NFC South · 2004
Atlanta Falcons
Record
11-5
Seed
#2
Net EPA
-0.020est.
Efficiency
How this team plays
Percentile against the teams that played this season, computed from play-by-play.
Offence
Higher is better.
- EPA / play-0.032
- Success rate41.4%
- EPA / dropback-0.047
- EPA / rush-0.012
- Explosive rate9.1%
- Third-down rate36.1%
- Red-zone TD rate56.5%
- Points / drive1.69
- Turnover rate2.9%
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Defence
Oriented so that further right is always better.
- EPA / play allowed-0.024
- Success rate allowed45.3%
- EPA / dropback allowed+0.004
- EPA / rush allowed-0.065
- Explosive rate allowed8.8%
- Pressure rate (proxy)7.9%
- Sack rate7.9%
- Points / drive allowed1.53
← worse in leagueleague averagebetter →
Offensive EPA / play — league shape-0.032 · 47th %ile
Defensive EPA / play allowed — league shape (left is better)-0.024 · 47th %ile
Form
The shape of the season
Rolling four-week EPA per play. The aggregate hides collapses and surges; this shows them.
4-week rolling EPA/play — up is good for both lines.
- Offense
- Defense (prevented)
Betting profile
Against the number
Settled against closing lines. Descriptive, not predictive.
ATS
7-9
-1.5 vs line
Home
3-5
Away
4-4
As favorite
4-6
As dog
3-3
O/U
5-11
-0.3 vs total
Roster
54 players
53 active. Skill players link through to their fantasy page.
Quarterbacks3
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Michael Vick | QB | 24 | 6'0" 215 | 3 | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 8 | Matt Schaub | QB | 23 | 6'5" 237 | R | Virginia | ACT |
| 14 | Ty Detmer | QB | 38 | 6'0" 189 | 12 | — | ACT |
Backs & receivers14
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Michael Jenkins | WR | 22 | 6'4" 217 | R | — | ACT |
| 28 | Warrick Dunn | RB | 29 | 5'9" 180 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 35 | Jason Wright | RB | 22 | 5'10" 210 | R | — | ACT |
| 39 | Carey Davis | RB | 23 | 5'9" 226 | R | — | TRC |
| 39 | Carey Davis | RB | 23 | 5'9" 226 | R | — | ACT |
| 44 | Fred McCrary | FB | 33 | 6'0" 247 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 45 | T.J. Duckett | RB | 23 | 6'0" 254 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 80 | Eric Beverly | TE | 30 | 6'3" 300 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 81 | Peerless Price | WR | 29 | 5'11" 190 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 83 | Alge Crumpler | TE | 28 | 6'2" 262 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 85 | Dwayne Blakley | TE | 25 | 6'4" 257 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 86 | Brian Finneran | WR | 28 | 6'5" 210 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 87 | Jimmy Farris | WR | 26 | 6'0" 200 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 89 | Dez White | WR | 25 | 6'1" 215 | 4 | — | ACT |
Offensive line9
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Derek Rackley | C | 27 | 6'4" 250 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 62 | Todd McClure | C | 27 | 6'1" 286 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 63 | Roberto Garza | C | 25 | 6'2" 296 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 65 | Kynan Forney | G | 27 | 6'3" 307 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 66 | Austin King | C | 23 | 6'3" 303 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 71 | Jared Peck | T | 25 | 6'4" 282 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 73 | Steve Herndon | G | 27 | 6'4" 292 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 74 | Todd Weiner | T | 30 | 6'4" 297 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 76 | Kevin Shaffer | T | 24 | 6'5" 290 | 2 | — | ACT |
Defensive front15
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | Artie Ulmer | OLB | 31 | 6'3" 247 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 51 | Demorrio Williams | OLB | 24 | 6'0" 232 | R | — | ACT |
| 52 | Matt Stewart | OLB | 25 | 6'3" 232 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 54 | Chris Draft | MLB | 28 | 5'11" 232 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 55 | Eric Johnson | OLB | 28 | 6'0" 210 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 56 | Keith Brooking | MLB | 30 | 6'2" 245 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 59 | Jamie Duncan | MLB | 29 | 6'1" 238 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 75 | Roderick Coleman | DT | 28 | 6'2" 285 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 91 | Brady Smith | DE | 31 | 6'5" 274 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 94 | Chad Lavalais | NT | 25 | 6'1" 293 | R | — | ACT |
| 95 | Edward Jasper | NT | 31 | 6'2" 293 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 96 | Antwan Lake | NT | 25 | 6'4" 308 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 97 | Patrick Kerney | DE | 29 | 6'5" 273 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 98 | Travis Hall | DE | 32 | 6'5" 295 | 9 | — | ACT |
| 99 | Khaleed Vaughn | DE | 23 | 6'4" 276 | R | — | ACT |
Secondary11
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Allen Rossum | CB | 30 | 5'8" 178 | 6 | — | ACT |
| 21 | DeAngelo Hall | CB | 22 | 5'10" 197 | R | Virginia Tech | ACT |
| 23 | Kevin Mathis | CB | 30 | 5'9" 185 | 7 | — | ACT |
| 24 | Bryan Scott | SS | 23 | 6'1" 219 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 25 | Kevin McCadam | SS | 25 | 6'1" 219 | 2 | — | ACT |
| 26 | Siddeeq Shabazz | SS | 23 | 5'11" 200 | 1 | — | ACT |
| 27 | Cory Hall | FS | 29 | 6'0" 213 | 5 | — | ACT |
| 30 | Christian Morton | DB | 23 | 6'0" 188 | R | — | ACT |
| 36 | Jason Webster | CB | 28 | 5'9" 187 | 4 | — | ACT |
| 37 | Aaron Beasley | CB | 31 | 6'0" 205 | 8 | — | ACT |
| 42 | Etric Pruitt | DB | 23 | 6'0" 197 | R | — | ACT |
Specialists2
| # | Player | Pos | Age | Ht/Wt | Exp | College | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jay Feely | K | 28 | 5'10" 206 | 3 | — | ACT |
| 13 | Chris Mohr | P | 38 | 6'5" 215 | 15 | — | ACT |
Schedule
18 games
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Spread | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ 49ers | W 21-19 | -3 | -0.055 |
| 2 | vs Rams | W 34-17 | -2 | +0.263 |
| 3 | vs Cardinals | W 6-3 | -11 | -0.329 |
| 4 | @ Panthers | W 27-10 | +3.5 | +0.166 |
| 5 | vs Lions | L 10-17 | -6.5 | -0.293 |
| 6 | vs Chargers | W 21-20 | -5.5 | -0.027 |
| 7 | @ Chiefs | L 10-56 | +3.5 | -0.425 |
| 8 | @ Broncos | W 41-28 | +7 | +0.365 |
| 10 | vs Buccaneers | W 24-14 | -3.5 | +0.060 |
| 11 | @ Giants | W 14-10 | -3 | +0.117 |
| 12 | vs Saints | W 24-21 | -9 | +0.017 |
| 13 | @ Buccaneers | L 0-27 | +2 | -0.498 |
| 14 | vs Raiders | W 35-10 | -7.5 | +0.103 |
| 15 | vs Panthers | W 34-31 | -3.5 | -0.064 |
| 16 | @ Saints | L 13-26 | +6.5 | -0.185 |
| 17 | @ Seahawks | L 26-28 | +5.5 | +0.188 |
| DIV | vs Rams | W 47-17 | -6.5 | +0.284 |
| CON | @ Eagles | L 10-27 | +6 | -0.065 |