NFC North · 2004
Minnesota Vikings
Record
8-8
Seed
#6
Net EPA
+0.039est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play+0.162
- Success rate50.0%
- EPA / dropback+0.287
- EPA / rush-0.097
- Explosive rate10.7%
- Third-down rate52.5%
- Red-zone TD rate64.5%
- Points / drive2.26
- Turnover rate2.0%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed+0.107
- Success rate allowed47.9%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.187
- EPA / rush allowed-0.013
- Explosive rate allowed9.7%
- Pressure rate (proxy)6.2%
- Sack rate6.2%
- Points / drive allowed2.21
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape+0.162 · 91th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)+0.107 · 95th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-3.2 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
4-4
As favorite
5-8
As dog
2-1
O/U
8-8
+0.9 vs total
Roster
53 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Daunte Culpepper | QB | 27 | 6'4" 264 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 12 | Gus Frerotte | QB | 33 | 6'3" 237 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Shaun Hill | QB | 24 | 6'3" 226 | 2 | Maryland | ACT |
Backs & receivers13
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kelly Campbell | WR | 24 | 5'10" 173 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 20 | Moe Williams | RB | 30 | 6'1" 205 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 23 | Michael Bennett | RB | 26 | 5'9" 209 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 28 | Larry Ned | RB | 26 | 5'11" 217 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Mewelde Moore | RB | 22 | 5'10" 209 | R | — | ACT |
| 32 | Onterrio Smith | RB | 25 | 5'10" 214 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 44 | Sean Berton | TE | 26 | 6'4" 263 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Nate Burleson | WR | 23 | 6'0" 192 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Jeff Dugan | TE | 23 | 6'3" 258 | R | — | ACT |
| 84 | Randy Moss | WR | 27 | 6'4" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Jermaine Wiggins | TE | 29 | 6'2" 260 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Marcus Robinson | WR | 29 | 6'3" 215 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Richard Owens | TE | 25 | 6'4" 273 | R | — | ACT |
Offensive line11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | Cullen Loeffler | C | 23 | 6'5" 241 | R | Texas | ACT |
| 60 | Cory Withrow | C | 29 | 6'2" 287 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Billy Conaty | C | 31 | 6'2" 300 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Nat Dorsey | T | 22 | 6'7" 322 | R | — | ACT |
| 67 | Anthony Herrera | G | 24 | 6'2" 315 | R | — | ACT |
| 71 | David Dixon | G | 35 | 6'5" 343 | 12 | — | ACT |
| 72 | Adam Haayer | T | 27 | 6'6" 308 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Adam Goldberg | G | 24 | 6'7" 310 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Bryant McKinnie | T | 26 | 6'8" 335 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Chris Liwienski | G | 29 | 6'5" 325 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 78 | Matt Birk | C | 28 | 6'4" 309 | 6 | — | ACT |
Defensive front14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Lance Johnstone | DE | 31 | 6'4" 250 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 52 | Keith Newman | OLB | 27 | 6'2" 248 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Dontarrious Thomas | OLB | 25 | 6'2" 241 | R | — | ACT |
| 55 | Chris Claiborne | OLB | 26 | 6'3" 259 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 56 | E.J. Henderson | MLB | 24 | 6'1" 245 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 58 | Rod Davis | MLB | 23 | 6'2" 239 | R | — | ACT |
| 59 | Mike Nattiel | OLB | 25 | 6'0" 227 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 79 | Kenny Mixon | DE | 29 | 6'4" 271 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 90 | Steve Martin | DT | 30 | 6'4" 320 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 93 | Kevin Williams | DT | 24 | 6'5" 311 | 1 | Oklahoma State | ACT |
| 95 | Kenechi Udeze | DE | 21 | 6'3" 281 | R | — | ACT |
| 97 | Spencer Johnson | DT | 24 | 6'3" 286 | R | — | ACT |
| 98 | Darrion Scott | DE | 24 | 6'3" 289 | R | — | ACT |
| 99 | Chris Hovan | DT | 26 | 6'2" 296 | 4 | — | ACT |
Secondary9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Corey Chavous | SS | 28 | 6'1" 205 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Willie Offord | SS | 27 | 6'1" 216 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Terrance Shaw | CB | 32 | 6'0" 200 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Antoine Winfield | CB | 27 | 5'9" 180 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Brian Russell | FS | 26 | 6'2" 204 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 29 | Brian Williams | CB | 25 | 5'11" 198 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 31 | Rushen Jones | CB | 24 | 5'10" 194 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 33 | Ralph Brown | CB | 27 | 5'10" 185 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 38 | Rhett Nelson | CB | 24 | 6'0" 201 | 1 | — | ACT |
Specialists3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Cortez | K | 29 | 5'11" 200 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 2 | Darren Bennett | P | 39 | 6'5" 235 | 10 | — | ACT |
| 7 | Morten Andersen | K | 44 | 6'2" 225 | 22 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cowboys | W 35-17 | -6.5 | +0.467 |
| 2 | @ Eagles | L 16-27 | +3 | +0.150 |
| 3 | vs Bears | W 27-22 | -12 | +0.072 |
| 5 | @ Texans | W 34-28 | -3.5 | +0.299 |
| 6 | @ Saints | W 38-31 | -3.5 | +0.408 |
| 7 | vs Titans | W 20-3 | -6 | +0.016 |
| 8 | vs Giants | L 13-34 | -6.5 | -0.119 |
| 9 | @ Colts | L 28-31 | +7 | +0.192 |
| 10 | @ Packers | L 31-34 | +4.5 | +0.283 |
| 11 | vs Lions | W 22-19 | -8 | +0.136 |
| 12 | vs Jaguars | W 27-16 | -6 | +0.053 |
| 13 | @ Bears | L 14-24 | -7 | -0.006 |
| 14 | vs Seahawks | L 23-27 | -6.5 | -0.058 |
| 15 | @ Lions | W 28-27 | -3 | +0.265 |
| 16 | vs Packers | L 31-34 | -3.5 | +0.328 |
| 17 | @ Commanders | L 18-21 | -4 | +0.125 |
| WC | @ Packers | W 31-17 | +6 | +0.243 |
| DIV | @ Eagles | L 14-27 | +8 | -0.014 |