AFC South · 2004
Indianapolis Colts
Record
12-4
Seed
#3
Net EPA
+0.131est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.239
- Success rate53.8%
- EPA / dropback+0.412
- EPA / rush-0.005
- Explosive rate11.3%
- Third-down rate44.4%
- Red-zone TD rate74.8%
- Points / drive2.73
- Turnover rate1.7%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.033
- Success rate allowed46.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.103
- EPA / rush allowed-0.075
- Explosive rate allowed10.6%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.0%
- Sack rate7.0%
- Points / drive allowed1.75
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.239 · 98th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.033 · 74th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
9-6-1
+5.3 vs line
Home
5-3
Away
4-3-1
As favorite
9-5
As dog
0-1-1
O/U
11-5
+4.0 vs total
Roster
56 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Travis Brown | QB | 27 | 6'3" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Jim Sorgi | QB | 25 | 6'3" 196 | R | — | ACT |
| 18 | Peyton Manning | QB | 28 | 6'5" 230 | 6 | Tennessee | ACT |
Backs & receivers12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | James Mungro | RB | 26 | 5'9" 214 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 32 | Edgerrin James | RB | 26 | 6'0" 214 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Dominic Rhodes | RB | 25 | 5'9" 203 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Dallas Clark | TE | 25 | 6'3" 252 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Ben Hartsock | TE | 24 | 6'3" 262 | R | — | ACT |
| 81 | Marcus Pollard | TE | 32 | 6'3" 247 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Brandon Stokley | WR | 28 | 5'11" 197 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 84 | Brad Pyatt | WR | 24 | 5'11" 195 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Aaron Moorehead | WR | 25 | 6'3" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Troy Walters | WR | 29 | 5'7" 172 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Reggie Wayne | WR | 27 | 6'0" 198 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 88 | Marvin Harrison | WR | 32 | 6'0" 175 | 8 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Justin Snow | C | 29 | 6'3" 240 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Tupe Peko | G | 27 | 6'4" 305 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Jeff Saturday | C | 29 | 6'2" 295 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 64 | Rick DeMulling | G | 27 | 6'4" 304 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Ryan Lilja | G | 24 | 6'2" 285 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | Ryan Diem | T | 25 | 6'6" 331 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Jake Scott | T | 23 | 6'5" 280 | R | — | ACT |
| 76 | Makoa Freitas | T | 26 | 6'4" 307 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Tarik Glenn | T | 28 | 6'5" 332 | 7 | — | ACT |
Defensive front16
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | David Thornton | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 230 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Gilbert Gardner | OLB | 22 | 6'1" 228 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | Kendyll Pope | LB | 23 | 6'1" 220 | R | — | ACT |
| 58 | Gary Brackett | MLB | 24 | 5'11" 235 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Cato June | OLB | 26 | 6'0" 227 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 68 | Jason Stewart | DT | 25 | 6'1" 285 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Larry Tripplett | DT | 25 | 6'2" 295 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Raheem Brock | DE | 26 | 6'4" 274 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Montae Reagor | DT | 27 | 6'3" 285 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Dwight Freeney | DE | 24 | 6'1" 268 | 2 | Syracuse | ACT |
| 94 | Rob Morris | MLB | 29 | 6'2" 243 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Josh Williams | DT | 28 | 6'3" 285 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Nick Rogers | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 251 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Nick Rogers | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 251 | 2 | — | TRC |
| 98 | Robert Mathis | DE | 23 | 6'2" 235 | 1 | Alabama A&M | ACT |
| 99 | Brad Scioli | DE | 29 | 6'3" 280 | 5 | — | ACT |
Secondary12
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mike Doss | SS | 23 | 5'10" 207 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 21 | Bob Sanders | FS | 23 | 5'8" 206 | R | — | ACT |
| 25 | Nicholas Harper | CB | 31 | 5'10" 182 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Waine Bacon | DB | 25 | 5'10" 191 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Von Hutchins | CB | 23 | 5'9" 181 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Idrees Bashir | FS | 27 | 6'2" 198 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Joseph Jefferson | CB | 24 | 6'1" 202 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Gerome Sapp | FS | 23 | 6'1" 216 | 1 | — | TRD |
| 38 | Gerome Sapp | FS | 23 | 6'1" 216 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 39 | Anthony Floyd | FS | 23 | 5'10" 202 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 41 | Cory Bird | SS | 26 | 5'10" 213 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Jason David | CB | 22 | 5'8" 172 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists4
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Martin Gramatica | K | 30 | 5'8" 170 | 5 | — | TRC |
| 10 | Martin Gramatica | K | 30 | 5'8" 170 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Mike Vanderjagt | K | 34 | 6'5" 211 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 17 | Hunter Smith | P | 27 | 6'2" 209 | 5 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Patriots | L 24-27 | +3 | +0.191 |
| 2 | @ Titans | W 31-17 | -1.5 | +0.368 |
| 3 | vs Packers | W 45-31 | -6 | +0.379 |
| 4 | @ Jaguars | W 24-17 | -4 | +0.243 |
| 5 | vs Raiders | W 35-14 | -8.5 | +0.150 |
| 7 | vs Jaguars | L 24-27 | -9 | +0.172 |
| 8 | @ Chiefs | L 35-45 | -1 | +0.395 |
| 9 | vs Vikings | W 31-28 | -7 | +0.336 |
| 10 | vs Texans | W 49-14 | -8.5 | +0.250 |
| 11 | @ Bears | W 41-10 | -8 | +0.315 |
| 12 | @ Lions | W 41-9 | -8.5 | +0.277 |
| 13 | vs Titans | W 51-24 | -12 | +0.352 |
| 14 | @ Texans | W 23-14 | -10 | +0.183 |
| 15 | vs Ravens | W 20-10 | -7.5 | +0.084 |
| 16 | vs Chargers | W 34-31 | -7 | +0.185 |
| 17 | @ Broncos | L 14-33 | +10 | -0.145 |
| WC | vs Broncos | W 49-24 | -10 | +0.522 |
| DIV | @ Patriots | L 3-20 | +1 | -0.201 |