K | 34 | 5'11" 200 | 11 | — | ACT |
| 6 | Jason Baker | P | 26 | 6'2" 205 | 3 | — | TRT |
| 6 | Jason Baker | P | 26 | 6'2" 205 | 3 | — | TRD |
| 6 | Jason Baker | P | 26 | 6'2" 205 | 3 | — | ACT |
Schedule
17 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Chiefs | W 34-24 | -3 | +0.100 |
| 2 | @ Jaguars | L 6-7 | -3 | +0.002 |
| 3 | vs Chargers | W 23-13 | -9.5 | -0.032 |
| 4 | @ Buccaneers | W 16-13 | -3 | +0.035 |
| 5 | vs Panthers | W 20-17 | -4 | +0.095 |
| 6 | @ Raiders | W 31-3 | -2.5 | +0.159 |
| 7 | @ Bengals | L 10-23 | -7 | -0.123 |
| 8 | vs Falcons | L 28-41 | -7 | +0.041 |
| 9 | vs Texans | W 31-13 | -7 | +0.266 |
| 11 | @ Saints | W 34-13 | -6 | +0.242 |
| 12 | vs Raiders | L 24-25 | -11.5 | -0.108 |
| 13 | @ Chargers | L 17-20 | +3 | -0.084 |
| 14 | vs Dolphins | W 20-17 | -11.5 | -0.049 |
| 15 | @ Chiefs | L 17-45 | -3 | -0.063 |
| 16 | @ Titans | W 37-16 | -4 | +0.351 |
| 17 | vs Colts | W 33-14 | -10 | +0.139 |
| WC | @ Colts | L 24-49 | +10 | +0.187 |